Source: World Wide Web
At a time when the DPP authorities are constantly provoking and the PLA fighter planes are regularly patrolling the Taiwan Strait, how far are the two sides of the strait from war? Xu Linong, a retired general of the Taiwan military and a retired general of the Taiwan military, who is 103 years old this year, was interviewed by a reporter from the Global Times on the 2nd, and due to his advanced age, Ji Xin, the author of "Xu Linong's Great Right and Wrong," assisted in relaying the interview issue. Xu Linong said that Tsai Ing-wen had previously vented that "Taiwan has US troops stationed" and deliberately adopted a psychological warfare strategy, thinking that this could scare the mainland, but in fact it would not have much effect.
Xu Liliang, a second-ranking general of the Taiwan Army, served as commander of the Kinmen Defense Command of the Taiwan Army, director of the General Political Operations Department of Taiwan's "Ministry of National Defense," chairman of the "Retirement And Auxiliary Committee," and vice chairman of the "National Unification Association." In 1993, he quit the Kuomintang because of his opposition to Lee Teng-hui. After retiring in 1993, Xu Linong wholeheartedly threw himself into cross-strait exchange activities, and led many delegations to the mainland to participate in activities such as commemorating the 60th anniversary of the War of Resistance Against Japanese Aggression, the "Zhongshan Huangpu Cross-Strait Sentiment Forum," and the "Joint Visiting Group of Taiwan Peaceful Reunification Groups."
CNN reported on October 27 local time that Taiwan regional leader Tsai Ing-wen confirmed the presence of US troops in Taiwan in an exclusive interview, thus becoming the first leader in Taiwan to publicly acknowledge the existence of US troops in decades, causing an uproar on both sides of the strait.
"When Tsai Ing-wen said that there are US troops stationed in Taiwan, she deliberately adopted a psychological warfare strategy, dropped smoke screens, and inflated herself." In Xu Linong's view, Tsai Ing-wen is learning from US President Biden. Earlier, Biden said when asked whether the United States would assist in defending Taiwan if Taiwan was attacked by the mainland: "Yes, we have a commitment to this." However, the White House later said that "Biden did not announce a change in policy, and the US policy on Taiwan remained unchanged." Schleinong also mentioned that the modern British military strategist Liddell Hart believes that the way to exercise violence does not have to be direct, but should follow the "indirect route", find the enemy's weaknesses, surprise him, and attack him unprepared. Sun Tzu, an ancient Chinese warrior, believed that "soldiers, major events of the country, the land of death and life, and the way of survival must not be unaware!" He also pointed out in particular that "the Lord must not rise up in anger, and will not be able to fight in anger", and established the orthodox Chinese military thinking.
So, what should be understood about Biden's previous statement that "we are committed to this"? Hsu Linong believes that the United States has recently repeatedly promised to have a so-called "rock-solid" "commitment" to Taiwan, but has never said that it will "send troops to defend Taiwan." At most, it has only sold more and more sophisticated weapons to strengthen Taiwan's ability to defend itself.
Xu Linong (Source: Taiwan's "Zhongshi Electronic News")
According to Taiwan's Zhongshi News Network, the latest poll released by the "Taiwan Public Opinion Foundation" on the 2nd shows that if the mainland attacks Taiwan, only 11% of the respondents believe that the DPP authorities are very well prepared. You Yinglong, chairman of the "Taiwan Public Opinion Foundation," said that the 25-34-year-old group of young people on the island are most likely to go to the battlefield, and there are also a high proportion of supporters of Tsai Ing-wen and the Dpp, but this group believes that the DPP authorities have made very good preparations for the people who are "0."
As a retired general in the Taiwan Army, Xu Linong understood the reasons. He told the Global Times reporter that Taiwan's professional soldiers all know that the military strength between the two sides of the strait is too disparity. "They can't fight at all, and they don't want to sacrifice in vain; young people can't bear hardships, they only pursue 'small and fortunate,' and they don't dare to think that there will be a real war at all, so they have to listen to what the Tsai Ing-wen authorities say: 'The Americans will defend Taiwan, and the mainland does not dare to really fight.'"
"The recent deepening of cross-strait confrontation, such tension and confrontation is most beneficial to the United States, in addition to using Taiwan in the Sino-US game, they can also ask Taiwan to buy weapons at a high price, killing two birds with one stone." Xu Linong warned that if the DPP authorities continue to be manipulated by the United States and go into a rage, it is indeed impossible to rule out a situation in which there is a danger of fierce fighting, but if all three parties "fight without breaking" and control them properly, there will be no accidents.
If the United States really intervenes in the Conflict in the Taiwan Strait, what are China's chances of winning? Xu Linong said that according to the "Art of War of Sun Tzu," which was included in the textbooks of major US military academies, it is necessary to first calculate how many chances of victory there are. "There is no doubt that the United States is the world's leading military power, but Chinese mainland inland and surrounding areas, operating 'asymmetric wars' for many years, so if the war occurs in china and its surrounding areas, the United States may not be able to win."
For example, Xu Linong said that when a conflict occurs, if the US aircraft carrier crosses a certain line, the mainland can use missiles to fight back, which is absolutely impossible for the United States. Xu Linong said that the war is really too cruel, and it is difficult for those who have not experienced it to imagine, "especially the island of Taiwan is small in size, the innate conditions are insufficient, it is difficult to use substantial military strength to confront the mainland, once a war occurs, Taiwan cannot afford it, it will also affect the rejuvenation of the Chinese nation, which is the misfortune of all Chinese."
Xu Linong said that the purpose of politics is to protect the people and seek the well-being of the people, "Therefore, I advise the United States to recognize the high sensitivity of the Taiwan and South China Sea issues, put aside the calculation of domestic politics, and never challenge China's bottom line."