Text/Mudor
Recently, Sweden and Finland formally signed the protocol to join NATO, paving the way for the next step into the ratification process. NATO Secretary-General Jens Stoltenberg said NATO was expanding at "the fastest pace ever." Al Jazeera said that as The two countries become NATO members, NATO will "expand the anti-Russian front."
Sweden and Finland are Both Nordic countries, and both border Russia, especially Finland, the strategic location is extremely important, its capital and Russia's rich western region is only separated by a bay, 900 kilometers away from the Russian capital Moscow, about 300 kilometers away from the russian western city of St. Petersburg, and according to the western Russian urban agglomeration is actually only about 100 kilometers, that is, the width of the Gulf of Finland. According to a report by the Global Times on November 10 last year, the U.S. Army decided to restart the 56th Artillery Command in Europe and equip it with the DarkHawk hypersonic missile system.
The Pentagon originally intended to deploy the Dark Eagle to Guam to strike targets in the South China Sea and coast, but because the United States and China signed a "Joint Declaration on Strengthening Climate Action," that is, a temporary compromise on development issues, the White House decided to deploy it to Europe first. If the Dark Hawk hypersonic missile appears in Finland, the US missile will be able to reach Moscow's Red Square in 9 minutes, St. Petersburg in 3 minutes, and pose a huge threat to Russia's rich western urban agglomeration in less than 1 minute.
Therefore, the joining of Ruifen and Finland to NATO has a great impact on Russia's national defense and security, which is one of them. Second, once The Two Countries become NATO members, in fact, it means the official launch of the second phase of the US operation against Russia. To illustrate this point, we must first find out what the first phase of the US action against Russia is, that is, the "Russian-Ukrainian conflict." Long before Putin sent troops to Ukraine, we wrote an article pointing out that this is a bureau laid by the United States, a "strategic trap" dug for Putin by Biden and his "military masters", and its purpose is to lure and coerce Putin to send troops.
The reason for the seduction is that NATO and the United States have said that "there is no moral and legal obligation to protect Ukraine", in fact, it is to imply that Putin "fight with confidence", Putin is worried about triggering a nuclear war, so he took the initiative to propose in the United Nations that "nuclear war cannot be fought, nor can it be won", and the United States is also "in favor of both hands and feet". Speaking of coercion, it is the United States that instigates and supports Ukraine to do two things: one is to "join NATO"; The other is to "retake Donbass" and force Putin to send troops to Ukraine.
Therefore, the Russian-Ukrainian conflict is the "first stage of action" carried out by the United States against Russia, in Chinese folklore, that is, "Jiang Taigong fishing - willing to take the bait", the matter of sending troops to Ukraine is indeed Putin's decision, or rather, this is the American version of "please enter the urn", in short, Putin and Russia are trapped. What does it mean for a polar bear to fall into a trap? 1. Russia's national strength will continue to be weakened; 2. In order to seek the protection of the United States, Europe has collectively turned to the United States, and anti-Russian and anti-China are not in question; 3. Pave the way for the "second phase of the US operation" against Russia.
For a simple example, Sweden and Finland have long been "eyebrow-to-eye" with the United States and NATO, why did they choose to join at this time? The reason is simple, the polar bear fell into the trap laid by the United States, and under the continuous bleeding, there is no time or energy to prevent Ruifen from joining NATO. You know, in 2016, Putin once issued a warning in front of the Finnish president, declaring that once Finland joins NATO, the Finnish army will become part of NATO's military strength, "Where do you think I will put the army?" ”
Therefore, the "first phase of action" of the United States against Russia has "paved the way" for Sweden and Finland to join NATO, and The entry of Ruifen into NATO means the beginning of the "second phase of action" of the United States against Russia. Now we can get to the point, what exactly is the "second phase action" of the United States against Russia? That is, "threatening Russia itself", further "maximum pressure" on Russia, and ideally, "forcing Putin to resign".
To illustrate, not long before, at the behest of the United States, Lithuania suddenly announced that it would block the Russian railways and roads to Kaliningrad Oblast and would not allow Moscow to use the transportation system in Lithuania to deliver supplies to the Russian "enclave" in Europe. Kaliningrad is bordered by the Baltic Sea to the west, Lithuania to the northeast, and Poland to the southeast, and if Lithuania "prohibits" the passage of Russian goods, then Kaliningrad's land transport will in fact be cut off, which is an "important step" in the "second phase" of the US operation against Russia.
What can Putin do? Although Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko said Lithuania's move was "tantamount to a declaration of war", and Russian presidential press secretary Peskov also said that Moscow had "prepared for the worst" and had "made up its mind", because the main energy was involved in the Ukrainian battlefield, Putin was unlikely to attack Lithuania. Lithuanian President Nauseda was even more "fearless" in saying that he did not think Putin would "invade" Lithuania because Lithuania is a "NATO country." Putin's possible remedy, then, can only be to transport all kinds of supplies by sea to Kaliningrad Oblast, so as to avoid a crisis in this "overseas state".
However, it should be pointed out that Russia's "sea supply line" to Kaliningrad Oblast is from St. Petersburg, and St. Petersburg is located in the north of the "Gulf of Finland", the west of the Gulf of Finland is Finland, the east is Estonia, as Finland becomes a member of NATO, Finland and Estonia have become a pair of NATO "iron tongs", dead stuck Russia's "sea outlet" to the Baltic Sea, so this sea supply line is either "not passable" at all, or in the dilemma of being "cut off" by the United States at any time. This is "very uncomfortable" for the fighting nation.
Therefore, do not cut Lithuania off Kaliningrad's supply line and "separate" from Sweden and Finland's accession to NATO, which are important components of the "second phase of the US operation" against Russia. The purpose of the first phase of the operation is to induce and coerce Putin to send troops, so that the Russian bear will fall into a strategic trap and continue to lose blood; The purpose of the second phase of the operation was to infiltrate the Russian mainland, and the British political scientist Roger Boyce wrote in the Times that "it is time to burn the flames of war into Russia.". Russia is too big, where to start "nibbling"? Of course, from the mouth to the beginning of the nibbling - Kaliningrad.
There is no doubt that if the West wants to seize this "enclave" of Russia, Putin will never agree, which means a larger war, white Russia will participate in the war, the Baltic countries will also participate in the war. At present, Belarus seems to be ready to enter the war, Putin is re-"nuclear arming" Belarus, and the theme of Belarus's military exercise in June is "transition from peacetime to wartime". Estonian Prime Minister Kalas worriedly said that according to NATO's current plan, "we will be erased on the map (Russia)", and she urged the United States to expand NATO's troop presence in the region.
According to a June 28 report by the Reference News Network, NATO decided to "more than 7 times" the "high-alert" force, from the current 40,000 to 300,000 to "better protect the (European) east flank." The land and sea supply lines have all been cut off, the Baltic Sea has almost become nato's "inner lake", and the Kaliningrad Oblast is isolated overseas. Putin's "borrowing" from Lithuania and Finland is probably difficult to achieve, unless Moscow makes concessions to the United States, but if he does, he is not necessarily a NATO opponent, which is "extreme pressure".
Some people say that Russia "has nuclear weapons", but the United States also has, and it is closer to the Russian mainland, the United States believes that Putin is "not desperate", because Putin is "rational", he knows that if a nuclear war really breaks out, Russia will certainly not exist, and now russia is still there, and the United States and Europe have not yet threatened Russia's "survival". Indeed, Putin said, "If Russia does not exist, what else does the world need to do", but now Russia is not still there, but it continues to lose blood, it may lose the future, it may just lose control of part of the country.
Are these acceptable to Putin? Fighting a nuclear war, it seems that the time has not come; Fighting a conventional war, the economy is too different from the United States and Europe, the "explosive" capability is insufficient, NATO can explode 7 times at a time, increase the number of troops by 300,000, and share only 10,000 people in one country. What about Russia? To fight a Ukraine, the 240,000-strong army is basically all thrown into it, so this conventional war and war of attrition cannot be fought, which is "called Hanako and dragon king Bibao". Therefore, Putin can only admit that The two countries have joined NATO, "knocking down the teeth and swallowing the blood alive."
For now, Russia must end the Russian-Ukrainian crisis as soon as possible, end the war with Ukraine as soon as possible, and then spend so much time in the trap, the next to join NATO is Georgia. If the United States and Europe use their hands and feet against Kaliningrad Oblast, can Russia "free up" when the conflict between Russia and Ukraine is still continuing, and in the case of "nuclear war cannot be fought and cannot be won"? Therefore, to say that the Russian-Ukrainian conflict is a bureau and a strategic trap, Putin's is indeed "impulsive", originally wanted to "win the sky and half a son", but the result was "dilemma", unfortunately, lamentable.