#头条创作挑战赛 #
The results of the 2023 Men's Basketball World Cup draw have been released, and the Chinese men's basketball team is divided into Group B, with opponents including Serbia, Puerto Rico and South Sudan.
The outside world generally believes that the Chinese men's basketball team in this group is considered a "winning lot", which is not only better than the "upper selection" drawn by Yang Chao at the doorstep in 2019, but also better than the group of other Asian countries Japan, Jordan and Lebanon - Japan is in the same group as Germany, Finland and Australia; Jordan is in the same group as the United States, Greece and New Zealand; Lebanon joined Canada, France and Lithuania.
So, what is the chance of the Chinese men's basketball team qualifying for the World Cup this time? Let's start with the rules of eligibility and competitors separately.
(1) If the men's basketball team wants to enter the Olympic Games, the World Cup results must surpass all other teams in Asia:
First, the 2023 Men's Basketball World Cup results will determine eligibility for the 2024 Paris Olympics. This World Cup will produce seven places directly connected to the Paris Olympics, which will be distributed to the highest ranked teams from all continents in this World Cup.
Among them, 2 in the Americas, 2 in Europe, 1 in Africa, 1 in Asia and 1 in Oceania.
The good news is that Australia and New Zealand won't compete with us for a spot in Asia, and the bad news is that the Chinese men's basketball team must have the best result of any Asian team.
(2) From the perspective of opponents, the Chinese men's basketball team may not be able to win in the group stage:
(1) Serbia, as a traditional basketball power in Europe, FIBA is the latest ranked sixth in the world, was the runner-up of the men's basketball team in the 2014 Men's Basketball World Cup and the 2016 Olympic Games, and has superstars such as Jokic, the NBA's two-time consecutive regular season MVP winner.
(2) Puerto Rico, as a Latin American powerhouse, defeated the invincible American Dream Team at the Olympics many years ago. It has also been the bitter master of many competitions of the Chinese men's basketball team. They are now ranked in the top 20 in the world, beating Brazil twice in World Cup qualifiers.
(3) Mysterious South Sudan? They used to be the top team on the continent, but with the money of former Lakers player Rul Deng familiar to Chinese fans (building the court and team, coaching himself), they reached the quarterfinals of the African Cup of Nations in 2021. This time they won 7-1 in the World Cup African qualifiers, only losing once to Senegal and losing by 3 points; However, they won the second leg and won them by 8 points to complete their revenge.
To tell you the truth, of these 3 teams, I am afraid that none of the Chinese men's basketball team can win. There is basically no need to fantasize about the group qualifying.
(3) The Chinese men's basketball team does not necessarily qualify from the group:
But the Chinese men's basketball team does not have to qualify to enter the Olympics:
The top two teams from each group stage qualify for the World Cup, and the bottom two qualify to determine the final standings.
As long as they achieve a better ranking than other teams in Asia, the Chinese men's basketball team can also enter the Olympics.
(4) The situation of the Chinese men's basketball team in qualifying is better than that of competitors:
Let's assume that the Chinese men's basketball team cannot qualify from the group and fall into the qualifying round.
(1) Qualifying rules: The 16 teams out of the group will compete in 4 groups to determine the final standing, and the group stage results and points will be brought to the qualifying round.
(2) The 3rd and 4th places from the two adjacent groups will be placed in the same qualifying group. However, the two teams in the same group did not have to play again, and only played one game against the other two teams.
The Chinese men's basketball team in Group B is likely to be in the same group as South Sudan, Angola and the Philippines in Group A. men's basketball opponents Angola and the Philippines; Philippines opponents China men's basketball team, South Sudan.
Jordan and New Zealand in Group C are most likely in the same group as Egypt and Mexico in Group D. Jordan's opponents Egypt and Mexico.
Group E is likely to be Japan and Finland, in the same group as Group F Cape Verde and Georgia. Japan's opponents Cape Verde and Georgia.
In list G, Iran and Côte d'Ivoire and in list H, Lebanon and Lithuania are in the same group. Iran's rivals Lebanon and Lithuania; Lebanon's opponents Iran and Côte d'Ivoire.
In this way, the opponents of the men's basketball team are almost the easiest - except for Lebanon, they have basically no problem winning against Iran, and there is a certain chance of winning against Côte d'Ivoire.
If the men's basketball team falls into qualifying, in addition to winning the Philippines, it must also fight hard to win Angola - now it is not the past, and now the African brothers are not what we used to be free to play - otherwise Lebanon is likely to rob this precious Olympic spot.
In this way, although Lebanon entered the group of death in the group stage, it was signed in the qualifying round!
Summary:
To sum up, the Chinese men's basketball team is likely not to win in the group stage of this World Cup, but it is also necessary to strive to lose less and bring better results and points to the qualifying round.
The magic saying about "winning without a victory but qualifying and entering the Olympics":
(1) The possibility of qualifying without a win in the group stage does not exist; However, there is a possibility that the group stage has not won a game and finally reached the Olympics.
(2) there is a possibility of entering the Olympics without a win in the group stage, but you must win in the qualifying round;
(3) There is no possibility of reaching the Olympics without a win in the entire World Cup - because if you lose to the Philippines, you will be overtaken by your opponents.
(This article was originally released by the headline number: Lucky Xiaolong Pack, welcome to follow, please indicate the source for reprinting.) The picture comes from the Internet, invasion and deletion)