Since mid-October, pork prices have rebounded, and the supply of the pig market is loose and abundant. The reporter interviewed some farmers learned that the current pig price exceeded 8 yuan per kilogram, although there was a sharp rise from last month, but it was still below the profit point, with the recent feed prices continue to rise, pigs are basically unprofitable to earn.
Pig prices ushered in a new round of rise
"Hog prices have continued to rise since the middle of this month, and the wholesale price in these days has exceeded 8 yuan per catty, up nearly 3 yuan from the lowest price last month." On October 28, Wang Weixiong, a pig farmer in Baitafa Town, Jinzhai County, told reporters that 58 pigs had just been released a few days ago, and the price per kilogram was 8.2 yuan, up 2.8 yuan from the end of September. Not only is the price recovery large, but the sales are also relatively good, and the surrounding merchants have contacted him to buy pigs.
Ding Jinlun, head of the Henderson Pig Farm in Nengren Township, Dingyuan County, was particularly stressed some time ago, and he told reporters that the price per kilogram of pigs in the middle of last month was 5.3 yuan, and the average loss of a commercial pig was about 1,000 yuan. "In mid-October, the price of live pigs began to rise significantly, rising to 8.3 yuan per catty in just ten days, and the increase was still relatively large." Ding Jinlun said that this round of rise is relatively fast, and the pigs that can be released at home are sold in this period of time.
Wang Gansong, who is responsible for sales at Anhui Antai Breeding Company, is particularly busy these days, because pig prices have risen, and the backlog of pigs some time ago has been concentrated on sales. "In less than ten days, the price of live pigs has risen by nearly 3 yuan, which is a good thing for our farmers." According to Wang Gansong, last month, due to the low price of pigs, the pig farm pressed a lot of pigs, and the recent price correction can basically sell more than 2,000 pigs every day.
Pigs are still at a loss
Although the recent increase in pig prices is very large, some farmers reflect that due to the surge in feed and other costs, the cost of raising pigs has generally exceeded 8.5 yuan per kilogram, and the current pig price is still below the cost price, and pigs are still in a state of loss. Wang Weixiong told reporters that the recent feed price has risen some more, with an average increase of 300 yuan per ton, which is more stressful for pig farmers. "My pig farm's monthly feed cost alone will increase by nearly 10,000 yuan, and the current cost price per kilogram of pigs is 8.5 yuan." He calculated the account, the current pig out of the barn price is 8.2 yuan per catty, still lower than the cost price, raising pigs or no profit to earn.
Ding Jinlun said that the price of live pigs has indeed risen a lot recently, but it has not yet reached the profit point. "A pig out of the pen still has to lose more than 100 yuan, of course, it is a lot less than the previous period." According to Ding Jinlun, the current pressure on feed prices is very large, pig farms have to use up about 20 tons of feed every day, and each ton of feed is 300 yuan higher than the previous period, and the rise in breeding costs is inevitable. Wang Gansong feels that the biggest cost pressure at present is feed and labor, and the surge in these costs has directly increased the cost of pigs to 9 yuan per kilogram, and the current market price is still far from reaching the profit point.
Low-yield sows should be phased out as soon as possible
Professor Yin Zongjun of Annong da analyzed that autumn and winter are the traditional peak season for pork consumption. Since the middle of October, due to the increase in processing, consumption recovery and other major factors, the price of pork market has rebounded. Monitoring by the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs shows that at present, pig production is still growing inertia, and the downward price cycle is not over. It is expected that the fattening pigs listed in the fourth quarter of this year to the first quarter of next year will increase significantly year-on-year, the supply of pigs is relatively sufficient, the downward pressure on prices is still not small, if there is no substantial reduction in production capacity, the downturn in pig prices is difficult to reverse. Especially in February and March next year, the number of pigs out of the pen will continue to increase, and the peak of the barn may be reached in April. This period of time is precisely the off-season of consumption after the Spring Festival next year, with the increase in pig production, pig prices may continue to decline, resulting in heavy losses in pig breeding.
To this end, it is recommended that farm households should arrange pigs out of the barn in an orderly manner, do not blindly press the fence because of the current pig price recovery, and do not rush to expand production capacity to avoid heavy losses in the later stage. ( Liu Gang)