<b>Qilu Evening News Qilu one-point reporter Zhao Ending</b>
<b>On October 19, the DPRK and the United States had an air -- the DPRK Academy for National Defense successfully tested a new submarine-launched ballistic missile in the eastern waters of the peninsula on the same day; the US White House condemned it and also believed that this highlighted the urgency of diplomatic and dialogue. </b> <b>It is not known who, when, where, and in what manner the DPRK and the United States will have contact with each other; if what Sherman said is true, it means that the mutual tests between the DPRK and the United States have yielded preliminary results -- the DPRK has tested missiles many times in the past month, achieving the purpose of "promoting talks with pressure" and accumulating chips; the US side has roughly formed the tone and direction of its policy toward the DPRK through close coordination and communication with Japan and the ROK. </b>
This imposition image provided by KCNA on September 13 shows the Dprk Academy of Defense Sciences test-firing a newly developed long-range cruise missile.
<b>[Extreme counter-pressure].</b>
The DPRK Academy of Defense Sciences successfully test-fired a new submarine-launched ballistic missile on the 19th. According to the KCNA, the missile uses many upgraded guidance technologies, such as side maneuvering and gliding and jumping maneuvers, which will make a major contribution to improving national defense technology and improving the Navy's underwater combat capabilities. This is north Korea's sixth publicly reported missile test since mid-September.
According to the KCNA, the DPRK Academy for National Defense successfully test-fired the newly developed long-range cruise missile on September 11 and 12, respectively. According to the report, the missile flew for 7580 seconds, accurately hit the target 1500 kilometers away, showing that the newly developed turbo blast engine propulsion and other technical indicators, missile flight control performance and terminal guidance hit correctness all met the design requirements.
The KCNA report pointed out that this new type of weapon system is of great strategic significance, and the DPRK has one more effective means of containment in terms of ensuring national security and forcefully suppressing hostile forces.
This picture provided by KCNA on September 16 shows the scene of the railway mobile missile test held by the North Korean military on the 15th.
On September 15, North Korea successfully test-fired another railway mobile missile, which accurately hit a target 800 kilometers away in the eastern waters of north Korea. KCNA reported that the launch training was to determine the practicality of the railway mobile missile system deployed in the first real battle, to assess the readiness of the newly formed missile regiment and the ability to perform firepower tasks, so as to familiarize themselves with the actual combat operation procedures.
Park Chong-cheon, member of the Standing Committee of the Political Bureau of the Workers' Party of Korea Central Committee and secretary of the Central Committee of the Cpc Central Committee, said in guiding the railway mobile missile test that the railway mobile missile system is an effective means of dispersing firepower tasks throughout the country and carrying out multiple strikes against threatening forces at the same time.
On September 28, the DprK Academy of Defense Sciences successfully test-fired the newly developed Hwasong-8 hypersonic missile for the first time in Tszgang Province, north Of Korea. KCNA reported that the test launch confirmed the missile's flight control performance and stability in the active section, the missile warhead guided maneuverability and gliding flight characteristics and other technical indicators, confirmed the stability of the engine and the ampoule fuel system used for the first time, and all technical indicators reached the design goal. The report pointed out that this missile research and development project is of great strategic significance to vigorously enhance the DPRK's cutting-edge national defense science and technology strength.
This is a photo of a submarine-launched ballistic missile displayed at north Korea's "Self-Defense 2021" national defense development exhibition released by KCNA.
On September 30, the Dpron Academy of Defense Sciences successfully test-fired a newly developed anti-aircraft missile. In October, on the occasion of the 76th anniversary of the founding of the Workers' Party of Korea, the DPRK side held the "Self-Defense 2021" national defense development exhibition, and the supreme leader of the DPRK, Kim Jong Un, personally attended the opening ceremony and delivered a speech, saying that this exhibition focused on the major achievements of the DPRK's defense science and industry in the past five years, which is no less significant than a large-scale military parade.
In fact, this is a static review of North Korea's new weapons and equipment. Among the large-scale weapons and equipment on display, there are "Hwasong-16" intercontinental ballistic missiles, "Hwasong-8" hypersonic missiles, "Polaris-4a" medium- and long-range submarine-launched ballistic missiles, KN-23 and KN-24 short-range ballistic missiles. Compared to the previous Polaris-3 submarine-launched ballistic missile, the Polaris-4a has a much smaller projectile body, which means that a submarine will be able to carry more of this type of missile.
On October 21, the South Korean carrier rocket "So-so" was launched at the Roro Aerospace Center in Kokyang County, Jeolla Nam-do, South Korea. (Xinhua News Agency)
<b>[Soft and hard grasping].</b>
Also on September 15, South Korea successfully test-fired a domestically produced Genbu 4-4 submarine-launched ballistic missile using the new submarine "Shimayama Anchangho". Some South Korean media claimed that South Korea became the eighth country in the world to independently develop and test-launch submarine-launched ballistic missiles. On the same day, the South Korean military also showed the outside world a supersonic anti-ship cruise missile. In addition, new land-based medium-range ballistic missiles and new long-range air-launched cruise missiles will also be unveiled.
Last week, shortly after North Korea's latest submarine-launched ballistic missile test, South Korea launched the country's first fully autonomously developed launch vehicle, the World, on Oct. 21. The three-stage launch vehicle, which weighs a total of 200 tons, can send satellites up to 1.5 tons into orbits 600 to 800 kilometers above the ground. South Korean President Moon Jae-in made a special trip to the Ro-Lao Aerospace Center in South Korea to observe on the same day.
However, the launch ended in failure. After the rocket lifted off, the first, second and fairings separated normally, but the fuel of the third stage engine was exhausted in advance, resulting in the model satellite on board failing to reach a flight speed of 7.5 km/s after reaching a flight altitude of 700 km, and finally failed to successfully enter orbit.
South Korean President Moon Jae-in
Moon said that if the deficiencies can be checked and filled, the second launch in May next year will be a complete success. He also announced that as of 2027, he will continue to carry out five launches of the "World" carrier rocket, and strive to use the launch vehicle to realize the dream of lunar exploration by 2030.
As early as January 2013, South Korea successfully launched the first launch vehicle "Luolao", but the "Luolao" is not completely "Made in Korea", its first stage was manufactured by the Russian Khrunichev National Space Center, and the second stage was developed by South Korea.
The two Koreas are in a state of competition, both in terms of missile and launch vehicle development. After the DPRK successfully test-launched a new submarine-launched ballistic missile on the 19th, South Korean Foreign Minister Jeong Yirong said that the performance of South Korea's submarine-launched ballistic missiles is far superior to that of the DPRK; South Korean Defense Minister Xu Xu stressed that "the DPRK's new submarine-launched ballistic missiles are still in its infancy."
South Korean Defense Minister Seo Wook
After South Korea test-fired submarine-launched ballistic missiles last month, Jang Chang-ho, president of the North Korean Academy of National Defense Sciences, wrote that through comprehensive analysis such as viewing reporting materials and photos of the test site, South Korea's submarine-launched missiles "look like unreliable weapons without a complete appearance" and "this is a work of no good."
When South Korea launched the "Luo Lao" that year, despite its success, South Korean experts analyzed that South Korea's rocket technology was 5 to 7 years behind North Korea. At that time, North Korea had launched four launch vehicle launches and launched another "long-range rocket" in February 2016.
Competition is competition, and after all, the DPRK and the ROK are neighbors who cannot move away. During the 76th session of the United Nations General Assembly held last month, Moon jae-in called on the ROK and the United States and the DPRK to resume dialogue as soon as possible. "I would like to see the Korean Peninsula prove that dialogue and cooperation are the forces that make peace." Moon also mentioned that he hopes that the relevant parties will issue a declaration on the end of the Korean War. This is like an olive branch in the fierce air struggle between the two Koreas.
This image provided by KCNA on September 30 shows the scene of the second day of the fifth session of the 14th Supreme People's Assembly of the DPRK held on September 29.
<b>[See the trick needs to be dismantled].</b>
After Moon Jae-in's statement on the declaration of the end of the war, the Response of the North Korean side was "too early," and North Korean Vice Foreign Minister Lee Tae-sung said that as long as the United States does not change its policy of hostility toward the DPRK, even if it is pointless to sign an end-of-war agreement. However, the Attitude of the North Korean Side quickly adjusted, and KCNA reported that Kim Yo-jong, vice minister of the Central Committee of the Workers' Party of Korea, said in a statement on September 24 that if south Korea can be cautious in its words and deeds and not engage in hostile acts, then the DPRK is willing to maintain close communication between the two sides again and have constructive discussions on the resumption of relations and development prospects.
A day later, Kim Yo-jong spoke again, reminding South Korea to eliminate double standards and prejudice against North Korea and end its hostile policies. She said that only by maintaining fairness and mutual respect will there be progress in improving relations, such as the inter-Korean summit. According to Yonhap News Agency, Kim Yo-jong's second talk listed matters such as summit talks compared to the September 24 conversation, raising concerns about whether inter-Korean relations can usher in a breakthrough before Moon Jae-in leaves office next May.
As a result, the breakthrough came. In a speech on September 29, North Korean Supreme Leader Kim Jong Un said that as part of its efforts to realize the nation's wish for an early resumption of inter-Korean relations and lasting peace on the Korean Peninsula, the DPRK is willing to restart its communication hotline with the ROK from early October.
Inter-Korean Communication Hotline (Expansion Pack)
Kim Jong-un said that whether inter-Korean relations are restored and entered into a new stage, or whether the current bad situation continues, depends entirely on South Korea's attitude. He urged the ROK to change its attitude toward confrontation with the DPRK, treat it with caution and honestly implement all joint declarations between the DPRK and the ROK. On the morning of October 4, North Korea restarted all communication lines between the two Koreas. This is the resumption of inter-Korean communication after 55 days of interruption, which means that the détente process of bilateral relations has resumed.
However, whether the process of easing inter-Korean relations is smooth or not cannot be circumvented as a decisive factor in DPRK-US relations. After North Korea's missile test on the 19th, the White House said while condemning it, which highlighted the urgent need for diplomacy and dialogue. The DPRK stressed that the test launch activities are not aimed at specific countries or forces, and that the US accusations are overreacting and obvious double standards, and that "as long as the United States does not cause trouble, there will be no tension on the peninsula."
At the same time, the United States, Japan, and south Korea are also coordinating and communicating on the situation on the Korean Peninsula. On the 18th, Park Ji-won, president of the South Korean National Intelligence Agency, Haynes, director of national intelligence of the United States, and Hiroaki Takizawa, intelligence officer of the Japanese cabinet, held closed-door talks in Seoul, South Korea. This is the second time that the heads of the intelligence services of the three countries have met in Tokyo in May.
Kim Sung, special representative of the U.S. Department of State for North Korea policy
On 19 July, Kim Sung, special representative of the US State Department for DPRK policy, Roo Güy-de, minister of the Roksok Ministry of Foreign Affairs' Peninsula Peace Negotiations, and Ken-Hiroshi Funakoshi, director of the Asian Bureau of the Japanese Ministry of Foreign Affairs, held a meeting of representatives of the three countries toward the DPRK in Washington, covering the recent peninsula security bureau, the resumption of dialogue with the DPRK, and the declaration on the end of the war.
On the same day, US Deputy Secretary of State Sherman said in a video speech at the annual late years of the US nonprofit "Korea Association" that the US side has direct contact with North Korea and is working to achieve the complete denuclearization of the peninsula. This vague and general statement is like the current situation on the peninsula, and the opportunity is suddenly confusing.
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