On April 18, Beijing time, the NBA officially announced the first-round pick of the 2023 draft, the Pistons, Rockets and Spurs, the top three in the regular season record, are tied for the highest 14% probability of obtaining the top pick, the goal will undoubtedly be to compete for Venbanyama, the Hornets have a 12.5% probability of getting the 4th highest pick, the Blazers have a 10.5% probability of getting the 5th highest pick, and the Lakers have the 17th pick in the first round.
Lotto Zone Winning Probability of Picking:
Piston: 14%
Rockets: 14%
Spurs: 14%
Wasp: 12.5%
Trailblazers: 10.5%
Magic: 9%
Walkers: 6.8%
Wizards: 6.7%
Jazz: 4.5%
Lone Ranger: 3% (probably given to the Knicks)
Bull: 1.8% (probably given to magic)
Thunder: 1.7%
Raptors: 1%
Pelicans: 0.5%
Non-Lotto Zone (numbered first-round picks):
15: Eagles
16: Jazz (from the Timberwolves)
17: Lakers
18: Heat
19: Warriors
20: Rockets (from the Clippers)
21: Nets (from the Suns)
22: Nets
23: Blazers (from the Knicks)
24: The King
25: Grizzly Bear
26: Pacers (from the Knights)
27: Hornets (from Nuggets)
28: Jazz (from 76)
29: Pacers (from Celtic)
30: Clippers (from Bucks)
The Pistons, Rockets and Spurs are the top three teams in the regular season this season, of which the Pistons are 17-65, the Rockets and Spurs are both 22-60, and all three teams have a tie with the highest 14% probability of winning the top pick, the goal is naturally to compete for Venbanyama, and their probability of winning the top four picks is as high as 52.1%.
The Hornets have a 27-55 record and are fourth from bottom in the league and have a 12.5 percent chance of winning the top four picks after a three-goal season of reimbursement, while they have a 48.1 percent chance of getting the top four picks. As for the Trail Blazers' 33-49 record and fifth from bottom in the league, they gave up early in the final stages and also preceded Lillard, they have a 10.5% chance of getting the top pick, and their probability of getting the top four picks is 42.1%.
After that, the Magic have a 9% chance of getting the top pick, the Pacers, Wizards and Jazz are decreasing in order, and the Lone Rangers have a 3% chance of getting the top pick, and they only need to make sure that the top ten picks can retain this first-round pick, otherwise they will give it to the Knicks. The Bulls received a 1.8% pick, and there is also a possibility of giving it to the Magic, and the Pelicans received a 0.5% pick.
As for the non-lottery first-round pick, the Lakers have the No. 17 pick in the first round, the Rockets have the No. 20 pick from the Clippers, and the Clippers have the No. 30 pick from the Bucks.