The Revival Cup S1 was officially closed on February 20, and in the end, Happy pressed a group of Chinese and Korean masters to win the championship, and Lyn and 120 ranked second and third. With 10 top players, 22 matchdays, 45 matches and 230 sets, the Revival Cup's data is the highest in recent years.
Considering that the format of the 10-man round robin is relatively fair, many people think that this revival cup can reflect the balance between the current race and the map to a large extent, so what is the truth? Let's explore through the data together.
Contestants
The first is the total score of the players, the big score standings and the statistics of each other's achievements, I think everyone has been clear, here are two tables posted out to review.
In addition to the big score statistics, you can also see some clues from the perspective of the small score, and in terms of the overall winning percentage, the small score ranking and the large score ranking are basically the same (except for Lawliet and color).
In the statistics of the players against various races, it can be seen that Happy's UvO win rate is significantly lower than his other three confrontations, and the same gap is Lyn's OvN.
As for the rest of the players, playing UD is their lowest winning confrontation, Foggy even 0 wins 8 losses net swallow eight bullets, the only exception is Soin, against UD is his best confrontation.
Race chapter
Let's look at the confrontation between races:
*The blue logo represents HUM, the green represents NE, the red represents ORC, and the purple represents UD.
The closest record should be HvO, although Lyn God swept Chaemiko 4-0, but the other three ORCs are more than wins and losses against Chaemiko, and the overall win rate is that HUM has the upper hand.
OvU has always been seen as an ORC advantage, but unfortunately, Happy alone completely reversed everyone's impression, so that UD achieved a 61.9% win rate.
NvO's 63.3% win rate is still reasonable, and even without the big general Moon, NE still has a clear advantage over ORC.
The gap between the next few groups is relatively large, one is UvH, and the UD win rate reaches 70%. Of course, it is not so much UD vs. HUM as it is Happy vs. Chameiko, because 120 and Chaemiko are actually a 3-3 draw.
The HUM win rate of 73.3% in HvN should be said to be unexpected, color, Foggy is not a rival to Chaemiko at all, Lawliet is only barely drawn, it seems that Moon is still needed to sanction.
The most desperate is still NvU, even if the development of WD's starting style of play, NE still can't see any hope, the overall win rate is only 23.3%, the road to the rise of NvU is still arduous.
So the problem is, UD has always been considered to need to be strengthened, or the overall weakness, but Happy and 120 have won the first and third places respectively, which contradicts the logic of "the race that gets good results is not weak".
The more mainstream explanation is that if there is a gap in strength between players, then racial balance does not directly determine the outcome of the game, the most important thing is the human factor. As far as the Revival Cup is concerned, there are no S-level players participating in the Terrans and Dark Night, and the Orcs only have Lyn, while the UD has two, and the S-level players are stronger than the other players.
However, this also shows that at this point in time, UD is not actually weak. In addition to the data of the Revival Cup, the statistics on the European Service Ladder can also see some clues, and UD has a certain advantage in the 2000 (master level) stage against the other 3 families.
In the Grandmaster segment, in addition to the disadvantage of UD against ORC, the other two groups of confrontation are also obvious advantages, compared to HUM and NE, UD and ORC are definitely strong.
It's just that although UD itself is not weak, the main reason why it can achieve such a dominance as Happy is that the players' own hard power is strong enough.
Map section
Looking at the map, the disparities are between NvO on TH (NE 77.8% win rate), HvN on AL (HUM 100% win rate), and UvN on CH and AL (UD 85.7% win rate).
In addition, the use of maps and the winning rate of various races on these maps can also reflect the advantages and disadvantages of the map to a large extent. From the statistical results, AZ has the least appearance rate, and it is no wonder that B2W will replace it with a new chart in ESL, and the play rate of the traditional old chart EI is not high, and the next knife may be it.
Specific to the confrontation on each map, there are also some unbalanced points, such as TH is not friendly to ORC, ch is not friendly to HUM.
So, if I had to do Blizzard's balance patch, I would focus on finding ways to solve the balance between NvU and OvN, and strive to get the two confrontations back into balance. At the same time, I will also focus on introducing some new maps to join the competition map, after all, some of the old maps are both aesthetically tiring and unbalanced, and it is time to give way to new maps.
Of course, we should also see that the number of participants from all races in this competition is different, some races are more (such as ORC), some races are less (such as HUM), some races still lack leaders (such as Moon), many races of players can not even enter the main game, can not enter the data statistics, and some races have a large number of promotions, which is a strong force in itself. These will affect the accuracy of the data to a certain extent, so the above data statistics still have their limitations and can only be used as a reference.