Serie A: A brief analysis of Cagliari vs Roma

Serie A's ball is now better looking, and after years of pain, Serie A now has a revival. Although Italy's overall economy is not very good in Europe, it has also led to not too many big stars in Serie A. But now Italy's overall football style has changed a lot, emphasizing attack, high-speed conversion, it can be said that the current Italian football style basically can not see the shadow of the previous Latin genre, their current football style is closer to the Premier League and Bundesliga, or more ornamental.

In this game as a whole, I think Roma has a certain advantage, but the advantage is not very big, first of all, let's talk about Roma's advantage.

Roma's advantage in this game is mainly based on two points, first of all, Roma's current state has a certain sign of rebound, Mourinho's defensive transformation currently looks like some initial results, very representative is the last game with Napoli 0:0, the previous game to Juve was only 0:1 small loss. And I compared the footage, and the last Game of Roma's defense was really good, and it wasn't quite the same as all the previous games. So basically it can be said that Roma have found rhythm in the defensive line.

The second point is that Cagliari's defense has been so poor this season that he has basically conceded goals steadily in every game. This defensive quality is also difficult against Roma to concede a goal. After all, although Roma away from home 1 wins and 3 losses, but how to say that it is also the existence of 8 goals in 4 games, but the defense they did not do well, this game if Roma pressed the defense of the last game against Napoli, Cagliari has no chance.

So why is Rome's advantage not so great? The main point is that Roma's current away performance is really not good, Serie A 1 win and 3 losses away, and when it comes to a team with some offensive strength, it is not a small goal to lose away from Roma. While Cagliari's defense is poor, their offense will not be bad. So it's also important to consider whether Roma's last game against Napoli didn't concede a goal or not. The second main point is that the index of this game is still shallow, although Roma have given the highest handicap for the visiting team in recent years, but it must be considered that Cagliari is the deputy squad leader of the league, and the first-to-last pull is obviously not enough.

So this game combined, I think Roma has a 70% chance of winning, 30% probability of upsetting. PS: If Roma wins, it's not like winning just one goal, but the score of 0:1 is not the exception.