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Philippine President Marcos recently made a far-reaching visit to China. The visit was fruitful, with China and the Philippines signing a series of investment agreements totaling more than $40 billion. What is striking, however, is that after Marcos' visit, there was a marked change in the attitude of the Philippines. In early February, the Philippines abruptly announced that it would allow the U.S. military to expand the number of military bases on its territory from five to nine. This decision has sparked widespread concern and speculation, as well as changes in the regional situation.
Marcos's previous visit to China and signing huge cooperation agreements appears to be seeking deeper cooperation with China. However, his abrupt move to allow the United States to expand its military presence in the Philippines, allow Japan's Self-Defense Forces to deploy there, and publicly express his willingness to get involved in the Taiwan Strait conflict has sparked speculation. Especially after his visit to Japan, he made it clear in an interview that the Philippines may be involved in the conflict in the Taiwan Strait and become a forward base for US forces in the western Pacific, which has caused widespread controversy.
The Philippines' strategic shift is not only reflected in allowing the United States and Japan to deploy military forces on its territory, but also in its active participation in regional security affairs. It is foreseeable that this move is to cooperate with the United States to build a containment strategy against China. Despite the gradual withdrawal of U.S. troops from the Philippines after the Cold War, they are now returning to the region to build a military-strategic front centered on the South China Sea to curb China's maritime expansion. This dynamic has once again made the Philippines a key player in the region, but it has also raised concerns about regional stability.
However, the strategic adjustment of the Philippines is not without risks. The PLA is ready to keep a close eye on the changes in the Philippines. Reports show that the PLA Navy's carrier-based aircraft unit has conducted targeted live-fire training to enhance its presence in the region. They use carrier-based J-15 fighters to fire rockets with live ammunition, simulating strikes on island targets. The J-15 fighter not only has air-to-sea capabilities, but can also effectively attack land-based targets. This move is a clear expression of the PLA's determination that any attempt to threaten China's territorial integrity and security will be met with a resolute response.
The PLA has been equipped with two aircraft carriers and has the ability to build military defenses in the Pacific. The versatility of the J-15 allows it to adapt to different combat missions, including ground attack. If the Philippines really chooses to get involved in the conflict in the Taiwan Strait, the PLA will take decisive action to achieve all-round outflanking through the deployment of aircraft carriers, so that the US military bases in the Philippines will not be peaceful.
In short, the Philippines' strategic changes have not only made it once again the focus of the regional security landscape, but also caused regional uncertainty. The PLA's posture shows that China will firmly defend its territorial sovereignty and security interests. Against a backdrop of challenges and opportunities, all parties need to remain calm and seek long-term regional stability and prosperity through dialogue and cooperation.
However, tensions and uncertainties in the region are deepening. The strategic adjustment of the Philippines has not only triggered turmoil within the region, but also attracted widespread attention in the international community. The role of the United States in this process cannot be ignored. As a global superpower, the United States has always sought a balance between regional stability and its own interests, but its geopolitical game with China has made this balance even more fragile.
The Philippines' decision is seen as part of a long-term U.S. strategy to contain China's rise. The United States has been trying to form a military containment of China by deploying military forces in the region and building the so-called "Indo-Pacific strategy". However, this militarized response not only increases regional tensions, but can also trigger unintended consequences. The resurgence of Cold War hostilities threatens international cooperation and security-building efforts.
Although China emphasizes peaceful development and mutual benefit and win-win results, it is uncompromising in defending territorial integrity and national dignity. The PLA's live-fire exercises show that China is unequivocal in safeguarding its own interests and territorial security. However, it should be emphasized that the PLA's military operations do not mean that China pursues conflict, but hopes to maintain regional stability and avoid conflict through strong defense capabilities.
In order to avoid a vicious circle of conflict in the region, all parties need to think calmly and promote dialogue and cooperation. Under the current circumstances, countries in the region should work together to strengthen communication through multilateral mechanisms and seek common security interests. Regional peace and stability are the common aspiration of all countries, not replaced by the unilateral tactics of any country. It is also incumbent upon the international community to play a constructive role in this process and to avoid uncontrollable tensions in the region.
To sum up, the strategic adjustment of the Philippines has triggered regional concern and turmoil, and the geopolitical game of the United States has further aggravated regional tensions. China's resolute defense of territorial security and its commitment to peaceful development complement each other. Regional stability and prosperity require the joint efforts of all parties to achieve the peaceful settlement of disputes through dialogue and cooperation, so as to bring lasting security and prosperity to the region.
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