On Monday (April 4), the ATP released a new edition of the standings as usual. One of the most notable is Alcaraz, who has just won the Miami Masters. The 18-year-old Spanish rising star has reached the latest ranking of 11th place. Many people think that Alcaraz has a promising future, and even hopes to reach the top of the world in 2 years.
Relative to the fiery Alcaraz, people seem to have forgotten Federer, the top traffic star of the tennis world.
In this period of the points ranking, Federer's latest points is 1120 points, ranking 44th, down 18 places from the previous period.
Federer's most recent match was at Wimbledon last July, when he lost 3-6, 6-7 0-6 to Hulkach in the quarter-finals. He hasn't played in 9 months.
Professional tennis adopts a 52-week rolling point system, and many people may wonder why Federer, who has not participated in the game for a long time, still has so many points and such a high ranking.
This is a more complicated explanation. Simply put, it is because of the epidemic that ATP has temporarily adjusted the point rules. Instead of bothering to figure out the adjustment process of the integral rules, it is better to analyze the composition of Federer's integrals.
My analysis concluded that Federer would lose his spot on July 11, when he was on the verge of de facto retirement.
According to the data released by the ATP official website, Federer's current points are 1120 points, which are classified according to the level of the event as follows: 780 points for grand slams, 90 points for masters, and 250 points for ATP500. The breakdown is shown in the following table.
The above shows that Federer will lose all points on July 11. If he had not competed in any previous competitions, his points would have been cleared to zero, losing his standings.
The latest news about Federer's comeback is that he will make a comeback this fall, meaning he will give up this year's Wimbledon. The most certain news about the match is that he will partner Nadal for the Rodrawall Cup this fall.
Federer was briefly interviewed by Swiss broadcaster SRF while visiting the women's World Cup skiing match in Lenzerheide on March 5, revealing that he had undergone an MRI test a few weeks earlier and was satisfied with the results. But he can't run yet, and plans to increase his training intensity in the coming months, planning to make a comeback this fall once his fitness and strength are restored.
Federer's coach Luthor said: "At the moment, I don't think he'll play Wimbledon. I'm not the kind of person who says it's impossible, but I can't imagine it right now. He is still in the recovery phase, not only to exercise the knee and leg muscles, but also to strengthen the entire body. This is a complete conditioning procedure. (Note: The first and third left of the picture below are Federer's parents.) ）
So the optimistic estimate is that Federer still has a long way to go before he returns to the field, until then he can only play casual tennis with his wife, Milka, and his children.
Combining the above analysis, I conclude that given Federer's physical condition and the abandonment of Wimbledon, it is almost impossible for him to return to the top. In addition, after the points are cleared in July, as long as he wants to participate, I believe that any event will issue him a wild card. However, the wild card can only allow him to participate, but it does not guarantee that he will have a good signing. Federer may meet a strong seeded player early, and the promotion will be more difficult than before, which can be referred to Murray's comeback experience.
In addition, fans will not be able to see Federer's match until the Laver Cup in London from 23-25 September this year. (Source: Tennis House Author: Yun Cirrus Yunshu)