The exciting 2022 Qatar World Cup is just around two months away.
And the Brazilian football team, which is even more fascinating to me, is about to appear in the World Cup, and my heart is extremely excited to think of this, like a child, every day looking forward to the group of athletes wearing yellow jerseys to appear soon.
However, I deeply remember the 2014 World Cup hosted by Brazil, brazil was played by Germany 7:1, that day, not only Brazil's "national disaster day", but also the world's Brazilian fans "painful" night.
Now the Brazilian football team under the leadership of coach Tite, fierce horses, the whole equipment war, will be in this year's Qatar World Cup to find the glory of the past, brilliant, for Brazilian football, the championship is the only goal, is the highest ceiling, but also the minimum guarantee, there is no room for negotiation and compromise, that is, the runners-up are failures, are to stare at the column of shame, the entire Brazilian fans and the world fans are consistent in this view.
However, I want to pour cold water on the Brazilian team, no matter how much I love Brazil, but after my careful, careful, and repeated thinking, I have come to a conclusion: the Brazilian team has no championship this year.
First, the question of odds
Looking at all the World Cups in which brazil competes, as long as its odds are the biggest favorite, the Brazilian team returns home every time, folding the sand, thunder, rain, riding the wind and waves, and returning empty-handed.
The most typical are the 1982 and 2006 World Cups
In the 1982 World Cup, the Brazilian team had zico, Falcao, Scolades and other top stars of the powerful faction, known as the first favorite to win the championship, and as a result, when encountering Italy, it was eliminated by a hat-trick by a "abandoned" striker of the Italian football team.
Not to mention in 2006, Brazil's frontcourt quintet emperor superstar, five frontcourt world champions Ronaldo, Ronaldo Jr., Kaka, Adriano, and a cyclist whose name was forgotten, such a super luxurious lineup is the most terrifying one ever seen in the World Cup.
I would like to stress here that I like Brazilian football not because of the current Brazilian players, not Neymar, not my sister-in-law, but because of Ronaldo in 1997, he was almost obsessed, crazy, a mess of love, loved, sleepy, and even for a time people did not look like people, ghosts did not look like ghosts.
Naturally, I love House and Wu, I also like the club he plays for Inter Milan and the country, and 25 years have passed, and I have never changed my heart and changed my mind.
However, in such a situation that can be pitched and proud of the world, he encountered France and was kicked back to his hometown by Henry with a casual kick, alas! It was so heart-wrenching that on the night of the elimination, I was holding a bottle of two pots and wandering alone in the corner of the city, screaming bitterly.
Summary one: the first big favorite can not win the championship
Lineup issues
I have carefully analyzed the Brazilian team's every championship winning lineup and found a very real thing: for brazil to win the crown in the end, there must be two or more world-class players in the front.
1958, 1962.1970 These three times there were the only ball king in history Pele and the "little bird" Garrincha
In 1994 there was the golden partner of Romario and Bebeto
2002 3R Rivaldo, Ronaldo, Ronaldo Jr
But this World Cup only Neymar an emperor superstar, and even more than this one, three consecutive times are so, a good man three gangs, a fence three piles, the role of superstars is immeasurable, and the Brazilian team has never been a civilian team, once the superstar is not enough or insufficient, it is difficult to win the championship.
Although the Brazilian team in 2022 is star-studded, full of flowers, stars are shining, and there are top talents on each line, but the real ability to play still depends on Neymar, and now that the 30-year-old "young and old" have not been able to support the team before, how easy is it now?
Summary two: Brazil's frontcourt lineup does not have two world-class superstars.
The manager's question
The current coach of the Brazilian team, Tite, is also the head coach of the last World Cup, indicating that Brazilian football in the coaching area is really a yellow flower of tomorrow, a pool of stagnant water, withering and defeat, there is no more choice, can only go downhill donkeys, dwarf piles to find giants.
Tite, the coach, you can't say that he is not qualified, he is an old good man, and he has a brilliant coaching performance, but his excellence is only reflected in the club, reflected in the World Cup qualifiers, to know that like that kind of game, the pressure is relatively relaxed, and the process is very long, there is enough time to face the pressure, make deployments, improve the method.
However, on the World Cup stage, if you can finally win the championship, there are only 7 games in total, and the knockout match is a fixed winner, and if you lose, you will go home
Obviously, Tite is not this kind of big game type coach, he is just a coach in the "circle", when he is ahead, he will have a calm face, when he is behind, he is also unfazed, he can't come up with ways and measures that can change his life against the sky, and when the game is eliminated, he looks like he is still thinking hard, holding his hands on his cheeks, but in fact, he is just pretending to be deep, there is no way at all.
When Brazil were behind Belgium at the last World Cup in Russia, we can see the manager's inability to do anything in the face of crisis, and the mediocrity and dullness are unmistakable.
A good coach is the most important and crucial factor in the success of a team.
Summary three: The head coach of Brazil is not a quality coach
fatalism
Remember the prediction god "Paul the Octopus" the Great of the 2010 World Cup in South Africa? A spiritual animal that guessed almost all the results of the game, and its magic made everyone stunned, incredible.
The World Cup also has a rule: a 24-year cycle
Several soccer powers have encountered this kind of thing and have been put under spells.
Germany, the 1990 World Cup winner, did not win the cup again until 24 years later at the World Cup in Brazil.
Brazilian football, the 1970 World Cup champion, also lifted the trophy again in 1994 after a gap of 24 years.
Italy, the 1982 World Cup winner, also won the title 24 years later in 2006.
In total, these three national teams have won 13 world championships
Five times in Brazil, four times each in Germany and Italy
The World Cup has only been held for 21 years
I have to say that this data is still somewhat reliable and convincing
Summary four: Brazil can not escape the fate of a round of life for 24 years.
At this point in the analysis, my heart is cold, I hope that all my analysis, judgment, and prediction will fail, and I hope that I will be hit hard in the face, even if the nose is blue and swollen, I will accept it.
Because I hope more than anyone that the Brazilian football team can wear the "golden ring" for the sixth time in this year's World Cup in Qatar.