Beijing time on May 2, the NBA Bucks defeated the Celtics on the road, the full score of 101-89, most of the time in this campaign the Bucks are pressed green Kai in the play, the highest time has led by 17 points, the Bucks G1 big win 12 points to win the second round of the playoffs, to this round of the series of big score Bucks 1-0 lead over Green Kai, big win 12 points is not a small point difference, which naturally makes the probability of Green Kai to advance to the East Finals have declined...
Before the second round of G1, the probability of Green Kai's promotion is 75%, the Bucks' probability is 25%, after the Bucks G1 defeated Green Kai, the US media 538 updated the playoff forecast, in the latest forecast, the Bucks' probability of advancing to the East Finals is 51%, the probability of Green Kai advancing to the East Finals is 49%, from 75% to 49%, the probability of Green Kai advancing to the East Finals is a 26%, and the probability of the Lone Ranger defeating the Suns in the latest forecast of the US media is only 21%, which can be seen that the plunge of 26%, which is really a very large decline!
The US media predicted that the probability of Green Kai's promotion declined, such a decline is justified, the first point is that Green Kai forced out the all-round alphabet brother, "anti-letter armor" is indeed effective, the letter brother hit only 36% of the whole field, but did not expect that the alphabet brother sent 12 assists in the whole field, the alphabet brother played the peak LeBron James's comprehensive data performance, "rounding up" the alphabet brother has now become a poisonous wine...
Either by the alphabet brother through, or to the alphabet brother tandem the whole field, this game bucks three-point shooting rate is only 35.3%, which is the bucks this season's second lowest level of playoffs, if the bucks find a three-point feel, the bag clip letter brother will most likely make Lu Kai lose more, without the bag clip, there should be no player in the active duty can stop the letter brother.
The first round can limit Kevin Durant's Tatum, he is relatively weak in front of the alphabet brother, it is difficult to limit the alphabet brother, whether it is the attack of the alphabet brother, or the organization of the alphabet brother, when the alphabet brother becomes all-powerful, the situation of the green kai is very difficult, and in addition to the letter brother, the breakthrough of the green kai cannot be opened under the bucks defense, which is the second point that can be seen as a decline in the green kai.
I think you remember, Tatum turned to the basket to kill the Nets, when the basket was actually Kyrie Irving, the Bucks are different, Big Law, Portis, Alphabet Brother, from standing pile guard frame to chase defense, Green Kai is basically unable to break in, the second round of G1 Tatum + Brown + Smart a total of 42 shots, 18 shots within the three-point line, 5 hits, the shooting rate within the three-point line is only 27.7%, Green Kai does not have ingram, peak Durant like the middle-range killer, If you can't break through, you can only rely on three-pointers (eating by the sky)...
Of course, The three-point shot of Green Kai's second round G1 is actually very good, their three-point shooting rate is 36%, which is higher than the Bucks, but this is not the style of Green Kai, the whole game their three-point shots accounted for nearly 60%, which is higher than their average three-point shots in the playoffs accounted for 14.8%, under the Bucks' defense, Green Kai suddenly did not go in, there is no way to change the rhythm, or that Green Kai embarked on the rhythm that the Bucks want to see.
Difficult to limit the letter brother, can not open the breakthrough, "floating" to play the Celtics, they naturally can not show the temperament of iron blood, in the US media prediction of the probability of Green Kai eliminating the Bucks is indeed 49%, but we can foresee, if Green Kai does not have good luck, such as the opponent's key players suffered injuries, Green Kai three-point shot projection explosion, otherwise they will not be able to enter the East Finals.
Looking back now, Durant's feel is sluggish, Irving's Ramadan state, the Nets' barren interior line, which cannot be seen in the Bucks, the alphabet brother and Durant's style are completely different, the Bucks do not have Irving and the interior line is very tall, that kind of Nets let Green Kai win very easily, that kind of Nets may also let Green Kai's strength be overestimated, right?