According to foreign media sources, the Ukrainian Ministry of Defense said that Kiev and the surrounding areas have been "liberated" from the hands of the Russian army. Previously, the Russian side also released news to the outside world: kiev and a series of surrounding cities have taken "downgrade" treatment, and military operations have slowed down. Combined with the attitudes of Russia and Ukraine, the outside world speculates that this sudden "conflict" may gradually come to an end under the mediation of many parties.
Xiao Tie personally felt that things would not end so sloppily. First: The Western way of "maneuvering" is not moderate, and the practice of directly getting started with sanctions does not look like it is to "calm things down" at all. In the face of the Endless Sanctions of the West, russia has not bowed its head, from cutting off the European "air supply pipe" to forcing the ruble to buy energy, all indications are that Russia wants to take the opportunity to compete with the West. And from another point of view, Russia has no possibility of compromise, and taking a step back may be a bottomless abyss, in which case Moscow cannot retreat.
Second: At present, Russia and Ukraine are conducting the fifth round of negotiations, after the news that the Ukrainian side can accept the "neutral attitude", but it needs a third party to provide security guarantees to avoid being attacked by Russia again. Judging from the progress of the negotiations, Russia is currently on the "dominant side". Under normal circumstances, everyone will take advantage of the chase and get more conditions in their favor. The reason why the Ukrainian side proposed "third-party guarantees" may be that the pressure is really too much and has to make concessions.
Third: The military "downgrade" on the Russian side is true, but it is clear in the news of the Western media that Ukraine's so-called "liberation of Kiev" cannot be verified, so the outside world is still questioning whether Ukraine has retaken Kiev. Combined with the previous Ukrainian practices, it is possible that this "liberation" is just cheering up and "waving the flag" for Ukrainian soldiers. This kind of fake news is not the first time that the Ukrainian side has released it to the outside world in a dignified manner. Therefore, the ukrainian side of the news is difficult to distinguish between true and false, and further verification is needed.
Finally, the conflict between Russia and Ukraine is optimistically estimated at when it will end. According to Xiao Tie's personal conjecture, if the Russian army turns to the tactics of encircling the cities in the countryside, it may drag the war into the winter and then encroach on the big cities of Ukraine little by little. Of course, in this process, Ukraine is overwhelmed and makes concessions on many conditions, and Russia will stop, after all, compared to "no-cost trading", Russia also has to pay a price for fighting.
(Text/Xiaotie)