Everyone knows that the annual All-Star Game is actually a sign, the All-Star is the trade deadline before, and the final reinforcement operation of each team is completed.
After the All-Star week holiday, when the team's lineup is fixed and there is no longer a big change in personnel, the strong teams are ready to attack the championship.
In fact, there are many stories this season, the Warriors' strong recovery, the Nets' Big Three disintegration, Harden Embiid teaming up, Paul surgery.
So who will spend the championship? Before analyzing, let's first look at the odds made by BetMg, a company that makes real money and silver bets.
Clear and clear, there are six teams with odds of 1 to 1000, so let's start with these six teams.
One, the Golden State Warriors
The beginning of this season's Warriors is really eye-catching, directly playing the feeling of the beginning of the 15-year Warriors Dynasty.
Before the Suns, who had won 16 consecutive games on December 2 last year, the Warriors topped the league with 18 wins and 2 losses, and as a result, the Warriors lost that game, and the first place in the league has been given to the Suns.
Curry, as the team's number one star, don't look at the 16 three-pointers he hit in the All-Star Game, but he has only 35.5% of the three-point shooting rate from 35 games since December last year, which can be said to be very unheard of Curry. Also because Curry is not in good shape, the Warriors' offensive efficiency has dropped from second in the league at the beginning of the season to ninth in the league now. I looked at previous years' stats, and Curry's three-point shooting percentage before the All-Star game was 41.8 percent and 44.9 percent after the All-Star game. Hopefully, Curry will get his three-pointer back as he did before.
But in fact, the biggest problem of the Warriors is not Curry's inaccuracy, nor the undulating state of Tang Shen, but Green's waist injury. Green's inner defense of the Warriors is quite important, after all, the team only has a legitimate center at the moment, and when the recent small lineup is on the floor, rebounding and defense are miserable, and whether Green can recover from a waist injury next month may be the decisive factor in whether the Warriors can win the championship.
Two. Phoenix Sun
After winning the Warriors, the sun won all the way like a hanging. Now that the Suns are in the top three in the league in terms of offensive and defensive efficiency, think about it, what a terrible statistic.
The Suns have a record of 31-7 since Last December, and they have lost just one of their last two dozen games. To look at the paper lineup, the Suns have to attack and defend, there are strategic point guards, there are Booker who can cut 40 points in two consecutive games in the Finals, Bridges, who ranks second in the best defensive player list, and Ayton, Crowder, Johnson and other fierce players.
The biggest feeling of this team is stability. The Suns have played 28 crucial games this season (5-point difference in the last 5 minutes) and won 25 games. They're like a steady-running winning machine.
But will Paul's finger surgery give the sun a certain variable? We can't say anything, we can only wait for him to come back and look at it again.
Three, Milwaukee Bucks
As defending champions, the Bucks are certainly one of the favourites to win the championship, and I've always said that the champion was the champion until he didn't fall.
But this season, their record is not ideal, the biggest reason is injuries and lack of bench personnel. Because of Lopez's injury, the Bucks' previous defensive system was almost scrapped. In the past, the Bucks were all squat defenses, now they are all blocking and replacing defenses, the team's frame protection rate in the past three years has been the first in the league, and now it is the eighteenth in the league, because Lopez can't come back to the team and has to sign Ibaka, who has long since ceased to be the brave.
On the other hand, their bench scores can only rank third in the league, Aaron and Connaughton defenders are also injured, these players' rotation injuries coupled with Middleton's poor form this season, so that the Bucks' championship prospects are overshadowed, alphabet brother is indeed still very fierce, but the Bucks look really bad for last season.
Four, the Brooklyn Nets
After the Harden big deal, many people are not optimistic about the Nets, thinking that they are the one who suffers.
Indeed, if Irving still can only play away, they are not very good. But recently, after the new mayor of New York took office, he said that he was going to lift the home ban. If Irving can be full-time, what else is the Nets afraid of?
Last year, Irving was a member of the 180 club who averaged more than 25 points per game, and with durant, he was not afraid of any opponent in the playoffs. The team added the most missing interior lineman Drummond, plus three-point shooter Curry Jr., and Simmons, who was second in the best defensive player last year. The Nets' lineup has become very thick at once, of course, if you want to say where the Nets' strength to win the championship is, it has to be Durant.
Column thought ah, last year Durant with someone, dragging a leg Harden, Jeff Green, and the final championship played 7 games. He had 49 points, 17 boards and 10 assists in one game, and he had 48 points in one game.
With Durant here, I'm more bullish on the Nets, and after watching last year and so many games with the Kings, I trust Durant unconditionally.
Five, Philadelphia 76ers
Ha, after saying that the Nets are Philadelphia. It would be nice to have the playoffs if the two teams met. Embiid also played MVP-level performance this season, averaging 29.6 points, 11.2 rebounds and 4.5 assists per game, which is omnipotent from the inside out.
The problem of Philadelphia's victory lies with Harden. Harden this season, whether you say it's a lineup problem or a hamstring injury, the state has not been ideal anyway. His shooting percentage from the basket is 7 percent lower than last season's, which is a very exaggerated diving. Harden's previous one-on-one head-to-head that had no solution is now very visible, and the average data per game is also a comprehensive contraction, and the influence on the game is obviously not as good as last year.
Philadelphia also has one of the biggest problems, Rivers. He and Harden have had too many aberrant performances in the playoffs in many key games. Just how many times in the past few years, Harden called on everyone to watch the life-and-death battle against the Spurs, and he made 6 mistakes out of 2 of 11. Rivers were flipped in both the Clippers' 3-1 lead at Philadelphia. The two brothers combined their swords, and Embiid could not support them no matter how strong they were.
Six, Miami Heat
The Heat's record is now first in the East, and their strengths are that the defense is very good (sixth in the league), the lineup depth is good, and they can play hard battles. But the weakness of this team is quite obvious, that is, the team leader's star quality is insufficient. Butler looks good, he can do anything, but can he score when you need to score at a critical moment? His shooting has collapsed since going to the Heat, and this season he shot just 19.2 percent from three-point range and 37.5 percent from mid-range shooting. So the Heat a lot of times have to rely on Hiro, Duncan Robinson and other players to score. The Heat's 11-0 run, in which Robinson scored more than 20 points this season, is the clearest example.
Unless Butler and Hero can play the kind of super performance in Disneyland in 2020, the Heat's championship is almost impossible.
That's all I've said about my predictions for the major championship teams, to sum up, if Irving can help the team one hundred percent, I'll still stick to the predictions of the beginning of the season, what about you?
Having said all this, because of the existence of supergiants and many other accidental factors, although we can predict the approximate trend, or predict a wave of championships as everyone's after-dinner talk, but in the prediction of a single game, I have a general sense of powerlessness to you as I do, after all, there are too many factors to consider in predicting a single game.
There have always been many friends who have also asked me about the prediction of a single game in the background, and many times, because of the time reason, I am too late to reply! But the art industry has a specialty, the team's small partners have recently made a series of god predictions, there are interested friends can pay attention to a wave of public accounts, mutual discussion!