On January 27, Beijing time, in the 7th round of Group B of the Round of 12, the national football team will visit the Saitama 2002 World Cup stadium in Japan to face the Japanese team. However, from the various data before the game, the national football team is likely to be double-killed by the Japanese team, and the probability of losing away is close to 80%, and the probability of winning the cold is less than 10%. Li Xiaopeng's hope that the national football team will not add to the blockage of fans during the Spring Festival is afraid that it will be disappointed.
In the round of 12 against Japan, the coach of the national football team was changed from Li Tie to Li Xiaopeng, but Li Xiaopeng's first training camp after taking office faced too many difficulties. The local international has just finished the entire season, extremely tired, naturalized players in addition to Alain and Jiang Guangtai have already terminated their contracts with Guangzhou, Axon and Fernando did not return for various reasons, and Luo Guofu was still unable to play against Japan with 2 yellows on his back. Even if Alain and Jiang Guangtai, who have already arrived in the team, Alain has not played since the sixth round of the round of 12 in November last year, and Jiang Guangtai did not go to Shanghai to participate in the training.
Although the Japanese team lacks the absolute main players such as Furuhashi Keno and Fuan Kenyang, Moriho only recruited 23 players to prepare for the 2 matches of the national football team and Saudi Arabia, and there are no additional options, which shows that the Japanese team is full of confidence in the next 2 home games.
Before the match between the national football team and the Japanese team, the relevant data websites were also unanimously optimistic about the Japanese team playing at home, and the highest winning probability of the Japanese team reached 79.36%, and the lowest was 73.05%. The probability of Japan winning at home is close to 80%, which is a statistic that only appears when two teams of different levels play against each other. The national football team won the cold, and no data website gave a probability of more than 10%, the lowest was only 6.16%, and the highest was only 9.48%.
In terms of scores, the most favored score was a 2-0 win by Japan, followed by a 1-0 or 3-0 win by Japan. The most promising score for the national football team is to draw 0-0 or 1-1 with Japan, but it is also a small probability event.
In the first round of the game, the national football team sent 3 center-backs and 5 defenders to defend the formation, and finally lost 0-1, and after the formation of the group army in the second half of naturalization, the situation on the field was changed for a while. However, this time, Li Xiaopeng only has a maximum of 2 naturalized players available, but the physical condition of Alain and Jiang Guangtai is doubtful, which makes the prospects of the national football team full of uncertainty.
Before the game, Li Xiaopeng repeatedly stressed that he hoped that the national football team would not add to the fans during the Spring Festival and continue to hope, but it would be difficult to do so in the face of Japan.