Who is to blame for the tragedy in Ukraine?
Takashi Hashimoto
At the weekend, the world denounced the entry of Russian troops into Ukraine, and several Ukrainian supermarkets in Japan were smashed for selling Russian goods. Many people leave a message under the author's article, do you support Putin? Are you a Putin fan? Here again: I am not a fan of Putin and do not support foreign troops entering the territory of other countries. But one thing to understand is who caused this situation today? Of course, it is President Putin who can give orders in Russia, but the order to require troops to enter the territory of other countries is not so good, why did the president who has been willing to negotiate with Europe for the past 20 years suddenly overturn the table.
From another point of view, in the late 1940s, the US Democratic regime implemented a series of policies in China to support the Kuomintang regime, and when the Kuomintang regime failed, the United States lost China, but the US government issued a white paper, believing that China's defeat was at the top of the Kuomintang and had nothing to do with US policy. This time the United States plays the same role in Ukraine.
The author's impression of Ukraine is only the Ukrainian big white pig, Ukraine is the largest supplier of agricultural products in the former Soviet Union, pork, wheat and so on are very famous. However, there was also a "Great Famine in Ukraine" in the history of Ukraine, after which Khrushchev, in order to appease the emotions of the Ukrainians, gave Russia's Crimea to the Ukrainians with a big stroke of the pen, believing that with Crimea, Ukraine had no opinion on Russia, but did not expect that the Ukrainians had always remembered history, when the Soviet Union disintegrated, Ukraine was the most active promoter, and Ukraine also became one of the former republics that wanted to get rid of the Soviet Union, and the Crimea given by Khrushchev also sowed the seeds for the subsequent Russian-Soviet dispute.
I looked at time magazine's database and found that the magazine had always taken an ugly stance against the Soviet Union and Russia, and from the Stalin era to the present, even Gorbachev, an old friend of the American people, his wife on the cover was a symbol of extravagance and lust, not to mention other leaders who did not have very good relations with the United States. Yeltsin and Putin were once the most resolute leaders of Russia's Westernization, and to this day, Putin is described as the "devil" of the world. Or pressure from the outside.
Chinese mainland a popular sentence before the New Year, the author thinks it is very reasonable: the anger is big, and it is necessary to go to the cell if the fight is won, and the situation of entering the ward if the fight is lost, and both lose and hurt. The author told the readers of the message that the whole world is criticizing Putin one-sidedly, and putin who orders is to bear historical responsibility, but President Biden, who calculates various votes for his own votes, believes that the EU, which is in full control, has no responsibility. The "just" media argument in the United States and the European Union is that Putin wants to lead Russia to conquer the world, so he sends troops into Ukraine, so such a person is the "evil man" of the world. The author believes that in addition to nuclear weapons, Russia's economic strength is not as good as China's Guangdong Province (or Malaysia), what confidence to conquer the world, in the past 20 years, the world has not seen him have such a confidence, but only to see the United States and the European Union in Russia blunt knife meat, NATO continues to expand eastward.
Many people say that the "Cuba crisis" is Khrushchev's military adventure (which is also his crime after he stepped down), but who has ever thought that before the "Cuba crisis", the United States deployed nuclear bombs into Turkey, which is not at the doorstep of Russia? At the same time, the United States also launched the "Bay of Pigs Incident" against Cuba to get rid of Russia's little brother, so that there will be a "Cuban crisis". At that time, the whole world was criticizing the Soviet Union for nuclear intimidation and nuclear adventure, and few people criticized Kennedy's "nuclear adventure" and "state terrorism". When Soviet missiles were deployed in Cuba, the United States immediately blockaded Cuba with threats to the country, and "inspected" soviet cargo ships, threatening to use force if they did not withdraw. This is not the same as Ukraine's accession to NATO, the United States believes that such behavior is a threat, President Putin can not think that Ukraine is also a threat?
In 1992, the "new Yalta Agreement" of German reunification was completely repudiated by the Biden regime, putin and the Russians were either artificially Gorbachev or "fools", cheated in international politics, and once they had such a feeling, they would use their strength to retake it. The author speculates on President Biden's idea, your country has no money, everything is in the hands of the United States, once the United States sanctions, you must obediently submit, the United States will not care about any verbal agreement. To put it more seriously, perhaps the US side warned Russia: You call me to try it.
"Insulted"
Putin will also judge that when Ukraine joins NATO, Russia will be one to ten, now start, there are "nuclear weapons" sitting, the United States and the West are "paper tigers", there is no reason to intervene, this may be constantly warning the West, Russia has nuclear weapons of the deep reason, the Americans said did not expect Putin to fight back, Putin is not brain damaged, such a precise calculation, choose the right time, the American brain is broken. Sure enough, the Russian military entered Ukraine, and neither the United States nor the European Union could openly help, and even promised that Ukraine would join the European Union and join NATO in the future. Even when Russia announced that Russian military aircraft held Ukrainian airspace, Ukraine demanded that the United States and the European Union establish a no-fly zone, which was immediately rejected by the United States.
President Putin's decision to send troops into Ukraine is abhorrent, but the Biden regime that forced Putin to Liangshan has no responsibility, moral responsibility, historical responsibility.
The author's column once mentioned that before the outbreak of war, the Biden regime assured Ukraine that there would be no war, and that if there was a war, the United States would use the "financial atomic bomb" to sanction Russia. First of all, this "atomic bomb" only bombed 7 of Russia's more than 400 banks, could not completely block Russia's financial system, and did not play a significant role in the situation in dangerous Ukraine. The financial sanctions imposed on Russia have led to a sharp rise in energy prices and raw material prices around the world. On March 5, the news came out that the United States and the European Union began negotiations to ban Russian oil exports. Can Russian oil exports be banned? Even if some of them can be banned, it will still be The allies of the United States such as Japan, Germany, and South Korea. The blow to Russia is limited, and even good news for some countries. Some people say that without Russian oil, with Iranian oil, the United States can manage the world so freely?
The crisis in Ukraine has left Asia unrestful. In the 1990s, NATO and the United States bombed the New Yugoslavia in the name of the humanitarian crisis in former South Kosovo, and set up a no-fly zone over Kosovo, which lasted for dozens of days, and the military gap made the Federal Republic of Yugoslavia agree to withdraw from Kosovo. However, this time, the world's big media publish all kinds of tearful photos every day, the author also said to look at the photos, the recent photos of Ukrainian children crying, the buildings destroyed by artillery fire, the crying crowd, it seems that the United States and the European Union are about to intervene, but the Ukrainians are thinking wrong, the European Union and the United States chose to avoid conflict, because once the conflict is a "nuclear war".
Ukraine could have avoided crying, and in January 1994, ukraine, with assurances from the United States, Britain, and Russia, renounced its "nuclear weapons" and announced the destruction of 2,000 nuclear warheads. If Ukraine also had a "cannon battle", would the Russian army enter Ukraine? Will those countries that watch this "tragedy" give up their nuclear weapons without the assurance of the United States? The author finds it very difficult that former President Trump wanted to "persuade" a country to give up and was unwilling to provide a state guarantee, and no one would believe this verbal promise, because the US president changed once every 4 years, and once he left the White House, no one recognized the verbal assurance.
After the Russian army entered Ukraine, in the voice of criticism around the world, former US President Trump praised Putin. This praise is both a criticism of the Biden regime and a helpless expression of conservative forces in the United States. The reason is very simple, Trump has been co-opting Russia, that is, he wants to break up Russian-Chinese relations and eventually contain China. And now, stimulated by the Biden regime, Russia and the United States have torn their faces, serious confrontation with Europe, strengthened Russia-China relations, the plan of conservative forces is bankrupt, and Trump has scolded President Biden for "divine help". This kind of "divine help" also includes Shinzo Abe, the Japanese prime minister who has met President Putin 27 times, who wants to build a network of encirclement of China by solving the northern territory problem, and this plan eventually collapsed in the footsteps of Prime Minister Kishida in president Biden's footsteps.
Before the Russian army entered Ukraine, the Biden regime confidently assessed that Russia's fragile financial system was completely in the hands of Europe and the United States, without the slightest ability to resist. But once Russia is not willing to succumb to the United States and the European Union, it is necessary to seek external help, you have to exclude Russia's 7 banks from the SWIFT system, Russia can only build a new system "CIPS", without the Biden regime's "divine help", Russia can not make such a determination. When the transport of oil to the west was hindered, it was east and south. I have already mentioned in a recent column the growth of Russian-Chinese trade over the past 10 years, as well as the complementary trade content. There is no way to plug this big gap.
The Biden administration continues to strengthen American manufacturing, inheriting the soft cutting strategy of the previous Trump administration. When russian troops entered Ukraine, the two major economies of the United States and the European Union imposed sanctions on Russia, forcing Putin and Russia to comply. China is an emerging economy that has been suppressed by the US-led Western bloc for the past three years, and in this Ukraine crisis, China's strategy, as I estimated a week ago, has taken a rational and neutral stance, calling on both sides to restore peace through direct dialogue. Such an attitude not only ensures China's own basic interests, but also wins the understanding of the Ukrainian side. At the same time, in the context of the huge sanctions imposed by the United States, the concern about the United States and the "hegemonic" dollar is also what many countries need to consider. Russia is really isolated by the United States and the European Union, the internationalization of the renminbi will accelerate, the renminbi will become a safe-haven currency, or it will enable China to establish its own financial system. This is also the real reason why former President Trump believes that the United States should not stimulate Russia.
Returning to the title of this article, who bears the responsibility for the "tragedy" in Ukraine, Russia and the United States, two former Cold War rivals, have important responsibilities. For the Biden regime, it thought that it would force Russia into a corner, force it to obey, and gain capital for its midterm elections, but it did not expect that President Putin still had the "genes" of cossacks in his blood, and finally decided to go to war. For the United States, the Ukraine crisis is the "second Pearl Harbor incident", and it is necessary to win the dominance of this crisis for the sake of face. Russia has proposed to Ukraine the conditions for an armistice withdrawal, and in the context of nuclear weapons, President Putin has decided that the European Union and the United States will not openly interfere, and the Russians want to achieve their goals. Only Ukraine has become a tragic role in this contest for great powers, and once it cannot assume its own national security and completely entrust its fate to a third country, it is often the "victim" that eventually becomes a great power.
Original name: The Ukraine Crisis Is the "Pearl Harbor Incident" directed by the United States