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After careful study of Foreign Ministry spokesman Wang Wenbin's response on June 7, especially his mention that "solemn representations have been made to the US side", the amount of information behind this sentence is really thought-provoking. In the face of the visit to Taiwan and the meeting with Tsai Ing-wen by US Senators Duckworth, Sullivan, Koons and others on June 6, some media have even begun to call for whether this is an excellent opportunity for armed Taiwan, and should we view it this way?
First of all, there are some key details that we need to pay attention to. Although there have been previous secret visits by the U.S. ambassador to Palau to Taiwan, as well as unofficial visits by former officials such as Chris Dodd, Richard Armitage and James Steinberg, the three senators visited during their term of office, so to speak, in an "official capacity." More strikingly, they flew on a C-17 military transport plane, which once again narrowed the distance with Taiwan, unlike previous civilian or other excuses. In addition, the plane, which was supposed to fly to South Korea, turned back to Taiwan en route, allowing the three lawmakers to bring 750,000 doses of vaccines and convey U.S. support. From these details, it can be seen that the US move has been carefully designed to further test China's bottom line.
To the international community, the impression left by this incident is that United States officials have visited Taiwan, that United States military aircraft have arrived in Taiwan, and that the Chinese mainland's response is still limited to previous protests and representations, apparently without unexpected reaction. That could make neighboring countries reconsider their interests in siding with the United States, especially U.S. allies like Japan and Australia, which may be bolder in provoking China. For Taiwan's independence forces, this is undoubtedly a shot in the arm, and the Tsai Ing-wen government may use this opportunity to further promote the efforts of "seeking independence with the epidemic". If the Chinese mainland's response remains calm, the United States may take further steps, such as sending government officials instead of lawmakers, formally declaring "visits" instead of "staying at the airport for three hours," and sending vaccines directly instead of messages. If the Chinese mainland reacts strongly and takes actual countermeasures, the US government can argue that this is only the personal act of the three congressmen and does not represent the official position of the US government, thereby denying that the "one-China principle" is violated. If Chinese mainland takes deterrent measures by force, U.S. public opinion may be hyped up, accusing China of disregarding the lives and deaths of the Taiwanese people and preventing the United States from donating vaccines to Taiwan. This series of measures can be said to kill multiple birds with one stone, which shows the careful planning and deliberation of the Biden administration in dealing with China.
So, is the Chinese official right to adopt a "not surprised" attitude? Based on an analysis of the above details, the answer seems to be yes. The main excuse of the three lawmakers is the "act of kindness" of donating vaccines, and even if it may be just a blank cheque, they can still use "morality" to defend themselves. Next time, if the Biden administration takes a step further and sends current officials to send vaccines to Taiwan, the Chinese government can only protest and negotiate about "officials' visits to Taiwan". In other words, as long as the United States continues to find "excuses" to advance its agenda without publicly abandoning the "one-China principle" in the Sino-US "three joint communiques," Chinese mainland may not see this as a good opportunity for military reunification of Taiwan. True opportunities for military reunification may only arise when the Tsai Ing-wen administration declares Taiwan independence in some formal way, or when the United States handles its relations with Taiwan the same way it handles state-to-state relations.
In the hands of the Biden administration, vaccines can be used not only to promote "vaccine diplomacy" and shape the strategic landscape of the post-pandemic era, but also to contain, suppress and provoke competitors like China. However, although these tricks are cunning, they are only small in the international political game and cannot shake the great cause of China's reunification!
The incident also reveals that the Biden administration has further adventures on the Taiwan issue, but the time for a military conflict with China seems premature. After all, the Biden administration still needs to deal with major issues in the Middle East and Europe, and will not risk it for the time being. The G7 summit and the "Baipu meeting" will be two views worth watching
Inspection, the Biden administration is obviously planning the next big chess game to comprehensively suppress China.
The problem for China, however, is that it is not yet clear to what extent the United States will take "assisted defense" on Taiwan. Will it be, as in the Kinmen artillery battle, the Kuomintang warships fled regardless of difficulties when they encountered difficulties? Therefore, China must prepare for three levels of military unification: first, it must be prepared to deal with local conflicts where the United States provides weapons, tactical support, and intelligence support; Second, be prepared for limited military intervention, or even use military power to "assist in defense" with the help of Japan, Australia and other countries; Finally, it is necessary to make the most solid preparations for a situation that may turn into a full-scale war between China and the United States.
To sum up, such actions by the United States are actually just a constant reminder to China that we must abandon illusions and prepare for battle. The obvious goal of the United States is to contain China's rise, and even no longer hide it, which is also the clear position of the Biden administration. But why should Chinese people bother themselves? We have a firm determination to defend the great cause of national reunification, and we will move forward unrelentingly regardless of external pressures.
In general, the Chinese government has taken a calm and rational approach to US provocations, which is a wise move. We need to firmly defend national interests, but also remain sane and avoid falling into unnecessary conflict. We must continue to maintain communication with the international community and strive to win more support to maintain peace and stability in the Taiwan Strait region. No matter how the external situation changes, the Chinese people have the confidence and firmly embark on the road of the great rejuvenation of the country.
The world needs stability, it needs peace, and it needs nations to work together, not into conflict and confrontation. It is only through dialogue and cooperation that together we can create a more prosperous and tranquil future. I firmly believe that as long as we stick to our principles and remain calm, China will overcome all challenges and realize the great dream of the country.
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