There is hardly any direct war between the great powers, and in recent years it has been almost the consensus of the whole world.
Why is Russia still insisting on fighting Ukraine?
Of course, whether it is military, economic or demographic, Ukraine is not a great power.
But Ukraine's geography is delicate, between NATO and Russia.
NATO was founded very early, more than a month before the new China (August 24, 1949).
The full name is "North Atlantic Treaty Organization", in fact, the United States took the lead, pulled some European countries to get a gang, and then successively joined some small countries.
The United States, of course, is the helper.
In recent years, NATO has been expanding eastward, that is, it is flaunting its power against Russia, a big country.
As for Ukraine, it was originally supported by Russia before, and it is uncertain how much help it has given, but at least it is true that Russia has helped Ukraine pay off a lot of debts.
Logically, Ukraine should honestly be Russia's "concubine".
However, Ukraine does not like Russia and has begun to "squeeze the eyebrows" of NATO, and even help NATO deal with Russia.
At this time, Russia is intolerable, and it used to look at the face of affection, just a slight warning, such as controlling a "Crimea", forget it.
But Ukraine does not recognize this face, but feels that Russia is ruthless and unjust, and is bullying him. 、
So then I went on to make trouble, and I almost cried twice and hanged myself three times.
The strength of the trouble lies in the fact that NATO, including the United States, promised Ukraine that it would help him.
Ironically, however, Ukraine took the initiative to join NATO, hoping to join NATO, so it kept writing love letters to NATO members, but no country was willing to accept him.
If once "married" into NATO, not only will there be a name, but according to NATO rules, when any member state is attacked by armed forces, it will be regarded as an attack on all member states, and it will naturally provide help in a bright and just manner.
Obviously, Ukraine's calculations have failed, and after half a day, NATO has just flirted with itself.
Now well, completely annoyed the ex-boyfriend Russia, Russia roared, real knives and real guns spanking came.
The new "Oba" United States does not care, just sweet words on the lips, give a little heart massage.
Although Russia is not economically good or politically influential, it is very strong.
Since Ukraine is in the twilight, you think I am poor, I think I am not prominent enough, but it is more than enough to knock your little Ukraine.
So there was the battle against the capital Kiev on February 24, 2022.
The campaign is pretty and funny.
The specific battle was detailed in the previous article, and if you don't read it, it is still quite wonderful.
The funny thing is that the Russian Army swaggered the armored vehicles and tanks directly on the Ukrainian highway unimpeded, all the way parallel to the local cars.
The scene was quite harmonious, I did my work, went straight to Kiev, the people walked the way of the people, and took out their mobile phones to take pictures.
I think it can be listed as one of the "Top Ten Wonders".
In fact, in the final analysis, the core reason is that all major countries want absolute security around their territory, and the premise of absolute security is that there is a "buffer zone".
Ukraine, as an intermediary between Russia and NATO, serves well as this buffer zone.
Ukraine, on the other hand, has slowly changed from relying on Russia to leaning toward NATO now.
This directly brings a huge threat to Russia, if Ukraine completely falls to NATO, Russia can only "guard the country's door" in the future, there is no room for strategic depth, and NATO can also directly deploy troops on the Russian border.
This consequence is beyond Russia's reach.
So Ukraine must be controlled.
But there is no need for Russia to directly annex Ukraine, of course, it is also difficult, it is difficult to destroy a country in the true sense of modern times, and it is not necessary, the gain is not worth the loss, just need to "obey", the size of the territory is not as important as in ancient times.
In the past, the development of the country relied on grain, the territory area was very important, there was no grain without territory, there was no people without food, no one had national strength, and no national strength was bullied.
The development of modern countries depends on the economy, on industry, on technology, and of course on force.
Therefore, Russia does not need a large area of Ukraine, but it needs to ensure that the absolute security of its territory is not threatened, and at the same time use other means to shear the wool of the developed countries.
Ukraine's military power is too weak, and if NATO does not interfere, Russia will soon be able to control all of Ukraine.
But is it possible that NATO will not interfere?
The United States will not send troops, just like the beginning of the article, the probability of direct confrontation between major powers is very low, it is not good for both sides, the cost is too high, and the meaning and purpose of war have been lost.
If you still want to use Ukraine as a pawn, the United States cannot intervene directly, but it is okay to support other NATO countries to intervene, such as those in Europe.
But the key thing is that Russia is a super exporter of oil and gas, and most of the people who buy these things from Russia are European countries, and of course the United States.
At this time, it is like I am your supplier, you suddenly take a knife to stab me, I am not afraid of you, I can only not supply you, or increase the price.
This is something that European countries cannot afford.
At the same time, most european countries only lead the United States, and the United States does not want Russia to comfortably control Ukraine.
So while Europe itself is reluctant, pressure from the United States may intervene in ukraine to some extent.
The probability of sending an Air Force is higher.
Moreover, the army is likely to be unable to do the old hair, and the Russian army is still very powerful.
The United States, on the other hand, shouts slogans every day, creates public opinion on the Internet, and supports European intervention.
But further west of Ukraine, it is NATO, and the United States must send troops to NATO countries, otherwise how to appease people's hearts.
If successfully intervened, the western side of Ukraine would fall to NATO, and the eastern part of Ukraine would fall to Russia.
Probably this ending is acceptable to both sides.
But this two sides, excluding Ukraine itself, he has no freedom.