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Sima Nan: Heavy! "If China and the United States go to war in the Taiwan Strait, the probability of China winning is 8%"?

author:Xiao Liu, who is often in a daze
Sima Nan: Heavy! "If China and the United States go to war in the Taiwan Strait, the probability of China winning is 8%"?

Text | Xiao Liu

Edit | Xiao Liu

preface

With the continuous improvement of the mainland's international status, some Western countries are eager to install "cameras" around the mainland, and they can't wait to stare at the mainland 360 degrees.

Sima Nan: Heavy! "If China and the United States go to war in the Taiwan Strait, the probability of China winning is 8%"?

This shameless act has been carried out and carried out in secret many years ago, and they have taken great pains to use all kinds of tricks to set the mainland, in order to disrupt the rhythm of the mainland's development.

Among them, the United States is the most active and homeworked, and China's growth has made the United States gradually feel that the crisis of the general trend has passed.

In recent years, we can see from the news that the United States has frequently put pressure on the mainland in the Asian region, and there is not much to say about the THAAD incident and espionage incidents, although the excitement is raging, but it was trapped in the last step, and the American spies distributed on the mainland were captured one by one by our national security department.

Sima Nan: Heavy! "If China and the United States go to war in the Taiwan Strait, the probability of China winning is 8%"?

Think tank speaks

The United States, seeing that the useless work it has done for many years has not actually hindered us, has recently put forward a new statement full of bad water:

The US think tank issued a warning to the outside world, after the comprehensive study of think tank experts, if there is serious friction between China and the United States in the Taiwan Strait area, the US military will defeat the PLA at China's doorstep with a 92% winning rate!

Sima Nan: Heavy! "If China and the United States go to war in the Taiwan Strait, the probability of China winning is 8%"?

This is not the first time to clamour, the previous United States has made many predictions and data deductions, from the results are not feasible, this time the United States has moved out of its own baby-think tank.

So how important is the policy development of think tanks in the United States? Who are their members? Is it equivalent to the think tank around the ancient emperors?

Sima Nan: Heavy! "If China and the United States go to war in the Taiwan Strait, the probability of China winning is 8%"?

What is an American think tank

When it comes to the people in the think tank, objectively speaking, it is indeed the top talent gathering place in the United States, and their members not only influence the development of the United States with their political contacts and parties for many years, but also have a relatively heavy say in the voting of some major decisions.

Sima Nan: Heavy! "If China and the United States go to war in the Taiwan Strait, the probability of China winning is 8%"?

Therefore, in the United States, think tanks are also known as the fourth department of the United States, and the most mysterious department.

Think tank speeches are usually tendentious, and generally speaking, each president will have his own think tank group, and in terms of public opinion, they usually speak out for the politicians they support.

Think tanks also seem to be a department that wipes the asses of politicians and creates favorable public opinion, and their voices are usually said to be for the security and development of the American people, but the truth of the matter is that they are only for the selfish desires of their own party.

In recent years, the goal and target of the US government have been surprisingly consistent, that is, to carry out all-round suppression when China has not yet developed to a certain extent, which has never been so united in the previous decade.

You know, the United States is a multi-party country, and in the competition for top leaders, in order to obtain their own maximum interests, their various parties will tear each other down and deny each other.

Even when a new president comes to power, it often happens that the decision of the former president is negated, but over the years, they have united to suppress China, on the one hand, suppressing China is beneficial to all of them, and on the other hand, China's rise is faster than they imagined, and it is impossible not to suppress.

Sima Nan: Heavy! "If China and the United States go to war in the Taiwan Strait, the probability of China winning is 8%"?

On the Taiwan issue, the United States has kept making a fuss in this regard, and they know that Taiwan's status in China's heart is unshakable, so it is like holding our lifeblood and constantly provoking our bottom line.

From the official support for Tsai Ing-wen, to the current sale of high-end weapons to Taiwan, and more seriously, to put their own aircraft carrier fleet in Asia to sail freely in the South China Sea, this series of clamor is only to stimulate the PLA, they think that through such provocative behavior, they can make our side make some irrational actions, but reality tells them that these little tricks are not worth mentioning in the eyes of Chinese who have inherited 5,000 years of culture.

Sima Nan: Heavy! "If China and the United States go to war in the Taiwan Strait, the probability of China winning is 8%"?

In recent days, US think tanks have made new moves, openly publishing articles saying that if China and the United States go to war in the Taiwan Strait, China's winning rate will be only 8 percent.

How confident do they have to say such things, you must know that if there is a war, they can only rely on the navy, and we can basically participate in the war at our doorstep, sea, land and air, in this case they are still so arrogant, do they have any tricks to win?

Sima Nan: Heavy! "If China and the United States go to war in the Taiwan Strait, the probability of China winning is 8%"?

The level of think tanks in the eyes of the American people

The war has not yet begun, but there is a lot of voice in the United States, after many American people have seen the deduction made by the think tank, they have said that the people in the think tank are a group of fools, the article is all some nonsense, are the result of idealization, the most ridiculous is a paragraph:

The United States dispatched 150 strategic bombers carrying more than 2,200 missiles to attack the PLA fleet, which will be completely destroyed in a short period of time under the attack of missiles.

This think tank deduction, which made elementary school students want to laugh when they saw it, was able to get the US government to publish this article in the media.

Many anti-war experts in the United States jumped out, first to greet the families of think tank experts, and secondly, to question the research level of think tanks.

Sima Nan: Heavy! "If China and the United States go to war in the Taiwan Strait, the probability of China winning is 8%"?

Think tanks are very experienced in analyzing how to drain the wallets of the American people, but in international affairs and military deduction, think tanks have made frequent mistakes in recent decades, and many American soldiers have paid with their lives because of the mistakes of think tanks.

Sima Nan: Heavy! "If China and the United States go to war in the Taiwan Strait, the probability of China winning is 8%"?

So is the think tank really as this expert said, but it is not useful? This brings us to the results of his historical deductions and the real results of things.

Whether it was in the original Syrian war and the Iraq and Afghanistan wars, think tanks were active in authoritative media at that time, and in terms of world public opinion, in order to launch this war, think tanks cleansed the United States, as if the conflict between the two countries was the fault of the other party, and the United States was forced to send troops to invade.

Sima Nan: Heavy! "If China and the United States go to war in the Taiwan Strait, the probability of China winning is 8%"?

Although the United States gained huge paper benefits after these wars, after analysis, they found that the price paid by their troops was far greater than the benefits they gained, and due to domestic influences, they could only withdraw from the battlefield in disgrace.

Sima Nan: Heavy! "If China and the United States go to war in the Taiwan Strait, the probability of China winning is 8%"?

In the battles that won the big victory, the think tank repeatedly boasted, and when it lost, it put the responsibility on the command of the army, and for a long time, not only the people at home were bored, but even the leaders of their own troops often advised them to stop bragging.

They just write articles and speeches, and the US military is to fight with small lives, win the think tank and the army to share the credit equally, lose anyway, the think tank is not wrong, the mistake is poorly implemented.

Although at the end of every war, the speech of the think tank is always slammed into Dalian, they seem to be infinitely thick-skinned, and in the speech full of invective, they can always calm down and finish the manuscript.

Sima Nan: Heavy! "If China and the United States go to war in the Taiwan Strait, the probability of China winning is 8%"?

Think tanks smear the PLA

Speaking of this, then their cheeky smear of the PLA can explain it, and their methods and processes have long been clearly touched by people all over the world.

First of all, in terms of public opinion, then test the bottom line many times, when the other party does not respond, then do a little excessive, and finally strike in all aspects, but this time in the face of the PLA, they can be regarded as kicking to the hard stone, which is also the most embarrassing time for the United States in the past ten years.

Sima Nan: Heavy! "If China and the United States go to war in the Taiwan Strait, the probability of China winning is 8%"?

When it comes to the US military's desire to send planes to throw missiles to bomb our fleet, let alone whether it can pass through our defense circle, just talking about the cost problem, they can't solve it with today's economy.

The 2200 anti-ship missile costs more than 70 billion US dollars, this is not a firecracker, the cost of a high-precision missile is tens of millions of dollars, not to mention whether it can be hit or not, once launched, it shows that tens of millions of dollars have been thrown into the sea.

Sima Nan: Heavy! "If China and the United States go to war in the Taiwan Strait, the probability of China winning is 8%"?

And today's US domestic economy everyone also knows that the American people who have over-developed currency are about to lose food, and now spending so many American knives to fight a battle that is sure to be lost, it may be that the war is not over by then, and the United States is in chaos.

Sima Nan: Heavy! "If China and the United States go to war in the Taiwan Strait, the probability of China winning is 8%"?

Secondly, it takes time to build missiles, who will be stupid and wait for you to build missiles before fighting? Under today's mainland satellite technology, once the United States begins to manufacture missiles on a large scale, then the situation of their arsenal will definitely appear on the mainland satellite picture, and then we will wait for you to build it? I'm afraid that as soon as the construction began, our Dongfeng missiles came to visit.

Sima Nan: Heavy! "If China and the United States go to war in the Taiwan Strait, the probability of China winning is 8%"?

It can be said that this deduction of think tanks is not really to start a war with China in the South China Sea, and another important reason is that their ruling party's credibility and support in the United States have suffered an unprecedented decline.

After the author's analysis, this deduction of the think tank is likely to be for the domestic people, in order to increase support and domestic unity, if they do not act like this again, the next session they will properly step down.

Sima Nan: Heavy! "If China and the United States go to war in the Taiwan Strait, the probability of China winning is 8%"?

Therefore, this ridiculous deduction is just for its own people, and at the same time, it is also a fox fake tiger power, which makes China feel that it is still a strong illusion.

In front of these little schemes, it is impossible for the Chinese of 5,000 years of cultural inheritance not to be seen, and China has also responded to this, probably meaning that if you come, there is no return.

Sima Nan: Heavy! "If China and the United States go to war in the Taiwan Strait, the probability of China winning is 8%"?

Revisit the Sino-US issue

Some people say that sooner or later China and the United States will have a war, and the Taiwan Strait issue will be the fuse.

Sima Nan: Heavy! "If China and the United States go to war in the Taiwan Strait, the probability of China winning is 8%"?

China's development will not stop because of the suppression of the United States, we have always believed that war is the worst choice, for the people of both countries are the next policy, as the two major countries that can dominate the mainstream development of the world today, only peaceful consultation and facing reality can create a win-win situation.

Sima Nan: Heavy! "If China and the United States go to war in the Taiwan Strait, the probability of China winning is 8%"?

The United States unilaterally feels that China's rise will affect its status as a world hegemon, but in China's view, there has never been a world hegemon, and the world is supported by the peaceful cooperation of many countries.

The statement of world hegemony does not make sense in any country, it can only be said that the military strength division of the United States is a little stronger than other countries, and China's gradual strengthening is not to seize any so-called world hegemon, and China has no interest in this.

Sima Nan: Heavy! "If China and the United States go to war in the Taiwan Strait, the probability of China winning is 8%"?

China is no longer the China of decades ago, maybe we are too low-key in world public opinion, resulting in our military development makes many countries unclear, now our military industrial strength, in some parts has completely surpassed the United States, not only output but also scientific and technological content, have left the United States far behind.

Sima Nan: Heavy! "If China and the United States go to war in the Taiwan Strait, the probability of China winning is 8%"?

And some American politicians seem to be immersed in the time and space of the end of World War II, and they can't imagine or believe that China's military development can be so rapid in the past 30 years.

Although there is currently some gap between our military's maritime strength and the United States, why are we not afraid? Because we can learn from each other's strengths, the combination of the Navy rocket force, how will the United States face such a combination?

Sima Nan: Heavy! "If China and the United States go to war in the Taiwan Strait, the probability of China winning is 8%"?

Needless to say, the strength of the mainland rocket force is not much to say, saying that the second in the world no one calls the first, in the face of our latest Dongfeng Express, the United States does not have any defense system that can perfectly intercept, you must know that Dongfeng Express is a multi-warhead mode, even if you intercept 99%, then the remaining one is enough to declare that the United States has done all useless work.

The only way they can intercept is to chase with numbers, we exchange one missile for dozens of them, so that they can eat and live if they hit down?

Sima Nan: Heavy! "If China and the United States go to war in the Taiwan Strait, the probability of China winning is 8%"?

end

In today's world military strength ranking, although the mainland has made rapid progress, from an objective point of view, the United States is still ahead of us, this section has been constantly narrowing, now we are gaining momentum, while the United States is in a quagmire, in the future the gap between our two countries will gradually become smaller, until it completely surpasses.

Sima Nan: Heavy! "If China and the United States go to war in the Taiwan Strait, the probability of China winning is 8%"?

China should treat our development rationally, and do not care about some false public opinion and the actions of the fox and tiger power, our troops are different from the United States, and our efforts to develop are to protect the Chinese people, not to invade other countries.

In this era of economic globalization, any country will feel pain if it leaves this big organization, and the United States is no exception, we should cooperate for win-win results, and there is no benefit in going to war, at least we think so.

Sima Nan: Heavy! "If China and the United States go to war in the Taiwan Strait, the probability of China winning is 8%"?

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