Author: Mingyue
The international situation is changing, and no one can say which tomorrow or accident will come first. In just a few days, Putin has received three pieces of bad news in succession, which may have a major impact on the future development of the situation in Russia and Ukraine. The first bad news is that Germany's "strongest howitzer" has arrived in Ukraine, and its advanced performance poses a great threat to the Russian artillery; The second bad news, domestic pressure is high, in order to rescue the British mercenary Johnson issued a threat to Russia: if the Execution of the British will "declare war"; The third piece of bad news is that a strategic transport plane of the Russian side was destroyed and disintegrated, exposing a major flaw in the Russian army. Let's talk about these things in detail.
First of all, the first bad news, according to relevant reports, recently, the first batch of 7 PzH2000 self-propelled howitzers from the German side have been delivered to the Ukrainian army for use, and subsequently, the German defense minister also directly said that the Ukrainian side has guaranteed that the German weapons obtained will not be used to attack the Russian mainland, confirming this report from the side.
It is worth mentioning that germany's PzH2000 self-propelled howitzer is proudly called by its minister of defense as the most advanced and powerful howitzer in the world. Indeed, the PzH2000 self-propelled howitzer is currently recognized as one of the most advanced self-propelled artillery in the world, not only has a super long range of more than 35 kilometers, but also because the operation is fully automated, so the rate of fire is extremely fast, the shooting accuracy is also very high, the use of rapid fire mode in less than ten seconds can fire 3 shells, within a minute can fire 13 shells, firepower is very strong, it can be said that if you have to find something shortcomings, it may be the only regret that the hull is heavier.
It is conceivable that once the Ukrainian army puts this first-class self-propelled artillery into the front line of combat, it will pose a serious threat to the Russian infantry and artillery units on the Russian-Ukrainian front, especially for the Russian artillery, almost the vast majority of artillery will be crushed by the PzH2000 self-propelled howitzer, and the only one that can compete with the PzH2000 self-propelled howitzer in combat performance is the Russian 2S19M2 "Msta River-S" 152 mm self-propelled howitzer. However, this advanced howitzer is not much equipped by the Russian army at present, only about two hundred, if the Ukrainian army adopts the guerrilla artillery tactic of "fighting one cannon for one place", it is difficult for the Russian army to timely draw the "Msta River-S" self-propelled howitzer to meet the battle.
At present, Ukraine has obtained advanced artillery from the West, in addition to the German howitzer, there are M777 type 155 mm howitzer, AS90 type 155 mm self-propelled howitzer, "Caesar" truck gun, M109 self-propelled howitzer, etc. Obviously, the West's support for Ukraine is constantly increasing, and the pressure on the Russian side is also increasing, if the future does not make up its mind to completely cut off the passage of NATO aid to Ukraine, I am afraid that the Russian army will be more and more difficult to fight in the future.
The second piece of bad news, in recent times, pro-Russian armed forces to execute British mercenaries fighting in Ukraine, can be described as a stone stirred up a thousand waves, under the huge pressure in the United Kingdom, recently, the British media publicly reported that its Prime Minister Johnson has said that if Putin's men execute the British who are "fighting" in Ukraine, then Johnson will "declare war" on the Russian side, then the situation between Russia and Ukraine will have a very dangerous turn, and even both sides will have no way to retreat.
It has to be said that Johnson's threat has indeed brought a lot of pressure to Putin, if he insists on executing these British mercenaries, it may lead to NATO directly intervening in the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, and even trigger a larger conflict between Russia and NATO, which is undoubtedly very unfavorable to the Russian side. But if these British mercenaries are spared, the Russian side will be completely disgraced, and other Western mercenaries will also think that the Russian side is very weak and dare not do anything to them, and there will definitely be more mercenaries involved in the Russian-Ukrainian conflict in the future.
The third bad news, the roof leaked overnight rain, just when the external situation deteriorated, the Russian side of the domestic incident, the Russian Ryazan Oblast near the city of Ryazan suddenly occurred a serious crash, the Russian side of a Il-76 strategic transport plane directly crashed, the scene of the fire soared, the plane carried 9 to 10 crew members have been killed at least two people, the other several people have been sent to a member for first aid, life and death is uncertain.
It should be noted that the place where this Il-76 strategic transport aircraft crashed is far from the Control Range of Ukraine, so it is basically impossible to be the work of the Ukrainian side, which is likely to be caused by the aging equipment of the Russian side and the lack of logistics maintenance capabilities, after all, many of the "military age" of this strategic transport aircraft are very large, and a major defect and problem of the Russian army in recent years is the lack of logistics management capabilities, which can easily lead to the occurrence of equipment accidents.
All in all, although the Russian army has achieved considerable results in the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, it is still a long way from victory, and once there is slackness and negligence, it is possible that the West will seize the opportunity to counterattack at any time, causing serious consequences.
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