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智庫周覽(2024年4月12日-4月19日)

作者:法意

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智庫周覽

(2024年4月12日-4月19日)

法意導言

智庫周覽是法意新設立的欄目,主要工作是追蹤歐美主要智庫釋出的研究報告,呈現歐美智庫有關全球問題的戰略和前瞻性思考。本欄目拟每周追蹤并更新釋出,由于欄目尚在建設中,所追蹤智庫和話題仍在不斷完善,也希望多聽到讀者的回報和建議。

一、歐洲外交關系委員會

(European Council on

Foreign Relations, ECFR)

1. Hamzeh Hadad, Proxy battles: Iraq, Iran, and the turmoil in the Middle East, April 16, 2024.

https://ecfr.eu/publication/proxy-battles-iraq-iran-and-the-turmoil-in-the-middle-east/

2. Julien Barnes-Dacey, Direct destabilisation: Iran’s attack on Israel, April 15, 2024.

https://ecfr.eu/article/direct-destabilisation-irans-attack-on-israel/

二、艾格蒙特國際關系研究所

(The Royal Institute for International

Relations/Egmont Institute)

1. Sven Biscop, Beatriz Cózar Murillo, PESCO: The Last Chance, April 18, 2024.

https://www.egmontinstitute.be/pesco-the-last-chance/

三、歐洲政策中心

(European Policy Centre, EPC)

1. Corina Stratulat , Levente Kocsis, The European Parliament elections 2024: Getting more jitters from the mainstream than the far-right, April 15, 2024.

https://www.epc.eu/en/publications/The-European-Parliament-elections-2024-Getting-more-jitters-from-t~59b0f0

2. Georg Riekeles , Philipp Lausberg , Miguel Otero-Iglesias ,Agustín González-Agote, Towards a Competitive Edge: Reforming the EU Regulatory Framework, April 17.

https://www.epc.eu/en/publications/Towards-a-Competitive-Edge-Reforming-the-EU-Regulatory-Framework~59c860

四、西班牙埃爾卡諾皇家研究所

(Elcano Royal Institute, Elcano)

1. Félix Arteaga, El ataque aéreo de Irán a Israel ¿represalia o guerra?(伊朗空襲以色列--報複還是戰争?), April 15, 2024.

https://www.realinstitutoelcano.org/comentarios/el-ataque-aereo-de-iran-a-israel-represalia-o-guerra/

2. Raquel Jorge Ricart, Pau Álvarez-Aragonés, La geopolítica de la IA generativa: implicaciones internacionales y el papel de la Unión Europea(生成式人工智能的地緣政治:國際影響和歐盟的作用), April 16, 2024.

https://www.realinstitutoelcano.org/policy-paper/la-geopolitica-de-la-ia-generativa-implicaciones-internacionales-y-el-papel-de-la-union-europea/

五、意大利國際事務研究所

(Istituto Affari Internazionali,

IAI)

1. Riccardo Alcaro, Iran’s Retaliatory Attack on Israel Puts the Middle East on the Brink, April 15, 2024.

https://www.iai.it/en/pubblicazioni/irans-retaliatory-attack-israel

2. Davide Angelucci, Pierangelo Isernia, Carlotta Mingardi, Francesco Olmastroni, Public Opinion and the European Foreign and Security Policy: Is there a Risk of Politicisation?, April 16, 2024.

https://www.iai.it/en/pubblicazioni/public-opinion-and-european-foreign-and-security-policy-there-risk-politicisation

3. Irene Paviotti, Ettore Greco, Francesca Maremonti, Advancing the Global Health Agenda of G7. The Challenge of Malaria Elimination, April 17, 2024.

https://www.iai.it/en/pubblicazioni/advancing-global-health-agenda-g7-challenge-malaria-elimination

六、愛爾蘭國際與歐洲事務研究所

(Institute of International and

European Affairs, IIEA)

1. Dara Calleary TD, Alberto Gago Fernandez, Series report: The D9+ and the Future of the Single Market Date, April 12, 2024.

https://www.iiea.com/publications/series-report-the-d9-and-the-future-of-the-single-market-date

七、丹麥國際事務研究所

(Danish Institute for International

Studies, DIIS)

1. Maria-Louise Clausen, Non-State Armed Groups In The Sky: Global Regulation Fails To Address The Security Risks Posed By Civilian Drones, April 15, 2024.

https://www.diis.dk/en/research/non-state-armed-groups-in-the-sky-global-regulation-fails-to-address-the-security-risks

八、阿登納基金會

(Konrad-Adenauer-Stiftung)

1. Caroline Hauptmann, The new government of Senegal, April 12, 2024.

https://www.kas.de/en/country-reports/detail/-/content/the-new-government-of-senegal

2. Jakob Reinhold, Forced exmatriculation against anti-Semitism, April 15, 2024.

https://www.kas.de/en/kurzum/detail/-/content/zwangsexmatrikulation-gegen-antisemitismus

3. David Gregosz, Piotr Womela, Local elections in Poland 2024, April 16, 2024.

https://www.kas.de/en/country-reports/detail/-/content/local-elections-in-poland-2024

4. Stephan Malerius, Georgian own goal, April 17, 2024.

https://www.kas.de/en/country-reports/detail/-/content/georgian-own-goal

5. Elias Marini Schäfer, India's parliamentary elections 2024, April 16, 2024.

https://www.kas.de/en/country-reports/detail/-/content/indiens-parlamentswahlen-2024

6. Thomas Yoshimura, House specialty: lame duck? Results of South Korea’s general election, April 18, 2024.

https://www.kas.de/en/country-reports/detail/-/content/house-specialty-lame-duck

7. Denis Suarsana, De-Risking, but where to? The Emerging ASEAN countries as an alternative to China, April 18, 2024.

https://www.kas.de/en/single-title/-/content/de-risking-but-where-to

九、德國國際和安全事務研究所

(German Institute for International

and Security Affairs, SWP)

1. Meike Schulze, Security of Supply in Times of Geo-economic Fragmentation, April 17, 2024.

https://www.swp-berlin.org/en/publication/security-of-supply-in-times-of-geo-economic-fragmentation

2. Sven Arnold, Claudia Major, Frankreichs disruptive Zeitenwende(法國的颠覆性轉折點), April 15, 2024.

https://www.swp-berlin.org/en/publication/frankreichs-disruptive-zeitenwende

十、墨卡托中國研究中心

(Mercator Institute for China

Studies, MERICS)

1. MERICS China Essentials, German Chancellor Scholz's visit to China + China-Iran + Overcapacities, April 18, 2024.

https://www.merics.org/en/merics-briefs/german-chancellor-scholzs-visit-china-china-iran-overcapacities

十一、舒曼基金會

(Robert Schuman Foundation)

1. Corinne Deloy, L’Union démocratique (HDZ) conservera-t-elle le pouvoir en Croatie ?(民主聯盟(HDZ)能否保住克羅地亞的政權?), April 17, 2024.

https://www.robert-schuman.eu/fr/observatoire/6090-l-union-democratique-hdz-conservera-t-elle-le-pouvoir-en-croatie

十二、德國馬歇爾基金會

(The German Marshall Fund

of the United States)

1. Jacob Kirkegaard, Sudha David-Wilp, Rachel Tausendfreund, Keeping Europe Competitive, April 12, 2024.

https://www.gmfus.org/news/keeping-europe-competitive

2. Ian Lesser, Kadri Tastan, Özgür Ünlühisarcıklı, Paul T. Levin, Prospects For Eu-Türkiye Foreign Policy Cooperation At A Time Of Geopolitical Turbulence, April 15, 2024.

https://www.gmfus.org/news/prospects-eu-turkiye-foreign-policy-cooperation-time-geopolitical-turbulence

3. Bruce Stokes, A Smart Specialization Strategy For Ukraine: Recommendations To Spark An Economic Rebound After The War, April 15, 2024.

https://www.gmfus.org/news/smart-specialization-strategy-ukraine-recommendations-spark-economic-rebound-after-war-0

十三、法國國際和戰略關系研究所

(Institut de Relations Internationales

et Stratégiques, IRIS)

1. Patrice Moyeuvre, Gel du traité sur les forces conventionnelles en Europe par la Turquie(土耳其退出《歐洲正常武裝力量條約》), April 15, 2024.

https://www.iris-france.org/185624-gel-du-traite-sur-les-forces-conventionnelles-en-europe-par-la-turquie/

2. Jean-Paul Ghoneim, Les États arabes se rendent à l’évidence : seuls les États-Unis et leurs alliés occidentaux peuvent dissuader les Iraniens d’étendre leur influence au Moyen-Orient(阿拉伯國家正逐漸認識到,隻有美國及其西方盟國才能阻止伊朗在中東擴大影響力), April 17, 2024.

https://www.iris-france.org/185679-les-etats-arabes-se-rendent-a-levidence-seuls-les-etats-unis-et-leurs-allies-occidentaux-peuvent-dissuader-les-iraniens-detendre-leur-influence-au-moyen-orient/

十四、倫敦政治經濟學院外交政策智庫

(LSE Ideas)

1. Richard Higgott, The Decline and Rise of Hegemonic Narratives: From Globalisation and the 'Asia-Pacific' to Geopolitics and the 'Indo-Pacific', April 17, 2024.

https://www.lse.ac.uk/ideas/publications/Research-Reports/The-Decline-and-Rise-of-Hegemonic-Narratives

十五、英皇家國際事務研究所

(Chatham House)

1. Dr Chietigj Bajpaee, How India’s democracy shapes its global role and relations with the West, 15 April, 2024.

https://www.chathamhouse.org/2024/04/how-indias-democracy-shapes-its-global-role-and-relations-west

十六、英地緣戰略委員會

(Council on Geostrategy)

1. Charles Parton, Chinese politics in 2024: Indications from the ‘Two Sessions’, April 16, 2024.

https://www.geostrategy.org.uk/research/chinese-politics-in-2024-indications-from-the-two-sessions/

十七、英皇家聯合軍種研究所

(The Royal United Services

Institute,RUSI)

1. Malcolm Chalmers, Bracing for 2025: The UK and European Security Under a Trump Presidency, 28 March 2024.

https://www.rusi.org/explore-our-research/publications/occasional-papers/bracing-2025-uk-and-european-security-under-trump-presidency

十八、卡内基基金會

(Carnegie Endowment for

International Peace)

1. Rosa Balfour, Stefan Lehne, Charting The Radical Right’S Influence On Eu Foreign Policy, April 18, 2024.

Https://Carnegieeurope.Eu/2024/04/18/Charting-Radical-Right-S-Influence-On-Eu-Foreign-Policy-Pub-92139

十九、美國戰略與國際研究中心

(Center for Strategic and

International Studies, CSIS)

1. Clayton Swope, Kari A. Bingen, Makena Young, Madeleine Chang, Stephanie Songer, Jeremy Tammelleo, Space Threat Assessment 2024, April 17, 2024.

https://www.csis.org/analysis/space-threat-assessment-2024

二十、大西洋理事會

(Atlantic Council)

1. Shirin Hakim, Amin Mohseni-Cheraghlou, Geoeconomic Fragmentation And Net-Zero Targets, April 16, 2024.

https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/content-series/bretton-woods-2-0/geoeconomic-fragmentation-and-net-zero-targets/

2. Otaviano Canuto, Hafez Ghanem, Youssef El Jai, Stéphane Le Bouder, Delivering Results For The South: The Bretton Woods System We Need, April 18, 2024,

https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/in-depth-research-reports/report/delivering-results-for-the-south-the-bretton-woods-system-we-need/

二十一、布魯金斯學會

(Brookings Institution)

1. Timothy G. Massad, Stablecoins and national security: Learning the lessons of Eurodollars, April 17, 2024.

https://www.brookings.edu/articles/stablecoins-and-national-security-learning-the-lessons-of-eurodollars/

二十二、蘭德基金會

(RAND Corporation)

1. Michael J. Mazarr, Alexis Dale-Huang, John Deak, Gregory Weider Fauerbach, Stacie Goddard, Timothy R. Heath, Joshua Shifrinson, The Fates of Nations: Varieties of Success and Failure for Great Powers in Long-Term Rivalries, Published April 10, 2024.

https://www.rand.org/pubs/research_reports/RRA2611-2.html

2. Land, 2023 RAND Annual Report, April 10, 2024.

https://www.rand.org/pubs/corporate_pubs/CPA1065-4.html

二十三、傳統基金會

(Heritage Foundation)

1. Brent Sadler, An Agenda for Regaining American Maritime Competitiveness and Naval Power,

April 12, 2024.

https://www.heritage.org/defense/report/agenda-regaining-american-maritime-competitiveness-and-naval-power

2. David Ditch, Funding Leftism, Making Power Grabs: The Biden Administration’s Bureaucratic Radicalism, April 18, 2024.

https://www.heritage.org/budget-and-spending/report/funding-leftism-making-power-grabs-the-biden-administrations

二十四、哈德遜研究所

(Hudson Institute)

1. Eric B. Brown, Charles Horner, “Hiding a Dagger behind a Smile”—The Coming Era of US-China Relations, April 18, 2024.

https://www.hudson.org/foreign-policy/hiding-dagger-behind-smile-coming-era-us-china-relations-eric-b-brown-charles-horner

2. Matthew Boyse, George Scutaru, The Battle for the Black Sea Is Not Over, April 16, 2024.

https://www.hudson.org/security-alliances/battle-black-sea-not-over-matthew-boyse-george-scutaru-mykhailo-samus-antonia-colibasanu