At 18:00 beijing time on January 27, the 7th round of the World Preliminary Round of 12 in Asia is about to start, and the national football team will play away against the Japanese men's football team in this round, and CCTV will arrange CCTV5 channel to broadcast live. This real life-and-death battle, the result of the game determines whether the national football team retains the hope of impacting the World Cup.
In the first 6 rounds, the national football team defeated the Vietnamese team, as well as the draw with Australia and Oman, losing to Japan, Australia and Saudi Arabia respectively, achieving 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses, ranking fifth in the group with 5 points, and the hope of qualifying was only theoretical.
Now the national football coach has replaced Li Tie by Li Xiaopeng, so the match against Japan is Li Xiaopeng's official debut, and the first game is the strongest opponent in the group.
As a player, Li Xiaopeng once followed the national football team to defeat the Japanese team, the last time was in 1998, since then the national football team has only achieved 4 draws and 6 losses in 10 meetings, and now as a coach, Li Xiaopeng wants to lead the team to win again, breaking the national football team's 24 consecutive years of humiliation record of not winning against the Japanese team.
Eight hours before the match, the two teams announced their respective 23-man lists, and the national football team only had two naturalized players, Jiang Guangtai and Alain, and Dai Weijun, who was selected for the national football team for the first time. Compared with the foreign international footballers, the national football team only has Wu Lei, and the Japanese team has a total of 16 people, and the difference in strength between the two teams is obvious, so the national football team is not optimistic.
At present, the probability of the Major Websites optimistic about the Japanese team winning is more than 75%, and the probability of the national football team winning is less than 10%, which means that the possibility of the national football team winning the cold will basically not occur. In addition, in terms of score odds, foreign media are most optimistic that Japan can win 2-0 against China, and the odds of winning big scores such as 3-0, 4-0, 5-0 are also lower than the odds of the national football team winning 1-0 or 2-1.
Judging from the odds and scores, this game is most likely one-sided, and it is difficult for the national football team to get points away from home. The two teams met in the first leg last year, the national football team only lost 0-1, the whole game fell into passivity, the possession rate was less than 30%, the Japanese team fought at home this time, the national football back line collapsed, at least 3 goals were conceded.