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智库周览
（2024年4月12日-4月19日）
法意导言
智库周览是法意新设立的栏目，主要工作是追踪欧美主要智库发布的研究报告，呈现欧美智库有关全球问题的战略和前瞻性思考。本栏目拟每周追踪并更新发布，由于栏目尚在建设中，所追踪智库和话题仍在不断完善，也希望多听到读者的反馈和建议。
一、欧洲外交关系委员会
（European Council on
Foreign Relations, ECFR）
1. Hamzeh Hadad, Proxy battles: Iraq, Iran, and the turmoil in the Middle East, April 16, 2024.
https://ecfr.eu/publication/proxy-battles-iraq-iran-and-the-turmoil-in-the-middle-east/
2. Julien Barnes-Dacey, Direct destabilisation: Iran’s attack on Israel, April 15, 2024.
https://ecfr.eu/article/direct-destabilisation-irans-attack-on-israel/
二、艾格蒙特国际关系研究所
（The Royal Institute for International
Relations/Egmont Institute）
1. Sven Biscop, Beatriz Cózar Murillo, PESCO: The Last Chance, April 18, 2024.
https://www.egmontinstitute.be/pesco-the-last-chance/
三、欧洲政策中心
（European Policy Centre, EPC）
1. Corina Stratulat , Levente Kocsis, The European Parliament elections 2024: Getting more jitters from the mainstream than the far-right, April 15, 2024.
https://www.epc.eu/en/publications/The-European-Parliament-elections-2024-Getting-more-jitters-from-t~59b0f0
2. Georg Riekeles , Philipp Lausberg , Miguel Otero-Iglesias ,Agustín González-Agote, Towards a Competitive Edge: Reforming the EU Regulatory Framework, April 17.
https://www.epc.eu/en/publications/Towards-a-Competitive-Edge-Reforming-the-EU-Regulatory-Framework~59c860
四、西班牙埃尔卡诺皇家研究所
（Elcano Royal Institute, Elcano）
1. Félix Arteaga, El ataque aéreo de Irán a Israel ¿represalia o guerra?(伊朗空袭以色列--报复还是战争？), April 15, 2024.
https://www.realinstitutoelcano.org/comentarios/el-ataque-aereo-de-iran-a-israel-represalia-o-guerra/
2. Raquel Jorge Ricart, Pau Álvarez-Aragonés, La geopolítica de la IA generativa: implicaciones internacionales y el papel de la Unión Europea(生成式人工智能的地缘政治：国际影响和欧盟的作用), April 16, 2024.
https://www.realinstitutoelcano.org/policy-paper/la-geopolitica-de-la-ia-generativa-implicaciones-internacionales-y-el-papel-de-la-union-europea/
五、意大利国际事务研究所
（Istituto Affari Internazionali,
IAI）
1. Riccardo Alcaro, Iran’s Retaliatory Attack on Israel Puts the Middle East on the Brink, April 15, 2024.
https://www.iai.it/en/pubblicazioni/irans-retaliatory-attack-israel
2. Davide Angelucci, Pierangelo Isernia, Carlotta Mingardi, Francesco Olmastroni, Public Opinion and the European Foreign and Security Policy: Is there a Risk of Politicisation?, April 16, 2024.
https://www.iai.it/en/pubblicazioni/public-opinion-and-european-foreign-and-security-policy-there-risk-politicisation
3. Irene Paviotti, Ettore Greco, Francesca Maremonti, Advancing the Global Health Agenda of G7. The Challenge of Malaria Elimination, April 17, 2024.
https://www.iai.it/en/pubblicazioni/advancing-global-health-agenda-g7-challenge-malaria-elimination
六、爱尔兰国际与欧洲事务研究所
（Institute of International and
European Affairs, IIEA）
1. Dara Calleary TD, Alberto Gago Fernandez, Series report: The D9+ and the Future of the Single Market Date, April 12, 2024.
https://www.iiea.com/publications/series-report-the-d9-and-the-future-of-the-single-market-date
七、丹麦国际事务研究所
（Danish Institute for International
Studies, DIIS）
1. Maria-Louise Clausen, Non-State Armed Groups In The Sky: Global Regulation Fails To Address The Security Risks Posed By Civilian Drones, April 15, 2024.
https://www.diis.dk/en/research/non-state-armed-groups-in-the-sky-global-regulation-fails-to-address-the-security-risks
八、阿登纳基金会
（Konrad-Adenauer-Stiftung）
1. Caroline Hauptmann, The new government of Senegal, April 12, 2024.
https://www.kas.de/en/country-reports/detail/-/content/the-new-government-of-senegal
2. Jakob Reinhold, Forced exmatriculation against anti-Semitism, April 15, 2024.
https://www.kas.de/en/kurzum/detail/-/content/zwangsexmatrikulation-gegen-antisemitismus
3. David Gregosz, Piotr Womela, Local elections in Poland 2024, April 16, 2024.
https://www.kas.de/en/country-reports/detail/-/content/local-elections-in-poland-2024
4. Stephan Malerius, Georgian own goal, April 17, 2024.
https://www.kas.de/en/country-reports/detail/-/content/georgian-own-goal
5. Elias Marini Schäfer, India's parliamentary elections 2024, April 16, 2024.
https://www.kas.de/en/country-reports/detail/-/content/indiens-parlamentswahlen-2024
6. Thomas Yoshimura, House specialty: lame duck? Results of South Korea’s general election, April 18, 2024.
https://www.kas.de/en/country-reports/detail/-/content/house-specialty-lame-duck
7. Denis Suarsana, De-Risking, but where to? The Emerging ASEAN countries as an alternative to China, April 18, 2024.
https://www.kas.de/en/single-title/-/content/de-risking-but-where-to
九、德国国际和安全事务研究所
（German Institute for International
and Security Affairs, SWP）
1. Meike Schulze, Security of Supply in Times of Geo-economic Fragmentation, April 17, 2024.
https://www.swp-berlin.org/en/publication/security-of-supply-in-times-of-geo-economic-fragmentation
2. Sven Arnold, Claudia Major, Frankreichs disruptive Zeitenwende(法国的颠覆性转折点), April 15, 2024.
https://www.swp-berlin.org/en/publication/frankreichs-disruptive-zeitenwende
十、墨卡托中国研究中心
（Mercator Institute for China
Studies, MERICS）
1. MERICS China Essentials, German Chancellor Scholz's visit to China + China-Iran + Overcapacities, April 18, 2024.
https://www.merics.org/en/merics-briefs/german-chancellor-scholzs-visit-china-china-iran-overcapacities
十一、舒曼基金会
（Robert Schuman Foundation)
1. Corinne Deloy, L’Union démocratique (HDZ) conservera-t-elle le pouvoir en Croatie ?(民主联盟（HDZ）能否保住克罗地亚的政权？), April 17, 2024.
https://www.robert-schuman.eu/fr/observatoire/6090-l-union-democratique-hdz-conservera-t-elle-le-pouvoir-en-croatie
十二、德国马歇尔基金会
（The German Marshall Fund
of the United States）
1. Jacob Kirkegaard, Sudha David-Wilp, Rachel Tausendfreund, Keeping Europe Competitive, April 12, 2024.
https://www.gmfus.org/news/keeping-europe-competitive
2. Ian Lesser, Kadri Tastan, Özgür Ünlühisarcıklı, Paul T. Levin, Prospects For Eu-Türkiye Foreign Policy Cooperation At A Time Of Geopolitical Turbulence, April 15, 2024.
https://www.gmfus.org/news/prospects-eu-turkiye-foreign-policy-cooperation-time-geopolitical-turbulence
3. Bruce Stokes, A Smart Specialization Strategy For Ukraine: Recommendations To Spark An Economic Rebound After The War, April 15, 2024.
https://www.gmfus.org/news/smart-specialization-strategy-ukraine-recommendations-spark-economic-rebound-after-war-0
十三、法国国际和战略关系研究所
（Institut de Relations Internationales
et Stratégiques, IRIS）
1. Patrice Moyeuvre, Gel du traité sur les forces conventionnelles en Europe par la Turquie(土耳其退出《欧洲常规武装力量条约》), April 15, 2024.
https://www.iris-france.org/185624-gel-du-traite-sur-les-forces-conventionnelles-en-europe-par-la-turquie/
2. Jean-Paul Ghoneim, Les États arabes se rendent à l’évidence : seuls les États-Unis et leurs alliés occidentaux peuvent dissuader les Iraniens d’étendre leur influence au Moyen-Orient(阿拉伯国家正逐渐认识到，只有美国及其西方盟国才能阻止伊朗在中东扩大影响力), April 17, 2024.
https://www.iris-france.org/185679-les-etats-arabes-se-rendent-a-levidence-seuls-les-etats-unis-et-leurs-allies-occidentaux-peuvent-dissuader-les-iraniens-detendre-leur-influence-au-moyen-orient/
十四、伦敦政治经济学院外交政策智库
（LSE Ideas）
1. Richard Higgott, The Decline and Rise of Hegemonic Narratives: From Globalisation and the 'Asia-Pacific' to Geopolitics and the 'Indo-Pacific', April 17, 2024.
https://www.lse.ac.uk/ideas/publications/Research-Reports/The-Decline-and-Rise-of-Hegemonic-Narratives
十五、英皇家国际事务研究所
（Chatham House）
1. Dr Chietigj Bajpaee, How India’s democracy shapes its global role and relations with the West, 15 April, 2024.
https://www.chathamhouse.org/2024/04/how-indias-democracy-shapes-its-global-role-and-relations-west
十六、英地缘战略委员会
（Council on Geostrategy）
1. Charles Parton, Chinese politics in 2024: Indications from the ‘Two Sessions’, April 16, 2024.
https://www.geostrategy.org.uk/research/chinese-politics-in-2024-indications-from-the-two-sessions/
十七、英皇家联合军种研究所
（The Royal United Services
Institute，RUSI）
1. Malcolm Chalmers, Bracing for 2025: The UK and European Security Under a Trump Presidency, 28 March 2024.
https://www.rusi.org/explore-our-research/publications/occasional-papers/bracing-2025-uk-and-european-security-under-trump-presidency
十八、卡内基基金会
（Carnegie Endowment for
International Peace）
1. Rosa Balfour, Stefan Lehne, Charting The Radical Right’S Influence On Eu Foreign Policy, April 18, 2024.
Https://Carnegieeurope.Eu/2024/04/18/Charting-Radical-Right-S-Influence-On-Eu-Foreign-Policy-Pub-92139
十九、美国战略与国际研究中心
（Center for Strategic and
International Studies, CSIS）
1. Clayton Swope, Kari A. Bingen, Makena Young, Madeleine Chang, Stephanie Songer, Jeremy Tammelleo, Space Threat Assessment 2024, April 17, 2024.
https://www.csis.org/analysis/space-threat-assessment-2024
二十、大西洋理事会
（Atlantic Council）
1. Shirin Hakim, Amin Mohseni-Cheraghlou, Geoeconomic Fragmentation And Net-Zero Targets, April 16, 2024.
https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/content-series/bretton-woods-2-0/geoeconomic-fragmentation-and-net-zero-targets/
2. Otaviano Canuto, Hafez Ghanem, Youssef El Jai, Stéphane Le Bouder, Delivering Results For The South: The Bretton Woods System We Need, April 18, 2024,
https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/in-depth-research-reports/report/delivering-results-for-the-south-the-bretton-woods-system-we-need/
二十一、布鲁金斯学会
（Brookings Institution）
1. Timothy G. Massad, Stablecoins and national security: Learning the lessons of Eurodollars, April 17, 2024.
https://www.brookings.edu/articles/stablecoins-and-national-security-learning-the-lessons-of-eurodollars/
二十二、兰德基金会
（RAND Corporation）
1. Michael J. Mazarr, Alexis Dale-Huang, John Deak, Gregory Weider Fauerbach, Stacie Goddard, Timothy R. Heath, Joshua Shifrinson, The Fates of Nations: Varieties of Success and Failure for Great Powers in Long-Term Rivalries, Published April 10, 2024.
https://www.rand.org/pubs/research_reports/RRA2611-2.html
2. Land, 2023 RAND Annual Report, April 10, 2024.
https://www.rand.org/pubs/corporate_pubs/CPA1065-4.html
二十三、传统基金会
（Heritage Foundation）
1. Brent Sadler, An Agenda for Regaining American Maritime Competitiveness and Naval Power,
April 12, 2024.
https://www.heritage.org/defense/report/agenda-regaining-american-maritime-competitiveness-and-naval-power
2. David Ditch, Funding Leftism, Making Power Grabs: The Biden Administration’s Bureaucratic Radicalism, April 18, 2024.
https://www.heritage.org/budget-and-spending/report/funding-leftism-making-power-grabs-the-biden-administrations
二十四、哈德逊研究所
（Hudson Institute）
1. Eric B. Brown, Charles Horner, “Hiding a Dagger behind a Smile”—The Coming Era of US-China Relations, April 18, 2024.
https://www.hudson.org/foreign-policy/hiding-dagger-behind-smile-coming-era-us-china-relations-eric-b-brown-charles-horner
2. Matthew Boyse, George Scutaru, The Battle for the Black Sea Is Not Over, April 16, 2024.
https://www.hudson.org/security-alliances/battle-black-sea-not-over-matthew-boyse-george-scutaru-mykhailo-samus-antonia-colibasanu