It has been 5 days since the end of the registration of the Star Tide Impression House, and although the final results have not yet been released, the gossip has been flying.
"Both non-homeless and homeless social security must be shortlisted."
"What is this, it is said that E-class talents will take about 70 months to do."
If this is the case, then The Star Tide Impression House will become the first restricted real estate in 2022.
The new 94 sets of restricted listings in Xingchao Impression House have also made the original 29943 sets of restricted listings exceed the 30,000 mark in one fell swoop.
Projects like Xingchao Impression House that sit on SKP and are built on the subway are still very popular in the future rental market, and it is likely that they will not encounter rental conditions like the previous Xixi Mansion and Zizhangtai.
However, in these 3 sets of 10,000 limited-sale listings, there are also very few that can have the "good life" of Xingchao Impression House.
According to the 2021 I Love My Home rental data, more than 50% of tenants choose to rent in Gongshu District and Shangcheng District, of which the proportion of rent in Gongshu District accounts for 28.8%, and the proportion of rent in Shangcheng District accounts for 21.99%.
There are only 5674 restricted listings in these two districts, less than 20% of the total.
On the other hand, although the proportion of rental housing in Yuhang District only accounts for 7.3%, only the two major sectors of Future Science and Technology City and Gouzhuang account for 30% of the total number of restricted listings.
Similarly, in Xiaoshan District, where the proportion of rents is only 4.44%, the number of restricted listings is as high as 13.5%.
It can be said that the future rental supply of this part of the restricted housing is not highly matched with the rental demand in the Hangzhou market. This also explains why Xixi Mansion and Zizhangtai are not easy to rent.
Fortunately, with the improvement of the subway network, the rental radius of more and more young tenants is also expanding. In particular, the areas along the subway line have formed obvious commuter densely populated residential areas, and the rental volume of Yuhang, Xiaoshan and Linping has increased to varying degrees.
Next, a number of subway lines in Hangzhou will be opened one after another, and it is believed that there will be more and more leasing demand, and the outer area with higher cost performance will be selected.
This year and next year, as a big year of delivery, these 30,000 restricted listings will also enter the rental market one after another.
Will their fate be like Xixi Mansion and Zizhangtai, becoming "abandoned babies" in the rental market? Let's dissect it in detail by plate.
01
Future Science and Technology City
As a former "hot plate" and one of the center of the universe, with 6436 restricted listings, it seems to be the glory of the future science and technology city.
The future science and technology city has always been a highland for population inflow, but in the face of such a huge rental demand, it cannot consume hundreds of rental needs of Xixi Mansion.
Will the other 6 restricted real estates encounter the same situation?
In fact, the leasing of the future science and technology city has always been around the two hot spots near the industry and the subway. Wuchang subway mouth of a dozen hotel-style apartments, it is very easy to rent, Ali around a circle of small apartments, is also very pretty.
Moreover, because most of them are young people or small couples living alone, they prefer small apartments instead of 89 square meters of three-bedroom apartments.
Therefore, three non-sticks like Xixi Mansion are obviously not easy to rent.
Although the Sky City has 2578 sets of restricted-sale listings, which is more than the Xixi Mansion, with the advantages of the subway cover and the atmosphere of the diversified community, there is still a competitive place in the future rental market.
Xiaoyue Chenglu's 206 sets of restricted-sale stacked villas are likely to become the favorite rental listings of Ali executives.
For a long time, row houses like the Xixi style area have been favored by Ali executives, and the rent is quite firm. Greentown hardcover + near the advantages of Ali, Xiaoyue Chenglu should not lack high-end tenants.
As for Pu He Yun Mansion, Ting Yun Shangfu and Mu Chen Yuan, the best reference objects are the three brothers.
On the shell, these three communities have 237 sets of listings, a set of 89 square meters of three-bedroom furniture and appliances are fully equipped, and it is only 5,000 yuan / month.
02
Dajiangdong
Although there are several "ten thousand shakes" blessings, and it is also a price depression of the "1" word, the popularity of the core of Dajiangdong is still quite worrying.
East Lake City and Jianghe City have been delivered one after another, Line 7 has been opened to traffic, Baolong Plaza and Tianjie have also opened, but the crowd of self-occupied people in the whole area is gone.
The rent in this area has made many landlords feel cold inside.
"The rent of 89㎡ three-bedroom is less than 3,000 yuan / month, and it is better to be empty and worry-free." A friend in Jianghecheng once spat bitter water at me.
The rent of 3000 yuan / month is too low for landlords, but many tenants feel that it is far and expensive. "Running to rent a house in Dajiangdong, I am not as convenient as renting a peasant house in Jiubao." A netizen who works in Chengdong said.
Sunac City and Huayangli, which will be delivered this year and next year, were also highlands where investors gathered at that time, and once delivered, I believe that the proportion of listed rental listings will be only a lot more than that of Zizhangtai.
However, there are still good commercial transportation facilities in Sunac City and Huayangli, and they can always be rented out slowly.
You know, Yunfan Future Community and Dongchao Yunting are 1 kilometer away from the subway, a distance that is not embarrassing, which will be very resistant to many tenants who rely on the subway to commute.
03
Gozhuang
A few months ago, "Floor" wrote that in this round of general decline, the second-hand house of Gouzhuang actually stood quite firm.
In addition to the second-hand house price, there is actually rent.
Hangchen's 89㎡ three-bedroom rent is basically 4500 yuan / month, and the entire community is basically in a state of no room to rent, and the 89㎡ rental house can be counted on both hands. The situation between the Light of Beichen and the Famous City of Ten Thousand Homes is basically similar.
Moreover, the occupancy rate of new houses in the Gozhuang plate is very high. In the case of Hyde Park, which was delivered at the end of 19, several of my friends who bought it have moved in for themselves.
With the opening of the MixC north of the city and the opening of Line 10, the livability of the Gouzhuang plate will become higher and higher.
Qianchen is within walking distance with the MTR and the MixC, although there are over 1,000 limited-sell listings. But even if it flows into the rental market, I believe that in the face of such a superior package, as long as the price is right, it is still not worried about renting.
As for Xingchuang City, as a one-stop distance from the MixC in the north of the city, there is still a certain rental market at the junction of Gouzhuang and Sandun, which is quite mature.
04
Three piers north
With the delivery of 1224 sets of Zizhangtai in Sandun North, a total of 2,009 restricted listings, we can already see its short-term lease.
The sky across the road is also the case after the high probability of delivery.
Relatively speaking, Rainbow Xuan's transportation facilities will have more advantages, about 200 meters away from the subway entrance of Baiyang Station on Line 2. With reference to the rent of Oaks City next door, 89㎡ three-bedroom 4000 yuan / month can be easily rented.
However, for Sandun North, where the rental market is sluggish, there may be an Easter egg in 2022, that is, Alibaba Cloud may relocate to Cloud Valley this year.
In this way, as the closest plate to Yungu, the rental market in Sandun North may fight a turnaround battle.
05
City North
As a spillover of the riverside, how high are the rents in the north and west of the city?
I remember that when Guiyu Jiangnan was just delivered, 96㎡ could already be rented for 7500 yuan / month, which was comparable to the Chunjiang Licheng city next to Tianjie Street. Now, the listing price of 96㎡ in Guiyu Jiangnan will start from 9,000 yuan / month.
However, Guizhou Jiangnan is only an isolated case. The Lansong AoFu next door is 89㎡ simple, basically 5,000 yuan / month can be won. The monthly rent of Jiangnan Star is basically around 5,000 yuan.
Moreover, in recent years, the supply of the north plate of the city has been very large, and the supply of the rental market is also very sufficient.
The entry of these 1754 sets of restricted listings will not have a great impact on the overall rental market in the north of the city, but it will undoubtedly make the imbalance between supply and demand more serious.
As the spillover plate of Binjiang, it is an indisputable fact that the rental price of Shibei will also be crushed by the core of Binjiang.
Unless, this real estate can be like Guiyu Jiangnan, both quality and Internet celebrity attributes.
06
Canal City
At present, the entire canal new city, only one Yuhang District of the brilliant Lanchen delivered.
According to the listing price of the shell, the 97㎡ three-bedroom unit type starts at 5500 yuan / month, which shows that the psychological expectations of the landlords are not low.
If the Canal New City is regarded as an spillover of the west of the bridge, it is still competitive in terms of rental prices. Taking the Canal Garden as an example, the monthly rent of 89㎡ three-bedroom is basically 8,000 yuan upwards.
However, if the reference is the next door Gouzhuang, it seems to be slightly less cost-effective. After all, in a more mature Gouzhuang, 4500 yuan / month can rent a large number of three-bedroom new houses.
In the long run, the supporting facilities of canal new city are heavy, but for now, there are quite a few gaps. However, house prices can gamble on long-term potential, but tenants only value the current cost performance.
In the short term, the rent of the Canal New City is still under some pressure, but the future growth is still very large.
07
Southern New Town
As we all know, the southern new city is the inventory center of the past.
Since 2017, there have been 21 cases of residential land entering the market, with a construction area of 3.286 million square meters. According to the calculation of the average set of 100 square meters, more than 30,000 units have entered the market in the past 5 years alone.
However, compared with the daily supply, the demand for self-occupation in the southern new city is not so much.
So that in the past few years, many real estate in the southern new city have different degrees of shaking.
From this point of view, the 4 properties of the Southern New City should not be particularly outstanding in the future performance in the rental market. But in fact, it should be looked at on a case-by-case basis.
For example, some of the listings in Guiyu Chaoyang and Xianghu Impression are all courtyard townhouses, and it is unlikely that they will not enter the rental market.
The Chaowen Flower City is only 200 meters away from the subway entrance, compared with the many real estate projects in the plate that are far away from the subway, the advantages in the rental market should not be underestimated.
Of course, but the southern new city of thousands of houses, deducting the self-occupied part, the remaining hundreds of houses will not have much impact on the plate rental market.
08
A list of 1,000 sets of restricted-sale listings within the plate