A deep inquiry into the conflict in Ukraine

With regard to the Ukrainian issue, we should look at it from an objective and impartial point of view, not blindly side under the influence of some public opinion, as a third party other than the two sides of the incident, what we have to do is to blow away the superficial fog and explore the deep-seated problems of the outbreak of this incident.

With regard to the conflict between Russia and Ukraine, we can understand it in a large international context, only in this way can we truly understand the logic behind it. Behind this conflict is a game between NATO and Russia represented by the United States and Britain, both of which are chess players, and Ukraine can only serve as a chessboard for the major forces.

Returning to Ukraine itself, we can find that its domestic situation is complex, political instability is high, and economic oligarchy seriously affects politics. Over the past decade, Ukraine's population has fallen from 52 million to 42 million, with sustained inflation and polarization. Moreover, there are huge differences between the eastern and western regions, the eastern region of Ukraine has long been influenced by the high-pressure politics of Tsarist Russia in history and culture, and the central and western regions have been mostly influenced by the liberal ideas of Central Europe; in addition, the eastern region is a large-scale heavy industrial zone during the Soviet period, with heavy industrial sectors such as coal, steel, heavy machinery, chemical industry, electric power, and cement developed, and the southern region is one of the process-oriented industrial zones, with machinery industry, food industry, light industry, shipping industry and tourism developed. The economic relations between the south-eastern region and Russia present a complementary structure, while the central and western regions are agricultural areas with a lower level of industrial development and greater influence from Central Europe. As a result, there are very different political demands between the east and the west, the east wants to strengthen relations with Russia, and the west wants to join the EUROPEAN Union and NATO and be accepted by the Western society.

Therefore, there are three ways before the Ukrainian government: the first is to choose European integration and act as the vanguard of anti-Russian resistance in European society; the second is to join the Eurasian integration led by Russia and shoulder the pressure of the West with Russia; the third is to take a middle line, clarify its own attitude, and seek more development resources and greater development space for Ukraine through the way of "riding the wall". In fact, normal people will choose the third way, because Ukraine is still in a weak position compared to the chess player of the "chessboard", even if his strategic position is extremely superior, it has a great impact on the other sides. But Ukraine has made an extremely irrational decision – after Russia has repeatedly expressed its opinion that Ukraine will not be allowed to join NATO, it still sends a request to NATO to "join".

Ukraine is rich in artists, but he seems to produce few politicians, and Ukraine's ability to grasp its own destiny is too poor. Internally highly divided, there is no unified idea in the country, the west is pro-Western, the east is independent, at this time it is necessary for a fierce man from heaven to save Ukraine, Zelenskiy, a person from an actor, can he be president? Can't do it, don't have the ability to know? Now that Wudong Erzhou is independent, the next eastern region is not chaotic. Moreover, NATO explicitly refused to allow countries with territorial disputes to join, and this time NATO did not have to join, and it formed a beam with Russia.

International politics is a cruel political game, and compared with large powers, small countries need political stability, superb diplomatic skills, long sleeves and good dances. While superb political skills belong to the political unity, high-level strongman politician as a whole, it is clear that the Ukrainian government is not yet capable of adapting to the challenges of the international situation

Looking at Russia, as the greatest heir of the Soviet Union, he not only inherited the most legacy of the Soviet Union, but also inherited the hostility of the European and American worlds to the Soviet Union. Even though Yeltsin later adopted a series of reform measures to make Russia a huge crisis in order to be recognized by the Western world, it was not accepted by the Western world. At this time, the Russians found themselves deceived, so they could only choose another path, a path suitable for their own development - by constantly developing themselves and influencing Europe, alleviating the influence of the United States on Europe, in exchange for their own development space. Today's Russia can be said to be another perspective back to the Tsarist Russia at the end of the 18th century and the beginning of the 19th century, when the Tsarist Russia had Britain and France in the west, British India in the south, and the Qing Dynasty in the east; at this time, Russia and the west had NATO, the European Union, and the southern region was also facing "blockade". So Russia has a very serious border anxiety.

For the sake of strategic security, Russia has adopted a defensive expansion, defensive expansion. If the periphery can be annexed, it will be annexed, if it cannot be annexed, it will be supported to become its own protectorate, and if it cannot become a protectorate, it will develop into a buffer zone, in short, it will not allow hostile forces to directly threaten Russia.

Therefore, in the face of Ukraine's request to join NATO, Russia has repeatedly expressed its dissatisfaction, but in the face of Russia's dissatisfaction, the Western society led by the United States and Britain has issued empty checks again and again, openly agreeing to the conditions for Ukraine not to join NATO, but in fact pushing behind the scenes for Ukrainian pro-European factions to apply for joining NATO.

One of the major consequences of Ukraine's accession to NATO is that when Russia faces the impact of Western forces, it is only one ally of Belarus in front of it, and its southwest border has become the first line of collision with Western forces, which has caused Great border anxiety to Russia. And once Ukraine joins NATO, then Russia's traditional influence on Central and Eastern Europe will be premature, which will cause a great squeeze on Russia's development space.

In the face of the Ukraine crisis, Russia has clearly put forward its own political red line – Ukraine cannot join NATO. But the vague rhetoric of Western societies adds more uncertainty to the already precarious situation in Ukraine.

After the 2014 Color Revolution in Ukraine, Russia forcibly repossessed the Crimea region that Khrushchev had given to Ukraine in violation of the Constitution in 1958, while implicitly supporting the civilian independent forces in eastern Ukraine and granting them a high degree of autonomy, as a way to warn the Ukrainian authorities to stop joining NATO. For Russia, Ukraine's best course of action is to join Russia-led Eurasian integration, followed by remaining neutral. During the time when Ukraine remained neutral, Russia's aid to Ukraine can be described as rich, natural gas aid, currency loans, import and export preferences, can be described as the "big miss" of Ukraine as a favorite. Unfortunately, the Ukrainian authorities lacked political wisdom and blindly trusted the promises of britain and the United States, so much so that they embarked on a wrong path.

For the United States, another driver of the Ukraine issue, Ukraine is a good card for the United States to disrupt the situation in Europe. After the collapse of the Soviet Union and the end of the Cold War, NATO seems to have lost a reasonable basis for its existence, so in order to maintain the existence of NATO, the United States had to use Russia, the largest successor of the Soviet Union, as a hypothetical enemy to create a dangerous atmosphere and make Western European countries realize the importance of NATO's existence. Moreover, the disturbance of the European order has played a great help to the United States in influencing Europe, the establishment of the European Union is a great impact on the world hegemony of the United States, in order to consolidate its world hegemony, the United States is bound to take measures against European integration, and the longer a place tends to be peaceful, the more people tend to reconcile and do business well, then there is no point in the US military staying in Europe. Therefore, in order to strike at the European Union, divert domestic contradictions in the United States, suppress the development of Russia, and give NATO a reason to continue to exist, the United States must create contradictions in Europe, and the Ukraine issue is a good opportunity for the United States. Like the Balkans in 1914, Ukraine is now a point of conflict between European society and Russia, and with a gentle push, it explodes, and this pusher is American, British, and Western society.

Just as Chairman Mao said: "One punch is thrown, so as not to come with a hundred punches." When facing the Ukraine issue this time, Russia did not swallow its anger with the United States and Britain, but instead issued "reasonable concerns" with Ukraine on security issues with a rapid momentum, so that Britain, the United States, and other countries fell into their own "rhythm." While preventing Ukraine from joining NATO, it enhanced its regional influence and safeguarded its homeland security, and at the same time once again exposed the lies of the Western world to other countries in the world.