Recently, the domestic pork price has fluctuated sharply, before the price of pork fell below the 10 yuan / kg mark, and in some places the price of pork fell to 6-7 yuan / kg. But the good times were short-lived. After entering October, pork prices began to rebound again, returning to the 10 yuan / catty mark, and some places of pork rose to 12-13 yuan / catty. Many people are worried that the current round of domestic pork prices have ended, and now the prices of agricultural products such as vegetables, eggs, freshwater fish are rising, and pork prices cannot be in the low-price area for a long time.
The main reasons for the recent rebound in pork prices are as follows: First, some time ago, domestic pork prices fell sharply, and farmers died. Some people began to switch to other breeding industries in the face of losses, and many people were afraid that pork prices would continue to fall, so they sold a large number of pigs to reduce losses. In this way, the number of pigs in the national memory bar has been greatly reduced, and the price of pork will naturally rebound.
Second, after entering the autumn and winter, the domestic demand for pork began to heat up. In particular, the temperature in the northern region has been reduced, and it is possible to produce and manufacture sausages. Many people see that the price of pork is so low, so they start to buy a lot of pork to prepare for the feast. In this way, the demand for pork has increased. In addition, due to the recent rising prices of eggs and beef and mutton, some people have begun to choose to buy pork, which has also largely driven the rebound in pork prices.
Third, due to the early price of pork fell to 6-7 yuan / catty, our country began to store pork at a low price. According to the news of the Ministry of Commerce in mid-October, in order to better play the role of the government in regulating pork reserves, stabilize market expectations, and maintain the smooth operation of the pork market, multiple departments have collected and stored 30,000 tons of central reserve pork, and the layout is stored in 12 provinces.
Obviously, in order to prevent the price of pork from being too low and hurting the interests of pig farmers and related enterprises, the Chinese government began to buy reserve pork at a low price. In this way, the recent rebound in domestic pig prices is also expected.
Now many netizens are concerned about what is the price trend of pork in the next few months? Can you still eat 10 yuan of pork in the New Year? In this regard, we believe that the follow-up domestic pork prices will be in a relatively stable state: on the one hand, although the production of pork has begun to decrease significantly, the situation of oversupply has not changed.
According to official data, the inventory of old sows across the country is maintained at 41 million to meet the demand, and now there are at least 43 million, so it is too early to say that the pig cycle is reversed. On the other hand, after entering the winter, the domestic demand for pork is rising, especially after the New Year's Day and spring festival, and the demand for pork will continue to enlarge. Therefore, in the future, pork prices will show a relatively balanced state of supply and demand.
Recently, the price of domestic pork has rebounded, which is caused by the national storage, the price of other agricultural products has risen, and after entering the winter, people's demand for pork has begun to increase. As a result, many people are worried that pork has just fallen for a few days and will rise back again.
We think that everyone is still worried. At present, domestic pork production capacity is still in a state of oversupply, the current round of pig cycle has not ended, however, due to the arrival of autumn and winter and New Year's Day, Spring Festival, the market demand for pork is rising, so the future pork prices will be in a relatively stable state, the market supply will be more sufficient.