How dismal are the top teams in the East? The first win rate or the second difference in 45 years Only 3 teams are expected to win 50

The concept of "weak east and strong west" has been shouted for many years, and this season has changed. In the past, it was usually too weak for the middle and lower teams in the East, but this season, the winning rate of the middle and lower teams in the West is significantly lower than that in the East. This season, the winning rate of the top teams in the East is significantly inferior to that in the West, and the bulls in the East can only be ranked 5th in the West.

"The Athletic" data expert John Hollinger wrote an article to interpret the lack of dominance of the top teams in the East, and at the current pace, the first win rate in the East this season may be the second worst record in 45 years, and may even tie the worst record.

In the 2002-03 season, the Pistons won 50 wins and 32 losses, and they actually won the top spot in the East with such a record. This is the lowest number of wins in the East since 1977, and the 76ers in 1977 were ranked first in the East with just 50 wins.

This season, several authoritative data analysis models predict that the Top East will only have 51 wins or 52 wins. If the top teams in the East retain their strength at the end of the regular season, the Top Team in the East may even have only 50 wins. For now, only the Bulls, Heat and Nets in the East are expected to win 50, and at most barely more than 50 wins. But the West is different, with 4 teams in the West expected to win at least 54 games, with the Suns and Warriors having a chance to win at least 58, and the Suns are even expected to hit 60 wins.

At present, the top teams in the East have their own troubles, the Bucks' problem is not only injury, Brook Lopez has only played one game due to injury is one of the reasons for their unsatisfactory record, but at the same time, the Bucks' core trio Holliday, Middleton and Antetokounmpo are playing at the same time with a net winning score of 9.6 points per 100 rounds, and their dominance is not as good as in the past. The Bucks have lost too many games this season that they shouldn't have lost, and they've been reversed several times. Don't forget, the Bucks have the easiest schedule in the league so far, and they haven't met with the Suns, Grizzlies, Bulls and other strong teams.

Needless to say, the Nets' roster has been uneven throughout the season. Kyrie Owen refused to be vaccinated after missing the first two months of play and only recently made a comeback as a part-time player. Kevin Durant will be absent for a period of time with a knee injury, Joe Harris has not returned since surgery, and the uneven lineup has directly affected the Nets' record.

The Bulls were originally very strong, but the injuries of Derek Jones and Zach Lavin have cast a shadow over the Bulls' prospects, and their recent record has dropped significantly. How the bulls move in the second half may depend on whether there is any action before the management trading deadline.

The Cavaliers are just 1.5 wins away from the top of the Eastern Conference, and the 76ers, who are 6th in the East, are only 2.5 wins away, and they also have hopes to reach the top of the Eastern Conference. But the Cavaliers suffered an injury at the backcourt, and the 76ers were plagued by delays in sending Simmons away. Like the Bulls, the outlook for both teams is likely to depend on whether reinforcements can be completed by the trade deadline.

Looking at it now, the most likely to win the Top spot in the East is the Heat, who have just welcomed back Adebayor, and if the tridents of Butler, Adebayo and Lowry can stay healthy, coupled with Taylor Hiero's off-the-bench firepower and the strong play of several lost drafts, the Heat do have the potential to take the Top Spot in the East. Before the trade deadline, the Heat still have room to strengthen, and the gradually out-of-favor shooter Duncan Robinson may be reduced to trading chips. If Oladipo makes a comeback in the second half of the season, the Heat's depth can be increased.