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Taiwan experts: There are a large number of asymptomatic infected people in Taiwan The current confirmed people are only the tip of the iceberg

author:China.com

The epidemic in Taiwan continues to spread, but is it "controllable and preventable" claimed by the DPP authorities? In this regard, Zhou Yanhong, a researcher at the Institute of Infectious Diseases and Vaccines of the Taiwan Institute of Health, and Lin Shibi, a major infectious disease physician at the front desk, pointed out in a program on the 26th that after comparing the trend chart after the correction of the return and the actual situation, there are probably many "black numbers" (asymptomatic infected people) in Taiwan, and from the perspective of population proportion, the severe disease rate in Taiwan is even higher than that in Japan, and the confirmed people who are now pulled out are only the "tip of the iceberg".

According to Taiwan's "Eastern Sen News" news on the 27th, Zhou Yanhong analyzed on the Taiwan TV column "There is something to say" that according to the trend chart made by the confirmed data released by the current command center, the slope between May 15 and 17 is quite steep, "representing that in the process of the outbreak of the epidemic, we have not managed it well", if indeed failed to properly control the epidemic, it is reasonable to say that the number of confirmed cases should continue to climb up exponentially, but the data shows a gentle trend, Zhou Yanhong believes that from the perspective of public health, This phenomenon "one is happy, the other is worried".

Zhou Yanhong believes that this gentle trend may be "(the epidemic) is on the verge of being controllable", if the epidemic has been successfully controlled, the confirmed cases after the 17th should be less than 2500 people, but the current confirmed cases have not declined, but also have not seen exponential growth, so he believes that "there are many 'black numbers' among us", that is, asymptomatic people who do not know that they have already been infected. After analyzing all kinds of data and the current situation, Zhou Yanhong concluded that the epidemic situation has not slowed down, and he also called on the Taiwan authorities and the people to find a way to work together to catch these hidden "black numbers".

Lin Also raised the current situation in Japan, saying that the number of seriously ill patients in Japan is currently a new high in a year, about 1300 people, Taiwan is 378 people, but if you calculate the proportion of the population between the two sides, the severe disease rate per 100,000 people in Taiwan is higher than japan, which makes Lin Shibi exclaim: "I think this is a scary number." Lin Shibi also reminded that "the current amount of testing can be limited", it is difficult to grasp the actual epidemic curve, and the number of seriously ill patients reflects that the confirmed patients who are now pulled out are only the "tip of the iceberg". (Overseas Network Wu Qian)