Jin Ming on the market 11/8 Monday gold how to operate silver how to see? Exclusive trend analysis of crude oil unwinding

Gold Analysis Strategy:

　　On Friday, gold first located between 1800-1790 shock waiting for non-farm data, the evening non-farm data released better than expected, gold short-term decline adjustment, fell to the 1785 line nearby, and then due to the pressure of the dollar to fall back to adjust, gold bullish sentiment continued to rise in excitement, broke through multiple pressures, and finally measured the pressure to 1818 a line, the daily line also closed a big yang.

　　In the case of the Fed's interest rate decision and non-farm data are bearish for gold, gold has closed a large positive line for two consecutive days, and this running state is unusually abrupt. On the daily structure, the market suddenly returned to above the moving average band, and there was a continuous force action, and the technical trend was also changed by the previously expected adjustment expectations by the two consecutive days of the sun. Looking back at the reason why gold rose and rebounded last week, the main pusher is the dollar adjustment and fall caused, after the Release of the Fed interest rate decision, the dollar did not rise, making gold bulls have been eager to move, and before Friday's non-farm data, the U.S. index rebounded in advance to test the pressure, the non-farm data is better than expected, but because the U.S. index overdraft rose in advance, the dollar bulls chose to take profits, but triggered the short-term selling sentiment of the dollar, which also made the already foolish gold bulls sentiment become excited again. Eventually led to the abnormal trend situation of non-agricultural bearish gold, gold does not fall but rises.

　　At present, in terms of technical structure, under the action of the first two days of the Yang line, on Monday, especially in the Asian session, the market sentiment may have the continuation of inertia, but after all, the above may face pressure at any time, and the US index may complete the short-term technical adjustment at any time, so the upward momentum of gold is still difficult to hold, there is inertia continuation, but the space will not be very large, the daily level above 1820-23 will be the short-term pressure at the beginning of this week, if it breaks through, it is possible to test the previous highs 1832-35 area, But after all, the current market for two consecutive days of the big Yang line is unconventional pull-up, the extreme trend of the bulls kinetic energy has been consumed, the space for pulling up again is difficult to predict, and do not rule out the beginning of the week, especially after the inertia of the Asian session, to the European and American sessions, gold bulls choose short-term profit risk.

　　Combined with the 1, 4-hour chart, Friday's non-agricultural market is also very strange, the current 1, 4-hour chart has overbought signals, but it is possible to appear inertia at the beginning of this week, but it may be under the role of technical suppression, the market may appear repeatedly high contention, especially on Monday must pay more attention. Focusing on the 1820-23 pressure band above, if the market breaks through and stands on it on Monday, it indicates that bullish sentiment is still extreme, and the possibility of retesting the previous high of 1832-32 will also increase. But after all, the continuous rise in the market is mainly affected by the emotional impact of the dollar adjustment, once the dollar stops falling, or gold touches its own key pressure, and the momentum after the continuous recovery is also consumed, then gold is still likely to fall into the adjustment. If the market at the beginning of this week is repaired first, or high volatility, it is regarded as the digestion process of the abnormal yang of the first two days, focusing on the 1807-03 area below, and the short-term line will continue to be excited, maintaining the results brought by the abnormal rise, and may also change the trend expectations of the middle line gold. If it falls back below 1800, it indicates that the market has denied the previous two days of the big Yang line, and the market may return to the previous downtrend expectations.

　　In view of the abnormal recovery of the market in the first two days, especially the non-agricultural market changes on Friday, and the current market has a certain inertia continuation, it is advisable for gold conservatives to temporarily choose to wait and see, avoid too emotional trend risks, wait for the market trend to stabilize, and then choose the opportunity to participate after returning to technical trend expectations. Radicals are also best to choose to wait and see during the Asian and European sessions, or reduce the frequency of participation, and wait for the European and American disks to make detailed adjustments according to the situation in the evening.

　　Intraday technical points focus on the upper 1820-23 pressure band, if broken through, then look at the previous highs dense area 1832-35, below the focus on 1812-10 scramble, if the intraday market does not break 1820-23, then the lower 1812-10 support break may increase, below can look at the 1807-03 area of contention.

　　Crude Oil Analysis Strategy:

　　On Friday, the trend of crude oil formed a single-day V-shaped reversal, which occurred more frequently in the past fluctuations, mainly because of the superposition of the commercial attributes of crude oil and the hedging attributes. Since the 38.2% first-line crude oil in the golden section has been touched to open a rebound upward trend, the idea of going long at the 79.25 line given in the Turing market on Friday has once again stepped on the rhythm of volatility, and the upward space of $2.50 during the day is another hard dish for long position holders. Today there is no suspense to continue to look bullish, it is recommended to fall back to the 80.90 line to buy again, risk control below 80.40, the target of 82.70 ~ 83.40.

　　Silver Analysis Strategy:

　　Although there was an impact on the non-farm payrolls on Friday, it only affected short-term fluctuations without hindering the bullish sentiment of the general trend, and the idea of going long at 23.60 given in the morning review still successfully hitched a ride on the bulls, with the maximum intraday gain of 60 cents. The emergence of the pit digging node 23.00 means that the upward fluctuation will not be just with this, so today's day continue to consider the main idea of falling back to do long, it is recommended to go long at the 23.90 line, below the risk control 23.70, and the target is 24.30 ~ 24.40.