Lee Kuan Yew was Singapore's first Prime Minister and is also revered as the Founding Father of Singapore. On a world scale, Lee Kuan Yew has enjoyed a lofty position with his outstanding governing ability and political wisdom, and it is he who has led the crisis-ridden Singapore to gradual prosperity.
Lee Kuan Yew has published a book about the political field, which contains many of Lee Kuan Yew's own views on the domestic and world political situation and development direction in Singapore, which greatly embodies Lee Kuan Yew's political wisdom, which is published in 2013.
In the book, Lee Kuan Yew makes predictions about the future political situation in the world, mentioning: "In the future, the eurozone will disintegrate, the United States will no longer be strong, and it is uncertain whether Singapore exists." Eight years later, this prophecy seems to have been followed by many things that have happened, confirming the veracity of this prophecy and making people lament Lee Kuan Yew's keen political vision.
Lee kuan yew
<h1 class="pgc-h-arrow-right" data-track="4" > the future of the eurozone is not promising</h1>
With regard to the development trend that Lee Kuan Yew had predicted that the eurozone might disintegrate in the future, we can analyze in detail the reasons why it may be achieved.
First of all, although most European countries have established the European Economic Community and even the European Union, the whole of Europe seems to be more and more closely linked, but in fact, as a scattered alliance, all countries are independent sovereign states, and the ties between countries are limited to shallow economic ties, and they cannot work together with each other, but compete with each other for the private interests of each other.
It is not enough to maintain the unity of the entire union by being able to use a single currency, and although the EU has been trying to harmonize the policies of the eurozone countries and to achieve a balance between the economic policies of the member states, it has actually achieved little success.
Secondly, if the development of a union is thriving, and all members of the alliance can obtain greater benefits, then the alliance will inevitably unite and prosper, but in the actual economic development process of the euro area, there is great resistance, making the economic development of the entire euro area slow, and successively producing economic crises of large or small scale.
For example, the euro area country of Greece, its budget deficit before joining the European Union has been huge, after joining the euro area, Greece because the economic competitiveness is relatively weak, the level of economic development in the euro area countries is relatively low, so there is a long-term trade deficit in the euro area, resulting in capital outflows, debt.
After the Debt Crisis in Greece, a series of negative economic impacts also occurred in other countries of the Eurozone, resulting in the depreciation of the local currency, and this debt crisis spread into a debt crisis for the entire Eurozone. Under such circumstances, the economy of the entire union is slow, which will naturally cause the member countries to lose confidence and create a sense of separation.
Finally, there are already many contradictions between the countries of the euro area, due to historical reasons, there are deliberate contradictions between Germany and France, which have not been resolved so far, and with the economic cooperation and common interests of the countries of the euro area, various contradictions have arisen between countries for the payment and benefit of the development process, and with the development trend of the economic conditions of the euro area, these contradictions may also become more and more intense.
In addition to the above three reasons, there is another strong evidence for the future disintegration of the eurozone, that is, the Brexit incident. Due to the consideration of conflicts of interest, the United Kingdom began to prepare for Brexit very early on, and after a long tug-of-war, the negotiations between the United Kingdom and the European Union were successful, and a Brexit agreement was reached, and the desire to go it alone was successfully realized.
However, once the United Kingdom, as a European power, leaves the European Union, it will undoubtedly have a huge impact on other countries still in the euro area, which not only shakes the confidence of countries in the euro area, but also makes a good demonstration of the Brexit process for other countries.
In the future, the eurozone countries may have the situation of the automatic withdrawal of marginal countries, the passive withdrawal of marginal countries, and the voluntary withdrawal of one or a group of core member countries, and gradually move towards decomposition.
<h1 class="pgc-h-arrow-right" data-track="15" > no longer the mighty United States</h1>
During the most powerful period of the United States, its economic development, scientific and technological strength and military strength were far beyond the vast majority of countries in the world, and the United States developed many allies in the world with its national strength, making its global trade and military development more successful and had a strong right to speak.
However, in recent years, although the comprehensive strength of the United States is still the first in the world, from the perspective of its economic and political development trend, the strong momentum of the United States has gradually slowed down, and the United States has also seen many problems and drawbacks that did not appear during its most powerful period in the domestic and international situation.
In detail, in terms of the economy, the GDP growth rate of the United States has slowed down greatly in recent years, and due to the foreign trade war, the United States has implemented many behaviors similar to the imposition of punitive tariffs to suppress foreign enterprises, which has increased the burden on employees and even unemployment. Coupled with the impact of frequent financial crises, the economic status quo of the United States is far worse than it was at the beginning.
In terms of politics, the two-party system in the United States has gradually shown shortcomings, the frequent change of power between the two parties makes it impossible to implement the policy for a long time, and the political situation is in contention, relying heavily on the support of capital, which makes the evidence more corrupt and chaotic. This can be seen in the series of chaotic events that occurred during the US presidential election at the beginning of this year.
At the diplomatic level, in the past few years, the United States has maintained the consistent foreign policy of successive US administrations during the Trump administration, that is, pursuing the principle of "America first", uniting allies to suppress China and Russia and other countries, and provoking disputes in the Middle East and other regions in an attempt to benefit from it.
He also "took a unique path" and withdrew from a series of international organizations and international treaties such as the WHO, the United Nations Educational, Scientific and Cultural Organization, the United Nations Human Rights Council, the Vienna Convention on Diplomatic Relations, the Universal Postal Union, the Paris Agreement, the Trans-Pacific Partnership Agreement, the Global Migration Agreement, the Comprehensive Agreement on the Iranian Nuclear Issue, and the INF Treaty, and the policy was capricious.
This has made the American people and allies of the United States express no confidence in the Trump administration, and the United States has temporarily lost the credibility and certain voice it has worked hard in the international community for many years.
From the above aspects, the strong United States can not permanently maintain its strength, the United States' own subjective and objective reasons have hindered its own development, and many countries in the world are also constantly developing and expanding themselves, how strong the situation is the trend of the times.
Although the comprehensive strength of the United States is still very strong, as the multipolarization of the world becomes an inevitable trend, the hegemonic position of the United States is bound to be difficult to maintain, which is caused by the law of development. And America's dream of eternal existence as a superpower will eventually be shattered at some point in the future.
<h1 class="pgc-h-arrow-right" data-track="25" > the future of Singapore is unpredictable</h1>
Singapore's area became a British colony in the early nineteenth century; was occupied by Japan during World War II; Singapore joined Malaysia in the 1960s; and just two years later, Malaysia excluded Singapore from the Confederation. Since then, Singapore has been forced to become independent.
When it was first established, Singapore was actually in danger, an island country of only a few hundred square kilometers that was not included by the Federation of Malaysia, but it was located in the Strait of Malacca, the throat of the world's transportation, and the countries of the world were eyeing Singapore.
In order to seek self-reliance and independence, Li Yaoguang, the founding father of Singapore, actively cooperated with the United States to seek the united states' military protection and economic support for Singapore, and the United States also valued Singapore's geographical advantages to facilitate its economic and military development, and gradually formed close ties with Singapore.
Under the leadership of Lee Kuan Yew and the support of the United States, Singapore's international position has been consolidated, and Singapore's economy has been able to develop rapidly, reaching the forefront of Asia.
Therefore, we can see that the stability of Singapore's position is inextricably linked to the United States, and the military protection and economic assistance of the United States are extremely important for Singapore's development, after all, Singapore's objective conditions are difficult to build a strong military force against foreign enemies.
So although Singapore is currently strong and economically developed, but the maintenance of this status has always depended on the help of the United States, based on the above speculation, if the United States is not as strong as ever, and even if there is a situation of self-care, then Singapore will also lose a strong backer.
At this time, whether it is neighboring Malaysia or other powers in the world, Singapore will be plunged back into a dangerous situation, and how Singapore will overcome its disadvantages in such a situation and skillfully maneuver through them has become an unpredictable thing. From this, Lee's concerns about Singapore's future fate are justified.
Li Yaoguang, as the founding father of Singapore with considerable political vision and wisdom, his predictions are worthy of our in-depth study and exploration, in addition to the above three predictions, Li Yaoguang also clearly put forward the view that the world is a community, and every country cannot be left alone in the wave of globalization, but will be affected by the development of globalization.
Therefore, for Singapore, the most important thing is to safeguard its own hard power, develop its economy and improve its ability to cope with risks. In terms of international relations, we should also establish the concept of community and make efforts for the country to conform to the trend of globalization.
During Lee Yiu Kwong's administration, he established very close ties with the United States, but he did not make Singapore a "slave" to the United States, but maintained independence, while also actively maintaining diplomatic relations and cooperative relations with China and other countries, which makes us have to lament Lee Kuan Yew's mind and vision.
Today's trend of world development confirms his predictions and views, and adapting to the development trend of the world to strengthen its own capabilities is exactly what Singapore and even various countries in the world need to do now.