Lao Wu is quite difficult now.
Yesterday, as the situation in northern Kosovo and Metohija deteriorated, Serbian President Vučić met with our Ambassador to Serbia, Chen Bo.
Vučić told Ambassador Chen, "I ask the Ambassador to convey to the leadership of your country Serbia's concern for the security of Kosovo Serbs, and hope that Chinese friends will use their great international reputation and influence to immediately end the persecution of Serbs by the Kosovo authorities."
This is the first time that Vučić has asked China for assistance on the Kosovo issue, which is also unprecedented in the country's history.
In fact, we are also difficult, and love can't help.
The geographical location is determined, if you want to help, you can't get involved.
Above:
Do you see clearly?
The countries around Serbia, Croatia, Montenegro, Albania, North Macedonia, Bulgaria, Romania, Hungary, 7 neighboring countries are all NATO members, only Bosnia and Herzegovina is not.
The problem is that everyone can see that it is the United States that is doing things now, and a small country like Bosnia and Herzegovina may not dare to let Chinese and Russian military equipment or military forces enter Serbia through the country against the will of the United States.
When we delivered anti-aircraft missiles to Serbia last year, we took Bulgaria's airspace, so Bulgaria was under tremendous pressure from NATO.
The tension in Serbia, to put it bluntly, is that someone wants to carry out a "color revolution" in the country. The immediate cause of this unrest was two shootings this month, followed by large-scale walks in Belgrade and other places, directly advocating a ban on guns, indirectly advocating the removal of several ministers, and even, some directly targeting Vučić.
On May 19, Vučić revealed that, according to his intelligence investigation, someone was going to carry out a "color revolution" in Serbia.
There is a saying that "if the country is in trouble, it will be chaotic when it returns", when Serbia was tense in the country, Kosovo jumped out to make trouble.
On the 26th, four officials appointed by the Kosovo authorities tried to force their way into the administrative building of the Serb-populated area, triggering protests by the Serbs, and then NATO soldiers carried out "peacekeeping", wounding 52 Serbs, three of them seriously, and NATO said that 25 NATO soldiers were injured.
This time, the United States, the United Kingdom, France, Italy and Germany issued a joint statement condemning the decision of the Kosovo authorities.
It can be seen from this that NATO wants Serbia to mess up, but does not want Kosovo to take the lead.
It is not difficult to understand that for France, Germany and Italy, they are super afraid of another war on European soil, so that Europe will be completely chaotic; For the United States and Britain, it is estimated that they are afraid of China and Russia, and the most important thing is that they are afraid of China's move, and then you understand why Vučić summoned my ambassador yesterday.
Now, the question is, how can we do it?
It's really hard.
Old Zhu racked his brains and couldn't think of a good way, so he could only take a brain hole:
1: United Russia voiced in the UN General Assembly, demanding that NATO troops be replaced by UN peacekeeping forces.
This is more difficult, otherwise it would have been changed long ago.
The United States and Britain will definitely not agree, France should agree with the probability is higher, after all, although France is a member of NATO, but France has no say in NATO, especially recently Macron has been emphasizing "European defense autonomy", in addition, France is the P5 least willing to appear in Europe a second battlefield country, so, Lao Zhu estimated, France should be willing to use United Nations peacekeeping forces to replace NATO troops, in that case, it is equivalent to drawing salaries to the bottom of the Kosovo cauldron, this garbage no longer dares to make trouble.
The problem is that the United States and Britain will definitely not do it, and then, it will depend on the outcome of the game between the two sides.
2: Let Serbia become a country again
Serbia and Montenegro is a loose federal state formed from 2003 to 2006 in the former Socialist Federal Republic of Yugoslavia.
Serbia and Montenegro first formed the Federal Republic of Yugoslavia in 1992, which was reorganized and renamed "Serbia and Montenegro" on 4 February 2003.
The problem now is that Montenegro has become a NATO country, Montenegro may not withdraw from NATO for Serbia, unless Russia completely turns its face with NATO in the direction of Ukraine, no longer plays any "proxy war", and then the Russian army enters Serbia through Moldova and Romania, and then Montenegro may be willing to become a country again with Serbia under great pressure from China and Russia.
This point is more brainy, and the probability of realization is extremely low.
3: Merge Bosnia and Herzegovina with Serbia
Everyone is Yugoslav, of the same language and ethnicity, and historically a country, the main thing is that Bosnia and Herzegovina is not a NATO country.
It is not impossible for them to merge, after all, these two countries are also under strategic pressure from NATO, and the key depends on the support of China and Russia.
If China can build a port in the Adriatic Sea, and then use it for both military and civilian purposes, and let Russia send troops over, then the three countries will not only be militarily stable, but also take off economically.
The point is that far water cannot quench near thirst.
After a long time of brain holes, even Lao Zhu himself felt that these ideas were not of much help to the current situation in Kosovo.
After the outbreak of the Russian-Ukrainian war, the Kosovo authorities saw an opportunity to provoke an incident and tried to take advantage of Russia's lack of time to take care of Serbia, with the help of the United States and the West to complete independence, and then become a member of NATO or join the European Union.
During this time, NATO and the European Union have been putting pressure on Vučić to recognize Kosovo's independence, but Vučić will definitely not agree, so Kosovo has made trouble even more.
Now, a good problem is that the EU economy is all kinds of crotch-pulling and does not want to add another war on its own land, and the United States is not willing to invest too many resources in the direction of Kosovo because of the debt problem;
A bad problem is that Russia is too busy to take care of itself, and if it really fights, Vučić has to face it alone.
Another good problem is that Serbia bought several anti-aircraft missiles from China last year, so unless NATO sends a large number of ground troops, it will not be able to play with air strikes, as it did in 1999.
At present, the West forced Serbia to recognize Kosovo's independence, this kind of loss of power and humiliation Vučić will definitely not do it, and Kosovo took the opportunity to make trouble, sent 4 officials to the Serb enclave in Kosovo, Serbs did not do it, all kinds of resistance, NATO increased troops, had no choice, Serbian President Vučić raised the army's combat readiness to the highest level on the 26th, and ordered the Serbian army to march in the direction of Kosovo.
According to the Observer Network on May 30, yesterday, thousands of Serbs gathered in front of the administrative building in an attempt to attack the special police unit of the Kosovo authorities. Kosovo special police responded to protesting Serbs with tear gas and blast grenades and began shooting into the crowd.
Vučić has been cornered.
Since the talks cannot be negotiated, then let's fight, make a desperate frame, and leave the rest to China, the United States, Europe and Russia to solve ...