Lookout NBA|Hopeless? In fact, it is not difficult for the Heat to win one game, the difficult thing is to win three games in a row

This year, the Heat had a 44-38 record under Butler, and they also lost to the Hawks in the playoffs and barely advanced to the playoffs through two playoff games.

With such a record, even if the Heat had reached the Finals three years ago, no one would have expected much from their playoff journey this year. After all, in the first round, they will face the Bucks team with alphabet brothers and strong soldiers...

All the way out of the East, the "Black Eight" faced the Nuggets 1-3 behind in the Finals

Although this year's Heat's comprehensive strength and superstar color are indeed not as popular as the Bucks and Green Kai. However, in the first round, with Butler's "supergod" play, the Heat forced the Bucks to advance to the Eastern Conference finals with a big score of 4-1 "gentleman sweep".

And when facing Green Kai in the East final, the Heat were able to seize Green Kai's "weakness" in time to win the series. After defeating the Bucks and Green Kai, the two favorites to win the championship, the outside world also has new expectations for the Heat - it is believed that all the way out of the Eastern Heat "Black Eight", even if it cannot win the championship, it will not make the championship directly lose suspense...

In the Finals G1, against the backdrop of Butler's dysfunctional play and the Heat's rotation players no longer magical, the Nuggets understated the first victory. But before the Nuggets could continue to extend their lead, G2 Spall found a way to win the Finals by successfully cutting off Jokic from his teammates and winning his first Finals victory.

I thought that the Heat would win one away game and then return home to win at least one game, thus forcing the series into the battle of Tianwang Mountain and playing a suspenseful series with the Nuggets. The Heat, who wanted to return to their home court, were beaten by the Nuggets without fighting back, losing G3 and G4 one after another, but fell behind 1-3.

According to the prediction before the start of the Finals, even if the Heat can force the Nuggets to the battle of Tianwang Mountain, the Nuggets still have a better chance of winning the championship. After all, the overall strength of the Nuggets was originally above the Heat, and now that the Heat have been forced to trail 1-3, no one believes that the Heat can turn over...

1-3 behind and hopeless? In fact, it is not difficult for the Heat to win one game, the difficult thing is to win three games in a row

The Heat can't limit Jokic, and the Nuggets always have someone to step up in time. During this year's Finals, Jokic averaged 30.7 points, 13.5 boards, 8.0 assists, and shot 55.7% from the field. Judging from Jokic's statistical performance and actual on-court performance, the Heat simply cannot effectively limit his play.

When the G2 Heat cut off Jokic from his teammates in the Finals, and his teammates were in average offense, Jokic shifted his focus to the offensive end. Facing Adebayo's defense, Jokic G2 hit 41 points, 11 boards and 4 assists, shooting 57.1% from the field, and led the team to play back and forth with the Heat with his "own strength".

And when teammates pick up and the Heat strategically change their defensive strategy, Jokic can use his containment and tandem ability to help teammates find easier shots to maximize the team's offensive efficiency. And the Nuggets in addition to Jokic, the rotation of the main force is also much stronger than the Heat...

In terms of the Heat, due to the injury of Oladipo and Hilo, now Vincent, Martin and others do not have the same amazing performance as the first three rounds, so when Butler is no longer "super-god", this Heat is forced to 1-3 behind by the Nuggets without suspense. That is to say, the next Heat want to win, in addition to expecting Butler to break out, they can only expect Hiro to "return to fight the fire".

In contrast, although the Finals G2 Murray, Gordon and others played averagely, they were able to usher in a rebound in time compared to the Heat. Otherwise, even if Jokic scores 40+ points in the Finals, the Nuggets may not be able to win G3 and G4 in a row and directly take a 3-1 lead...

Even if Butler returns to first-round form, it will be difficult to break out three games in a row. This year's playoffs Heat can reach the Finals, Butler is definitely a great credit - it was he who beat the Bucks and Alphabet brother with an average of 37.6 points, 6.0 boards, 4.8 assists and 60.9% shooting percentage in the first round, and it was he who gave the Heat the confidence and hope of the "black eight".

But in this year's Finals, when the team needed him to stand up and "change his life", in the face of Gordon's defense, Butler never returned to the first round - his average fell to 21.7 points, 5.0 boards, 6.7 assists, and 44.6% shooting. However, judging from Butler's experience and personality, even if he is forced to fall behind 1-3, he will not give up his life.

It is foreseeable that Butler may take over the race in the following series, and may return to the same style as the first round. However, even if Butler forcibly breaks out to lead the team to win the G5, it will be difficult for him to break out in G6 and G7 in a row. On the one hand, because the personal physical condition does not allow, on the other hand, after Butler's outbreak, Malone will definitely arrange more targeted defense.

To sum up, under the premise that "the Heat rotation players are no longer magical, Butler is no longer in the first round", in the face of the Nuggets with stronger comprehensive strength + the infinitely limited Jokic, the Heat may be able to win one or two games next, but there is basically no hope of winning three consecutive turnovers...