The picture shows a soldier of the Ukrainian army
The topic of this issue, the elite of the Ukrainian army in Kursk surrendered, and Zelensky was depressed! Germany went to a direct showdown and no longer aided heavy equipment.
Now it seems that Ukraine is becoming more and more inadequate, on October 14, Zelensky said on the "Telegram" social platform that the Russian army has attacked the Ukrainian army's defense line in Kursk Oblast for 5 consecutive days. Although the Ukrainian army is still holding out and even launching a counterattack, the seriousness of the situation cannot be ignored. A day later, on October 15, Major General Araudinov, deputy head of the Main Directorate of Military Administration of the Russia Armed Forces, revealed that some elite units of the Ukraine army surrendered in Kursk Oblast. This news has further exacerbated the outside world's concerns about the combat effectiveness of the Ukrainian army.
Judging by some public data, since 2024, the loss of troops of the Ukrainian army has been very serious. According to the Wall Street Journal, earlier this year, Ukraine's "classified estimates" showed that about 80,000 Ukraine soldiers have been killed and about 400,000 injured since the start of the Russia-Ukraine conflict. Such large-scale losses have undoubtedly weakened the overall combat effectiveness of the Ukrainian army, making it difficult for it to maintain an effective combat capability in the ongoing conflict.
The picture shows Russia soldiers
In addition, the Ukrainian army is also facing serious difficulties in terms of logistical supply. At present, several major communication lines are being cut off by the Russian army, such as Sumy Oblast and other places are being attacked by the Russian army, resulting in the continuous shortening of the supply lines of the Ukrainian army. At the same time, the country's power generation capacity is almost paralyzed, which further limits the combat capability and continuous support of the Ukrainian army. However, issues such as logistical supplies and troop losses in Ukraine are not often reported in the Western media, which shows that the West is deliberately concealing the current situation in Ukraine to avoid causing too much turmoil to Ukraine's society, thereby undermining their layout in the Russian-Ukrainian crisis.
However, the reality is always that cannot be ignored, and the news of the surrender of the Ukrainian army in Kursk is to a certain extent expected, especially in the current fighting situation. Because the external environment is also complicated for Ukraine. Trump has said that the continuation of the Russia-Ukraine conflict will have an impact on United States's strategic interests, and if he is elected president in the future, he will inevitably resolve the Russia-Ukraine conflict within 24 hours. His remarks mean that Ukraine is likely to lose United States, the largest external support, in the future, and also shows the growing internal divisions in the United States. At the same time, Biden's absence from the Ukraine defense team meeting due to the hurricane issue also made Ukraine face challenges in terms of Western support.
The picture shows United States' aid to Ukraine
It is precisely this unfavorable environment both internally and externally that will make the situation of the Ukrainian army more difficult in the face of a strong opponent as the fighting intensifies. If the Ukrainian army's operation in Kursk completely fails, it may mean that the Ukrainian army is no longer capable of launching a large-scale sneak attack, and the remaining forces are at risk of annihilation.
Of course, this does not mean that Ukraine will fail quickly, because now the West is not saying that it will completely abandon Zelensky. At least until the results of the United States election, this state will not change much. However, Germany, a key donor to Ukraine, has recently wavered, with Bild reporting that Germany will no longer send "heavy weapons" to Ukraine, saying that such assistance has been "delivered", including equipment such as tanks, infantry fighting vehicles, armored personnel carriers and self-propelled howitzers. This attitude seems to indicate that Germany's support for Ukraine is weakening.
The picture shows Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky
Although both Kyiv and Berlin denied this claim at the time, Germany's attitude to aid does not seem to be as strong as expected. And as soon as Zelensky arrives in Berlin, he can always ask for something back. For example, on October 11, the same day Zelenskyy's visit to Germany, Germany announced an aid package that would provide military assistance to Ukraine, including air defense systems, main battle tanks, combat drones and ammunition. Therefore, from the perspective of Germany's current attitude and actions to aid Ukraine, this statement is still doubtful.
There are at least two aspects of complexity here. On the one hand, the pressure on United States and other Western countries to Germany cannot be ignored. As an important member of NATO, Germany is facing tremendous pressure from United States in its policy toward Russia, demanding that it take a more active stance on support for Ukraine. In fact, this can also be seen in Germany's positive actions, because just before the report that Germany "no longer supplies heavy weapons to Ukraine", Germany said that it would allocate 4 billion euros in the 2025 federal budget for direct military assistance to Ukraine.
The picture shows the Germany aid to the Leopard tank
On the other hand, the fragmentation of Germany's domestic political forces has led to divergent views on the Russia-Ukraine conflict. The Social Democratic Party of Germany has been cautious in promoting support for Ukraine and advocates a diplomatic solution to the conflict. The Greens of Germany, on the other hand, are more supportive of military aid to Ukraine, emphasizing the need to confront Russia. In addition, the Germany Union party is relatively tough, calling for increased support for Ukraine. The differences between these different political factions have prevented Germany from forming a unified position on its policy towards Ukraine, further affecting its military assistance to Ukraine.
Therefore, judging from the current entire Russia-Ukraine conflict, there are two points that deserve our attention. First, the Ukrainian army has fallen into the quagmire of war in Kursk, and it is not only difficult to get out for a while, but it is also very likely that the entire army will be wiped out. So during this time, Zelensky was busy turning his fortunes everywhere. He is also busy trying to get some of the citizens overseas back to join the army.
Second, the attitude of the entire West towards aid to Ukraine is still clear, but there are also some political forces in some countries that are unwilling to waste time and money. Scholz's vacillating words and deeds directly indicate Germany's hesitation, especially at the critical moment when Germany is about to enter the general election, Scholz will also focus more on the domestic country, rather than on the thankless matter of aiding Ukraine.
The picture shows the Kursk region attacked by the Ukrainian army
All in all, the fighting situation in Ukraine in Kursk Oblast is becoming more serious, Zelensky's efforts face major challenges, and Germany's attitude to aid is also wavering. As the Russian army continues to attack, the dilemma of the Ukrainian army's strength and logistical supply has become more and more prominent, leading to the surrender of some elite troops, and the outside world's worries about the combat effectiveness of the Ukrainian army have intensified. At the same time, the Germany Ministry of Defense has stated that it will no longer supply heavy weapons to Ukraine, an attitude that has already shown a weakening of support for Ukraine. While Western aid to Ukraine has not been completely abandoned, internal political divisions and external pressures have complicated aid policy.
Therefore, it is still the ancient poem that says, "The flowers are gradually charming to the eyes, and the shallow grass can have no horseshoe!" "The more the situation is clearer, the more chaotic and bewildering the situation is, which also means that we have to look farther to understand more.