Earlier, the NBA officially announced the ranking of non-lotto picks, the Nets in the Rockets' hand were officially determined to fall on the 17th pick, and the Rockets' own first round would not have the result until after the May 17th draw, but because the Rockets are the team with the bottom line this season, the team's final draw result will be within the top five picks, of which the probability of the winner is 14%, the probability of the eye sign is 13.4%, the probability of the flower sign is 12.7%, the probability of the fourth pick is 12%, and the fifth pick is 47.9%.
From a probabilistic point of view, the Rockets still have a very big chance of locking in the top three picks, so there has been a lot of debate about who the Rockets should choose, or what the order of the draft is, and the rocket's general manager Stone also gave a response in an interview with Kelly iko: "Prioritize talent, and then worry about other things." ”
In the view of the US media, they are more optimistic about the rocket to choose Smith, and recently NBA reporter Ben DuBose sorted out the predictions of the major websites for the draft, of which 6 of the 12 media predicted that the rocket would choose Smith, 5 predicted to choose Homegren, and 1 predicted to choose Ivey. These draft predictions are already telling, and Smith is the Rockets' best choice.
It is undeniable that Homegren is the most talented player of this year, as a player over 7 feet tall, he not only has a strong ability to end the inside line, the outside line can also open up the space to shoot three points, the most important thing is that there is a certain ability to control the dribble, if the suitability alone, Homegren and the Rockets are simply a perfect match, but his too thin body makes his survival in the NBA a big question, in the past, even if there are players like Alphabet Brother rising, but Homegren is a white player, athletic ability to alphabet brother is not a level So Homegren's risk is greater than the talent he can bring to the team.
The other two hot frontcourt players, Bancello and Smith, both of them have the same height, and Cherot is undoubtedly better at personal technical maturity, and his athletic talent is not inferior to anyone, but there is a reason why he does not appear on this list, because Smith's big advantage is too obvious that Both Homegren and Bancello do not have, that is, his personal defensive ability. The well-known draft website NBAdraft gave Smith a total score of 100 points for ability, and a high score of 9 points for athleticism, body size, defense, speed, jump shots, potential and intangible assets, and relatively low was strength, rebounding and interior skills, each 7 points. It can be said that this is a fairly pertinent evaluation, as a tall 2.08 meters tall man with an arm span of more than 2.20 meters, coupled with his movement speed, which gives him a strong presence on the defensive end, he is also the most promising player in this rookie to be able to go from first defense to five.
In addition, Smith also has a very good three-point shooting ability, in college three-point shooting rate of 42%, his characteristics can just fill the Rockets' shortcomings, the Rockets lack of frontcourt height, overall poor defense, lack of stable outside fire points, Smith combines all skills in one, select him for the off-town will be a huge addition. In terms of talent, Smith is not bad, the basketball family father played in the NBA, cultivated him from an early age, although the technology is not as good as Banchero, but his development potential is greater. So