In the past few days, Russia has attacked Ukraine, and many netizens in China have different opinions and support both sides, so today I will sort out several issues by clarifying several issues, from which to talk about the reasons and background of this war.
1, why did Russia attack Ukraine?
It is not because Ukraine has been leading to the West, Ukraine has been turning to the West for many years, why does Russia have to pick this time to send troops, because this time Ukraine wants to join NATO, and this is what Russia cannot tolerate at all.
First of all, to be clear, NATO is different from the EU, it is a purely military organization. The background of the establishment was that during the Cold War, the two camps of the United States and the Soviet Union were tit-for-tat, the United States and Western Europe established NATO as the main body, and the Soviet Union and some countries in Eastern Europe established the Warsaw Pact. Theoretically, with the collapse of the Soviet Union and the dissolution of the Warsaw Pact, NATO lost its meaning or goal. But in recent years, NATO has been expanding eastward, taking in many countries that were originally dismantled by the Soviet Union. What is the significance of NATO's existence in this case? Who is this threat in response to a regional threat? I don't say you know.
Kremlin
Ukraine is clamoring to join an organization against Russia, no wonder Russia reacts so strongly, so what does Ukraine's joining NATO mean for Russia. This means that NATO can deploy corresponding defensive/offensive weapons in its own neighboring country, including but not limited to various missiles, and then launch missiles from NATO and fly to Moscow in 20 minutes, which is why Russia will not hesitate to send troops to let Ukraine join NATO. In the final analysis, Russia cannot afford the consequences of Ukraine's joining NATO, which is too much of a threat to Russia's own national security. In order to avoid this happening, it is not surprising that it is necessary to fight Ukraine at the expense of extensive sanctions imposed by Western countries.
2, Is joining NATO good for Ukraine?
The answer is simple – no.
Many people have said that Ukraine is a buffer between Russia and NATO, and the purpose of Russia's military operation is also to overthrow the current government and establish a new government to ensure that Ukraine remains this buffer.
The flag of NATO
So some people say that the Ukrainian people have the right to choose their own destiny, and they can choose not to do this buffer. So the question is, if Ukraine does not do a buffer to join NATO, then what will Ukraine be at this time? It's the front line. NATO's front line against Russia. So think about it, is it better to buffer a little.
3, since there is no benefit to Ukraine, why does he still have to join NATO?
Russia has long made its position clear that Ukraine will never be allowed to join NATO, can Ukraine foresee that once it intends to join NATO, it will attract Russia's attack, so why should he take this step?
Because someone needs him to take this step, if Ukraine joins NATO, NATO and Russia completely lose their buffer, in fact, it is not a good thing for old Europe and Russia, because old Europe is still very afraid of Russia's steel torrent and huge nuclear arsenal. Before there was a twist or something, I thought that there was still Ukraine in the middle, so it was good to punish each other with insults. And Ukraine joins NATO, according to the agreement that Ukraine is invaded by NATO, these countries must be the scalp and Russia, which is equivalent to being tied to this car.
If it doesn't work out, then it is ironclad because Russia has sent troops, taking the opportunity to sanction Russia, which is actually not good for Europe, because Europe is highly dependent on Russian energy and agricultural products (wheat: the main raw material for bread). Sanctions against Russia, Europe's losses are actually not small, equivalent to killing a thousand enemies and losing 800.
So who exactly benefits? United States.
Ukraine's successful entry into NATO, Ukraine and Europe are bound, and Europe's capital insecurity will naturally return to the United States.
Ukraine has been invaded by Russia, Europe is equally insecure, there will still be some capital backflow, at the same time, can legitimately sanction one of its biggest competitors Russia, the key, Russia's two important export projects, energy and agricultural products also happen to be abundant in the United States. Because of the epidemic and its own economic crisis, the previous inflation in the United States will not be able to withstand, and now that it is such a show, the United States has eased up and can continue to harvest Europe.
4, why Ukraine makes such a choice.
Eastern European countries have been infiltrated very badly, including Russia itself, in fact, it is not much better, coupled with the public opinion before the United States and Europe and even on other fronts of investment, as long as the Eastern European countries are a normal popular vote, casting a pro-Western regime is the inevitable result. Since it is pro-Western, then listening to the Words of the United States is certain, and the fear of Russia is also certain, thinking that Western European countries are so wary of Russia, Ukraine's insecurity will only be more, not less. As for the politician, if it is normal circumstances, he will not take this risk, but Zelenskiy's current support rate is only 20%, and in the case of such a low support rate, the whole life is the only way out for him to consolidate his position, in the end he is gambling, betting that Russia does not dare to send troops or nato also sends troops after Russia sends troops, but the bet is lost. The point is that the United States gave him the illusion that he could gamble and win.
President of Ukraine Zelenskiy
So in the final analysis, Russia's attack on Ukraine is a conspiracy designed by the United States for Russia, and Russia can only choose the lesser of two evils. There will inevitably be losses if you fight, and the losses will be even greater if you don't fight. And the biggest beneficiary is only one.
Who is most looking forward to the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, and who announced in advance the time of Russia's march (although it did not materialize)? It is estimated that the lords of the US Congress have been celebrating with champagne these days.