In February 2022, Russia launched a special military operation in Donbass, Ukraine, which means that the war has begun in full swing.
Russia and Ukraine have always been at odds, so why is Russia determined to fight Ukraine this time?
army
In order to answer this question, it is also necessary to analyze the form of Russia's international strategy, and after analysis, we know that this war is indispensable for Russia.
Nato
In 1949, the United States-led NATO was established, initially with a total of 12 member states, NATO has a strong military and economic strength, can be said to be the most powerful alliance organization in Europe.
NATO's membership had grown to 12 before the end of the Cold War between the United States and the Soviet Union, and by the time the Soviet Union collapsed, nato had reached 30 by 2020.
NATO membership increased
The growing membership of NATO, the expansion of territory is already on the verge of Russia's feet, and under the temptation of huge economic interests, some cities in the Russian Federation will inevitably waver.
This is undoubtedly unacceptable to Russia.
Therefore, Russia must adjust its strategic planning and completely change its attitude towards the West.
World map
From the world map, in the western part of Russia, only Belarus and Ukraine are not a member of NATO.
Ukraine, which had been hovering between pro-Russian and pro-Western until 2014, accelerated its leaning toward the West because of the Crimean events, and once Ukraine joined NATO, only Belarus was left west of Russia.
For Belarus, it is surrounded by NATO members on three sides, and once nato countries impose an economic dictatorship on Belarus, Belarus will inevitably fall to the West.
In this way, Russia will lose the geographical buffer zone with the West and face NATO directly, whether it is economic or military deployment, Russia will be in a very unfavorable situation.
Therefore, for Russia, Ukraine absolutely cannot join NATO.
Ukraine
There are two main forces within Ukraine, pro-Russian and pro-Western factions, which are often in conflict.
Crimea is in a pro-Russian region, and Crimea has joined Russia through a referendum and is under the effective control of Russia.
Turkish Straits
Russia's actual control of Crimea is mainly to ensure the safety of the Russian Black Sea Fleet, and the main task of the Black Sea Fleet is also to be responsible for the control of the Turkish Strait, which can allow the Russian fleet to cross the Turkish Strait and resist the US forces in the vast Mediterranean Sea.
In this way, we will ensure the security of the western Sea of Russia and prevent the flames of war from burning into the Russian mainland.
That's what Russia is worried about.
In the face of Russia's war, how will Ukraine respond, and what will nato countries that once supported Ukraine do?