Introduction: The level of pig prices not only affects the income of pig farmers, but also affects the lives of ordinary people, and the previous year and a half of pork prices have made many people not eat pork for half a year or even a year. Usually we think that the level of pork prices is related to the economic law of supply and demand, pork supply and demand prices rise, oversupply prices fall, but under the stimulation of high profits, many consortiums have joined the speculation of pigs and pork, first fried pigs, then fried meat, and now began to fry pigs, the current pork prices Are still some natural economic laws?
<h1 class="pgc-h-arrow-right" data-track="2" > "fried pigs" in the first half of 2019</h1>
The first half of 2019 is the most tragic time for China's pig prices to fall, when the price of pigs in many areas once fell to 5, 6 yuan, which has the factor of pig selling, more because of the addition of "fried pig group", some criminals use drones to spread non-plague virus, so that some pig farms without disease are forcibly infected, and then "fried pig ball" then creates panic in the local area, stimulates pig farmers to throw pigs urgently, at this time the pig collection team in the "fried pig group" intervenes, they buy pigs at low prices and transport them to other high-priced areas. Or simply slaughter and refrigerate.
Originally because the consumption of diseased pork is not ideal, the pig market is in a state of oversupply, pig prices continue to decline, and the speculation of "fried pig balls" is equivalent to adding fuel to the fire, further boosting the plunge in pig prices.
<h1 class="pgc-h-arrow-right" data-track="16" > "stir-fried meat" in the second half of 2019</h1>
If it is said that the pig speculation behavior of the "fried pig group" in the first half of the year stimulated the plunge in pig prices and allowed consumers to profit from it for a short time, then the speculation of the "fried meat ball" in the second half of the year is to squeeze the interests of consumers. In October 2019, China's pig production capacity fell to the bottom, pig prices also bottomed out, and broke through 20 yuan all the way, and pork prices also rose to more than 30 yuan a catty.
At this time, the "fried pig balls" in the first half of the year began to change to the "fried meat balls", and in the first half of the year, some of the pigs they bought at a low price were slaughtered and stored in cold storage, waiting for the price of pork to rise. After the price of fresh meat soared to 30 yuan, people who speculated on pork began to go out to sell frozen meat at a price slightly lower than the price of fresh meat, although Chinese residents are more often accustomed to consuming fresh meat, but in the face of the price of fresh meat of up to 30 yuan a pound, some residents with low economic income can only endure the pain of cutting love to accept cheap frozen meat. They sold the low-priced pork they had hoarded in the first half of the year at a high price, and the difference in the middle could only be paid by consumers.
<h1 class="pgc-h-arrow-right" data-track="17" > "fry pigs" in the first half of 2021</h1>
With the consumption of frozen meat hoarded by the "fried meat balls", the pork market has temporarily entered a stable state, especially in 2020, the price of live pigs and pork prices have continued to run at a high level, and there is no opportunity to speculate on "fried pig balls" and "fried meat balls". However, after entering 2021, the opportunity for pig hype has come again:
First, the second outbreak of non-plague in some areas has aggravated the panic of pig farmers in the affected areas;
Second, the price of pigs fell for more than 4 months, from a pig profit of more than 1,000 yuan to a pig loss of 500 yuan, pig farmers' mentality collapsed;
Third, pig farmers do not hesitate to raise big pigs in order to be equal, and in the current pig price state, the more they raise, the more they lose, and pig farmers have reached the brink of collapse.
"Fried pig group" with the help of pig farmers collapse opportunity, want to fry pigs again, recently this time on the network part of the pig price article behind the message appeared "2 yuan pig price" statement, the current pig farmers are eager to look forward to the pig price recovery, see this news basically lost the ability to judge, some of the unclear pig farmers with "rather believe in its existence, do not believe in its nothing" the idea began to sell pigs, the concentration of pigs out of the bar for the "fried pig group" to create favorable conditions.
<h1 class="pgc-h-arrow-right" data-track="18" > the fall in pig prices "they" should be primarily responsible</h1>
Where there is profit, there is capital, not only pork, but also many agricultural products have been manipulated by capital, more typical is ginger, garlic, apples, corn and so on in recent years are being hyped. And the speculation also destroyed the normal supply and demand of the market to determine the law of pig prices, the original oversupply price to fall, but traders hoard goods do not sell, the market agricultural product circulation volume declines, the output is high also have to face price increases, this price trend is easy for farmers to misjudge the form of breeding and planting, further increase production, traders can get a higher price difference. This wave of pig prices fell, "fried pig group" should be mainly responsible, although in 2019 there are relevant regulations to crack down on "fried pig group", but there are signs of resurgence in the near future, reminding pig friends to distinguish between right and wrong, do not be misled by wrong information.