Zhao Liewen predicted the demise of the Qing Dynasty

June 20, 1867 AD, after the first drum. In the past, the time of the day was represented by clocks, and the time of night was represented by drums, and the so-called bell and drum towers in many places were used to tell the time. One more from 7 p.m. to 9 p.m., and so on.

Zeng Guofan came to the home of his staff member Zhao Liewen and said to Zhao Liewen: "People who have returned from the capital say that the atmosphere in the capital is very bad now, there are robbers in broad daylight, there are groups of beggars in the market, some women do not even have clothes to wear, and the common people are poor to this point, I am afraid that there will be big changes, what should I do?"

Zhao Liewen replied: "The world will be divided for a long time, and if it is unified for a long time, it will inevitably split." But the country now has severe laws and prestige, and no one dares to rebel. If it were not for the rotting of the center, it would not have been possible to fall apart. In my inference, the great calamity of his day must be the end of the world, with no masters on all sides, and everyone acting independently, and within fifty years it will be necessary."

Zeng Guofan frowned and said for a long time, "Can the country move south?" ”。

Liewen said: "I am afraid that it will be difficult to be like the Jin Dynasty and the Song Dynasty." Lu Shen means direct destruction, the Western Jin Dynasty crossed the south to the Eastern Jin Dynasty, and the Northern Song Dynasty moved south to the Southern Song Dynasty.

Zeng Guofan was a little incredulous and said, "The current emperor's moral character is very good, maybe not so."

Liewen replied, "The emperor's moral character is good, but the country is also developing rapidly, the territory is vast, and the return of heaven to the emperor cannot be said to be rich." When the country was founded, the country was too easy to get, the killing was heavy, the way to win the world was too clever, and the heavenly way was clearly distinguished between good and evil, one is one, two is two. Compared with these things at the beginning of the founding of the country, the character of the emperor is not enough for future generations. ”

Zeng Guofan said: "I only hope that I will die early, where I am willing to see the country fall in the future." You're not kidding."

Zhao Liewen respected Zeng Guofan as a teacher, and replied, "Although I love to joke, but with the status of a teacher now, how can I laugh at this kind of thing, life and death are destined." Don't force it. Although there is not much difference between good death and good life, in one day, the people can live a good life, and the relationship is very big, you must not think like this."

In 1911, the Xinhai Revolution broke out, the revolution was not complete, and the warlords were in scuffles. According to Zhao Liewen's prediction of not coming out of fifty years, it is actually 44 years.