At present, Russia's "special military operation" in the Donbass region of Ukraine has been carried out for more than 40 days, and the Russian army's offensive has gone from the world's amazement to today's full screen of doubts, and everyone is discussing, how can the Russian army not even fight Ukraine? This is the military power of the top three great powers in the world.
Today I want to discuss a brain-opening topic, if this attack on Ukraine is replaced by the US military, then how will the US military fight? Will it also be like the Russian army from the blitzkrieg to the "protracted war"? Before we get to this topic, let's examine the reasons for the poor performance of the Russian army in the Russo-Ukrainian War. To summarize:
One is the fear of collateral damage to ordinary people
Russia's operational goal is to "demilitarize" Ukraine, that is, to eliminate Ukraine's military power. However, in the actual course of combat, many military targets are hidden in the city, and some Ukrainian officers and soldiers and ordinary people are mixed together to shoot cold guns at Russian soldiers, which brings great difficulties to Russian combat.
In the eyes of the Ukrainian people, the Russian army is the aggressor, and they hate the Russian army. In one video, a Russian soldier is surrounded by Ukrainians and won't let out. In desperation, he had to rush out of the crowd with two grenades in his hand. Before the Russian army fights, there will certainly be mass discipline, that is, to minimize the casualties of Ukrainian civilians, which will tie the hands and feet of the Russian army.
Second, the combat capability of military forces is not strong
The main forces of the Russo-Ukrainian War were the Army and the Air and Space Force, the Army was mainly based on heavily equipped ground groups, and the Air and Space Force participated in the war with various existing models. The Air and Space Force has been "pulled down", and as of now, about 40 fighter jets, helicopters, drones, etc. have been shot down, including the most advanced Su-35 fighters.
Due to the inability of the Russian Air Force to give strength, the ground operations of the Army were very difficult, and kiev, the capital of Ukraine, was not taken in the end. Although this is because the battlefield situation adjusts the deployment of troops, it is not a defeat, but if Kiev is occupied now, it will certainly be more favorable for the subsequent ceasefire negotiations.
The third is the threat from NATO
Ukraine has a total of about 255,000 active troops, about 5,200 tanks and infantry fighting vehicles, more than 3,000 artillery pieces of various types, and about 360 aircraft. If the comparison of troops and weapons is pure, it is certainly not a Russian opponent. But why did it persist until now?
Since the beginning of the war, the United States has provided about 1,400 sets of Stinger anti-aircraft missiles, 5,000 Javelin anti-armor missiles, more than 7,000 small arms, NATO can call on reconnaissance satellites in the sky, high-altitude unmanned aerial vehicles, and early warning aircraft in the air to provide Ukraine with the latest military movements of the Russian army. At the same time, the Russian army, as the offensive side, could not invest all its forces in Ukraine, after all, there was still a vast territory to defend.
Of course, there are many factors that affect the operations of the Russian army, such as insufficient precision-guided munitions, lack of systematic combat capabilities, lack of high-end reconnaissance methods, and low combat literacy of officers and men.
Now we discuss how to attack Ukraine if the Russian army is replaced by the US military, with reference to the situation of the US military in the Gulf War, the Kosovo War and the Iraq War, which are the three wars against a sovereign state, similar to the Russian-Ukrainian War. First, analyze the topography of Ukraine.
Ukraine is located above the eastern European plain, 95% of the territory is plain terrain, the average altitude of the plain is 175 meters. But if you drive on the ground in Ukraine, you can't feel the difference between high and low. There are few mountain ranges in Ukraine, with the Carpathian Mountains in the west and the Middle Russian Highlands and donets Ridge on the border with Kross in the east, but most of them are between 200 and 400 meters above sea level. Therefore, the terrain of The Flat River in Ukraine is very suitable for the operation of US air rifle divisions, armored divisions, and air assault divisions.
The U.S. military usually sends special forces deep into Ukraine 48 hours before the start of the war, in a group of 12 people, to carry out tasks such as reconnaissance of targets, guided attacks, rescues behind enemy lines, psychological countermeasures, and rescue of prisoners of war. The war will start around 3 a.m. to 5 a.m., which is the time when people go into deep sleep and when the army's vigilance is at its lowest.
The targets of the first round of air raids were the Ukrainian army's command posts at all levels, radar stations, air force airfields, anti-aircraft missile positions, and other targets to ensure the acquisition of battlefield air supremacy. In the Iraq War, the proportion of precision-guided munitions used by the US military was 68%, and the air strike against the Ukrainian army is estimated to reach more than 80%. Ukraine is a landlocked country, and the Black Sea belongs to the inland sea, so the US aircraft carrier battle group can only anchor in the Adriatic Sea and the Aegean Sea and launch cruise missiles to attack important targets in Ukraine.
In the Iraq War, in less than 24 hours of the US air strike, the ground combat group attacked from the north and south directions. Ukraine is not yet weak enough to the extent of Iraq, so the air strikes will last for about a week, until the main Ukrainian railways, roads, ports, electricity, communications and other infrastructure are destroyed, and the combat effectiveness of the Ukrainian ground combat force is reduced by 50%, and then the ground reloaded group operation will be dispatched.
Ukraine is bordered by Russia to the east and Belarus to the north, both of which are rival countries of the United States, so the U.S. army ground forces will enter Ukraine from the west and south, and the target is the capital Kiev. The distance from Odessa to Kiev along the E95 highway is about 460 km in the south, and the straight-line distance from lviv to Kiev in the west is also about 460 km. In the Iraq War, the US 3rd Aircraft Infantry Division set a record of 360 kilometers in 40 hours in the desert, directly caught the Iraqi army by surprise, greatly accelerated the course of the campaign, and the attack on the capital Kiev will also adopt this method of warfare.
With the cooperation of the air assault division, the US aircraft infantry division will directly transfer from the assembly area to the large-depth battle and directly attack the capital Kiev. Due to the strong synergy between US air power and ground power, the offensive speed of US ground forces will also be very fast on the plains of Ukraine. The US military will not use the Russian ground troops to attack the city and plunder the ground, step by step as a battalion, usually take the "frog jump" method to run long-range, estimating the resistance of the ground troops of the Upper Ukrainian Army, about 4 to 5 days will reach the outskirts of the capital Kiev.
For the siege of Kiev, the US military will not be as benevolent as the Russian army. Following the model of air strikes on Baghdad, the Iraqi capital, the U.S. military will use air power to carry out indiscriminate bombing, many innocent ordinary people will be killed, and Kiev is likely to become a ruin. The U.S. military is likely to occupy Ukraine within a month, and then pro-pro-Pro-American regime will be established.
War has always been cruel, look at the current Iraqi people, still have not lived a happy life, war has never been a means to solve the problem. It is still hoped that Russia and Ukraine can remain calm, Ukraine will not fight a proxy war under the deception of NATO, a large number of Ukrainian people have been displaced, and the two sides will return to the negotiating table to solve problems and disputes together is the most fundamental way.