Yang Zhen: Offensive and defensive data analysis today's Portuguese Super League

They are all the same team under the sun, why is the gap between people so big? Today I would like to share an idea of a Portuguese Premier League match.

006 Guimarães vs Marítimo

Both teams have average results this year, with Guimarães scoring 10 points and Marítimo winning one game less than Guimarães after 8 rounds and scoring seven points. Looking at the goal data, Guimarães scored 9 goals in 8 league games, averaging about 1 goal per game. At home in the Portuguese Premier League this season, In addition to The 4-0 victory over Vizla, Guimarães has only scored one goal in three other games, and the offensive firepower is not good. From the perspective of the confrontation, Guimarães has scored a total of 3 goals in the past 5 games against Maritimo, and the 3 wins are 1-0 small wins. In the past four rounds of the Portuguese Super League, Marítimo has drawn with his opponents three times. Therefore, in the case of a goal in this game, the result of Guimarães' big victory will not be popular.

First of all, looking at the personnel situation, Guimarães centre-back Fernandez and winger Lamelas are injured; Marítimo's winger Macedo received a red card in the last game and is suspended this round, in addition to the team's main scorer Taguaeu has only played 20 minutes in the Portuguese Premier League this season due to injury. Taguaeu played 32 league games last season, scoring nine goals, and is a key figure in the team's offensive line, and this jun has been recuperating from injuries for a long time, which has had a great impact on Maritimo's attack.

Looking at the offensive statistics, among the 18 teams in the Portuguese Premier League this season, Guimarães' average of 15.5 shots per game and 4.5 shots per game are ranked 7th, so the number of goals scored is lower than expected compared with the offensive performance. Maritimo's away offensive ability is quite weak, in the past two consecutive away games are 0 shots on target, 4 away games average only 1.5 shots, even the right shot is difficult, not to mention the goal, so Marídimo's away 3 goals are actually slightly higher than the performance should have. In this ball, the lottery gave the low main victory, and the prospect of Guimarães winning was still relatively optimistic. Given the total goals scored by the two teams in the previous meeting, the total number of goals in this game is expected to reach at least 2, and if the possibility of Marídimo's goal is not considered, the chance of winning is higher than that of the draw.

Pitch: Win