The mountain rain is about to fill the building, and the US Capitol has a sense of crisis under the city.
According to CNN, the number of National Guards assembled in Washington in the next few days will reach 25,000, and the National Guard from more than a dozen states has been authorized by the U.S. Department of Defense to defend the Capitol, which is 10,000 more than the expected 15,000. It seems that the situation on the day of Biden's inauguration was not as optimistic as expected, and Pence personally appeared in the Capitol to cheer up the National Guard, which had arrived at the "front line", and the mobilization of the United States was like a civil war.
The current United States is like a power vacuum, and Trump has become the current president in name only. Since the fall of Capitol Hill, Trump has also lost his social influence. And Trump, who feels unprecedented pressure, has also become more low-key. Since the fall of Capitol Hill, Trump's appearance has been relatively calm, and he has also advised supporters not to hold illegal protests again. However, according to intelligence sources and normal inferences, the "Little Red Riding Hoods" on the day of Biden's inauguration cannot stop here, and the risk of turmoil on January 20 is very large, which is the main reason why Washington, D.C. maintains a high state of tension.
So what is the likelihood of a rebellion? How will the National Guard stop it?
(1) On the day of Biden's inauguration, the probability of protests is very large, and even sabotage activities are not ruled out. At present, the US judiciary is tracking down the last troublemaker, and during this period, Trump has encountered "unfair treatment" such as the whole network ban and the impeachment of the House of Representatives (at least some Trump supporters will think so), which will definitely make some of the ashes of Trump supporters "rise up";
(2) The National Guard will conduct a comprehensive interception near the Capitol Building and at the main pass into Washington, D.C. It can be argued that Washington will not allow protests on Biden's inauguration day, whether legal or illegal, to take a "one-pot end".
What is the best option for Trump supporters? Making trouble on Biden Inauguration Day is unlikely to change the outcome of the election, nor is it possible to stop Biden from taking office, and it will certainly be held accountable. After all, the incumbent president who caused trouble on January 6 was still Trump, and the incumbent president who caused trouble on January 20 was Biden. The intensity of the investigation may become different in nature. This will do Trump supporters little good at all.
Because whether it is in the United States or in Western society, the mainstream voice is hoping that the United States will peacefully transfer power and make a peaceful transition. This means that Trump supporters are already "alone", and a better way for them is not to oppose the election results, or to start with restricting Trump's social rights, opposing the behavior of major technology giants, or opposing the House of Representatives impeaching Trump for instigating rebellion. Without prejudice to the fundamental interests of the Democratic Party, these people will also be treated more moderately.
At this point, the US election will also end on January 20. Trump may make a departure speech, but he has made it clear that he will not attend Biden's inauguration, which Vice President Pence will attend. For Trump's impeachment, the actual significance is not great. Although the House of Representatives passed the impeachment proposal, it will take more than a hundred days to wait for the Senate ruling, when Trump has long been out of activity.
Even if Trump leaves office, the major technology giants in the United States cannot unblock Trump, after all, after the Democratic Party takes office, if a powerful Trump exists, it will only add more trouble to the Democratic Party. In order for Biden to work for as many years as possible or for the rest of the Democratic Party to take over, then suppressing Trump is half the success, after all, the "special president" has more than 74 million votes, the highest in the history of the US president.
Trump's four years have offended many people, but for the United States to withdraw from many international organizations, especially military consultation treaties, there is no harm. For example, the interim nuclear forces treaty has little value for the United States and Russia, because the United States and Russia already have enough weapons equivalent to short- and medium-range missiles, air-based, sea-based, and even critical point weapons.
However, this is really not a good thing for Western Europe, which will make Russia's weapons more unscrupulously deployed to enclaves, directly affecting the national security of neighboring NATO. The question is, has NATO's day-to-day military exercises in Lithuania, Latvia, and Estonia made Russia comfortable? Everyone is a thousand-year-old fox, playing what to talk about.
And Trump also makes many Americans like, Trump has been withdrawing troops in the Middle East, for these military families, it is impossible not to have a good feeling for Trump. Since Trump took office, he has not launched a large-scale war. In Afghanistan and Iraq, many people have been gradually withdrawn, and in Syria, they have not deployed their forces to sensitive areas, but have deployed near oil fields and cross-border military bases they have established, so as to avoid casualties as much as possible.
For the Trump era, the outside world has always felt "innovative". In any case, Trump at least let us see that the double standard of the United States, the protest of the Capitol can be shot, and the president's speech can be blocked. We do not deny that the United States has developed science and technology and strong military strength, but the United States is obviously not as good as many people say, and the moon of a foreign country will not be rounder.