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Speculators are expected to be reduced, and there will be a wave of price cuts in the third and fourth lines, and these types of counties will be "townshipized"

author:Distant mountains talk room

Speculators are stepping up to escape from the third- and fourth-tier property market, because in recent years there has been a phenomenon of no market, if the house is still in their own hands, then there will be huge losses, or even nothing. These speculators are the house prices of the third- and fourth-tier property markets that followed the large housing enterprises Country Garden and Evergrande in previous years. Now housing enterprises have been mired in the quagmire can not extricate themselves, speculators are also difficult to protect themselves, reduce income expectations, the third or fourth line or there will be a wave of price cuts, in order to withdraw part of the funds.

Speculators are expected to be reduced, and there will be a wave of price cuts in the third and fourth lines, and these types of counties will be "townshipized"

First, the third and fourth-tier house prices continue to decline, and second-hand houses are not favored

According to the statistics in October last year, 16 cities in Shandong except For Liaocheng rose slightly, other cities have declined, and the largest decline is Dongying City, down 11%. The transaction volume of second-hand housing in other cities is light, and the monthly transaction volume in many cities is only double digits. Although many favorable factors have been introduced years later, compared with the residents' demand for housing and income, house prices are still high. As a result, the houseless group is far away from the property market, and the second-hand house is not cared for.

Speculators are expected to be reduced, and there will be a wave of price cuts in the third and fourth lines, and these types of counties will be "townshipized"

Second, the population is growing negatively, and the number of home buyers is decreasing

In addition to the net inflow of population in Cities such as Jinan and Qingdao, the population outflow of other cities in Shandong is serious, and the birth rate and permanent population of county towns have reached a record low. In recent years, due to factors such as the epidemic and enterprise transformation, the employment of county towns has decreased, and most college students have gone to other places to develop after graduation. At the same time, the residents' willingness to have children is not strong, and most of the families with two children have a small proportion of three children. The group of buyers is weakening, and the willingness of farmers to buy houses in the city is decreasing.

Speculators are expected to be reduced, and there will be a wave of price cuts in the third and fourth lines, and these types of counties will be "townshipized"

Third, the current high housing prices are difficult for most people to accept

At present, the high housing prices in third- and fourth-tier cities are still the biggest obstacle to preventing farmers from entering the city, and the families who bought houses in the past few years have experienced a sharp rise and fall in the property market, and their psychology has also experienced great joy and sorrow. Now many families are heavily indebted, and even the situation of abandoning houses and supplying is out, and other people are reluctant to go to the city to buy houses. The price of a house of hundreds of thousands of yuan makes farmers with meager incomes unable to afford it, and even if they buy a house, they have to pay the sweat of generations, so that many families are poor because of the house.

Speculators are expected to be reduced, and there will be a wave of price cuts in the third and fourth lines, and these types of counties will be "townshipized"

Many people in third- and fourth-tier cities are still suffering from low-income and high-price prices, as long as developers and speculators reduce expectations and sharply reduce prices, they will be actively traded, and even a wave of price cuts will occur. The permanent population of many counties and towns is mainly peasants who have entered the city, and the outflow of highly educated and enterprise elites is serious, and even the trend of "townshipization" has emerged.

01, the dirty and messy phenomenon in the old city is obvious

Many counties and towns have built new urban areas, and most of the government organs and units go to the new urban areas to work and live. Most of the businesses and service industries in the old city also went to the new urban area, and the once bustling old town became a large township. The number of vehicles and pedestrians on the road is also decreasing, appearing deserted, and most of the stores are closed. Most of the second-hand houses in the old city are mainly handicraft workers and farmers who have entered the city, and the houses that take over certain units are long, and the supporting facilities are incomplete, which is dirty and messy, and the living experience is not good.

Speculators are expected to be reduced, and there will be a wave of price cuts in the third and fourth lines, and these types of counties will be "townshipized"

02, county enterprises moved out, residents live with handicrafts and stalls

In the past, there were many factories with regional characteristics in the county, but now most of them have moved to prefecture-level cities or coastal areas, and former industrial workers have either gone to work in other places or changed their careers to do other things. In addition to the large number of employees in the system and in the field of medical and health care, the other residents of the county are handicrafts or live by stalls. Without the support of large enterprises, the real estate industry has gradually declined. The bustling area is basically a farmer who enters the city selling local specialties or other scattered daily necessities. Large supermarkets, hospitals, and banks have all moved away, and it is said that many hospital specialists have also gone to work in other places.

Speculators are expected to be reduced, and there will be a wave of price cuts in the third and fourth lines, and these types of counties will be "townshipized"

03, education is weakened, and the source of high-quality students is concentrated in cities above the municipal level

In many counties, in addition to a few key schools, other schools are difficult to retain good teachers, and supporting facilities are relatively backward. People's children need to buy high-priced school district houses to go to school, in addition, the houses in other places are more seriously vacant, and second-hand houses are difficult to sell. Wealthy families go to prefecture-level cities or other big cities to buy houses, work and go to school. The property market in the county is being marginalized, on the one hand, farmers enter the city, on the other hand, the outflow of highly educated talents is becoming more and more like the townships and towns of a few years ago. Therefore, it cannot support the current high house prices, and the tide of price cuts will appear.

Speculators are expected to be reduced, and there will be a wave of price cuts in the third and fourth lines, and these types of counties will be "townshipized"