Switzerland VS Denmark
Cup: 2024-2025 UEFA Nations League
The UEFA Nations League will be played in the following format
1. The 55 teams are divided into 4 levels of ABCD according to their rankings. The grading criteria for the first edition were based on the points ranking of the UEFA associations.
2. The tournament will be held in even-numbered years, and the tournament will be played until the finals of the second year.
3. The league adopts a relegation system: the bottom 4 teams of the A, B and C leagues will be relegated, and the 4 groups of champions of the B, C and D leagues will be promoted.
4. There will be 4 places in the UEFA Nations League to qualify for the finals of the European Football Championship.
UEFA Nations League 2:45 Switzerland VS Denmark Venue: Kangbu Park Weather: Light rain Temperature: 12°C~13°C
Switzerland (home team) has 23 players, the team is worth €238.5m, the average age is 27.6 years, and the FIFA world ranking: 15th.
Record in the last 6 games: 1 win, 2 draws, 3 losses, 14 goals scored, 13 goals conceded, 1 goal difference in the last 10 games.
Group standings: 3 matches, 0 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses, 0 points, ranked 4th in the group.
Home results: 4 wins, 5 draws, 1 loss
Personnel situation: No main players have been injured or suspended, and the lineup is complete.
Switzerland have scored just one goal in the last three rounds of the Nations League, and the performance of the strikers has been disappointing.
Team spirit: Switzerland are currently at the bottom of Group D of the UEFA Nations League A, the only team in the group with 0 points, and they are not performing well against Denmark, which is slightly better, and Switzerland will have more difficulty and lack of fighting spirit.
Team update: Switzerland have suffered three consecutive defeats in the UEFA Nations League and are in a very low state, losing 2-0 away to Serbia in the last round of the UEFA Nations League, and the team is currently at the bottom of Group D of League A with 0 points.
Switzerland are winless in their last two home games except for the European Championship and have not played well at home, losing 4-1 to Spain at home in the UEFA Nations League last time.
Switzerland have scored only four goals and conceded nine goals in the last five games, and the offensive and defensive play is unbalanced.
Switzerland VS Denmark
Denmark (away) has 25 players, the team is worth €378.5m, the average age is 27.1 years, and the FIFA world ranking: 20th.
Record in the last 6 games:2 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses, 13 goals scored in the last 10 games, 7 goals conceded, and 6 goal difference.
Group standings: 3 matches, 2 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss, 6 points, ranked 2nd in the group.
Away results: 2 wins, 2 draws, 6 losses
Personnel situation: No main players have been injured or suspended, and the lineup is complete.
Denmark striker Poulsen has contributed one goal and one assist in the last three league games, and is in good form.
Team fighting spirit: Although Denmark lost in the last round, its overall form is better than Switzerland, which suffered three consecutive defeats, and this game visited Switzerland away, Denmark has a strong desire to grab points and has a strong fighting spirit.
Team update: Although Denmark lost 0-1 away to Spain in the last round of the UEFA Nations League, the team has recorded 2 wins and 1 defeat in the last 3 rounds of the UEFA Nations League, and the team is currently ranked 2nd in Group D of League A.
Denmark have scored 4 goals and conceded only 3 goals in the last 5 games, and are good both offensively and defensively.
Denmark lost 1-0 away to Spain in the last UEFA Nations League and have lost their last two away games except for the European Championship, with average away performance.
Recent historical meetings between the two teams: Switzerland lost 0-2 to Denmark in the first leg of the UEFA Nations League, and Switzerland, which recently suffered three consecutive defeats, faced Denmark again, and the situation was more serious.
The two sides have met four times, with Denmark recording two wins and two draws, and the record has a large advantage.
In terms of the same handicap: Initial handicap: home team draw/hemisphere, home team last 6 games with this game with the same handicap trend: win or lose win or lose, away team last 6 games with the same handicap trend as this game: win or lose win or lose.
Switzerland VS Denmark
Pre-Match Briefing:
Switzerland's UEFA Nations League A prospects look bleak ahead of matchday 4 as they take on Denmark on Tuesday 15 October. Switzerland are currently bottom of Group A4, while Denmark are second, hot on group leaders Spain.
Switzerland had previously made it all the way to the Nations League final, so they had no way back in this game. A further defeat would not only miss out on quarter-final qualification, but could also face a relegation play-off.
Denmark, for their part, will be hoping to find their winning rhythm after two consecutive away games. A defeat in their last game against Spain cost them top spot in the group, but they remain serious contenders for the quarter-finals. Denmark have a good recent record against Switzerland and will be looking to return to the top of the table.
Switzerland have had a poor start to the season and are one of three teams in the A-League that have yet to score. To avoid relegation play-offs or even automatic relegation, they must win this game. A 2-0 defeat in Serbia last time out made their situation even more severe.
Switzerland are currently on a three-game losing streak in the group stage and have won just one of their last seven matches. As one of the last four in the inaugural UEFA Nations League, Switzerland have won just four of their last 17 Nations League matches and are struggling to repeat their former success.
Denmark lost 1-0 to Spain last Saturday and lost top spot in the group. They will be looking to get back to the top of the table and will first have to pick up three points in this game. The defeat was Denmark's second in the last 11 matches and the overall performance remained solid. They beat Switzerland 2-0 in the first leg of the group stage and have kept three clean sheets in their last six matches.
Despite Denmark's good performance, they need to stay focused and third place could likewise lead to relegation. Quarter-final qualification remains in their own hands, but Serbia is just two points behind and could catch up at any time.
Switzerland's poor start may have dampened the players' confidence. Breel · Embolo is one of the experienced players in the squad, but he missed a penalty and a great chance against Serbia. He is expected to start this game and try to make up for his mistakes in the previous game.
Another player to watch is Nico · Elvedi, who returned after a red card suspension on matchday 1 and was unfortunate to own an own goal and yellow on matchday 3. He will continue to fight for a performance in this game.
With no new injuries for either team, this game should be a good matchup.
It is expected that Denmark may change their starting line-up after the defeat against Spain. Rasmus · Hojlund, who have just returned from injury, could start, while Yusuf · Poulsen, who came off the bench in the last game, could replace Caspar · Dolberg to increase their attacking power.
Switzerland head coach Murat · Yakin has a full squad. Switzerland are expected to adopt a 3-4-2-1 formation and the starting line-up is likely to include: Gregor· Kerber, Nico· Elvedi, Manuel · Akanji, Ricardo· Rodriguez, Sylvain· Widmer, Michel· Abischer, Remo· Freuler, Granit· Xhaka, Zeki· Amdoni, Dan · Ndoye and Brell · Embolo.
Denmark manager Lars · Knudsen also has a full squad.
Denmark are expected to adopt a 3-4-2-1 formation and the starters are likely to include: Kasper · Schmeichel, Rasmus · Christensen, Yannick · Westgaard, Victor · Nelsen, Alexander · Ba, Patrick · Dolgu, Pierre · Hojbjerg, Albert · Glennbeck, Christian · Eriksen, Youssef · Poulsen and Rasmus · Hojlund.
Switzerland VS Denmark
1. Strength analysis
- Switzerland last 10 games: goals scored 14, goals conceded 13, goal difference 1
- Denmark last 10 games: 13 goals scored, 7 goals conceded, 6 goal difference
- Denmark have a 0.5 goal advantage in the absolute theoretical world.
2. State analysis
- Switzerland's last 6 matches: 1 win, 2 draws, 3 losses, 5 points overall.
- Denmark's last 6 matches: 2 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses, 8 points overall.
- The points gap is 3 points, indicating that the two teams are in similar form, and Switzerland is slightly worse in form after three consecutive defeats. No key players are missing.
3. Analysis of fighting spirit
- Switzerland are bottom of Group D with no points and are relatively sluggish. Denmark are second in the group and have a strong fighting spirit, especially in the recent slightly better than Switzerland, Denmark have more intention to grab points in this game.
4. Asia Index Analysis
- The initial handicap handicap for the home team is a draw/half of the team, and the water level is 0.90 for the home team and 0.93 for the away team.
- The current live handicap is a draw/half for the home team with a water level of 0.92 for the home team and 0.91 for the away team.
- The initial Switzerland water level was 0.90, then went through several rises and falls, briefly rising to 1.06 on the evening of October 13, and then gradually falling back to 0.88 at 17:06 on October 15. This decline reflects a weakening of institutional confidence in Switzerland, especially as the market stabilizes at a "draw/hemisphere" and lower water levels in Switzerland may be attracting players to buy.
- Denmark started at 0.93 and then moved more volatilely, but the overall downward trend was obvious. On the afternoon of October 15, the lowest water level in Denmark reached 0.84, indicating that the market's expectations for Denmark to win are gradually rising. The final immediate water level was 0.93, indicating that institutional confidence in Denmark's victory has steadily increased.
5. Institutional Bottom Line
- 胜：2.30/1.98 ≈ 1.16
- Draw: 3.20/3.00 ≈ 1.07
- 负：3.00/3.45 ≈ 0.87
- None of the three values exceeded the bottom line of 1.2, and any of them could not be directly excluded.
6. Analysis of the change of win, draw and loss trend
- In the intraday session, most institutions lowered the home and away win levels, while the draw water level was slightly raised. This change suggests that some institutions believe that the home team's win rate has improved, while the likelihood of a draw is slightly reduced.
- In the intra-day market, the home win rate generally rose to more than 40%, while the draw rate and away win rate were slightly lowered, which is consistent with the water level adjustment, suggesting that the market's home win expectations have increased slightly.
- The return rate did not change much in the intraday session, but the return rate of individual institutions was still below 90%, indicating a conservative attitude towards certain water level settings with the intention of reducing risk.
Draw transaction data
7. Transaction data analysis
- Main winning direction: The trading volume is large, and the transaction price is concentrated in the range of 2.28-2.34. The lower price of the main win (2.34) shows that buyers have some confidence in Switzerland's victory, but are still cautious. The price of the main win fluctuated less, but the transaction was active, indicating that the market expectation of Switzerland's victory was more consistent. The highest trading volume of funds around 2.34 indicates that this price is recognized by the main funds.
- Away win direction: The transaction price is distributed in the range of 3.3-3.75. The higher transaction price indicates that the market's confidence in Denmark's victory is not as good as the home win, and the amount of funds is relatively small, indicating that the buyer's support for the away victory is weak. The away win price is higher than the home win and draw, indicating that the market expectation of a win for Denmark is low and the amount of money is not at the level of a home win or draw.
- Draw direction: Draw is most concentrated at the 3.2-3.3 price level, indicating that the market pays more attention to the draw and the price is stable. This consistently high price may indicate that there is greater market support for a draw. The draw remained at 3.3 and the volume was high, indicating that a draw between Switzerland and Denmark was widely believed. Especially at the 3.3 price point, the larger listing volume may reflect the main capital's precautionary attitude towards draws.
Final Prediction Suggestion: Home -1 Lose 0 to 0
Statement: I only provide pre-game information and China Sports Lottery and Beijing single game analysis and prediction, most of the data from the network collection, analysis is only a personal opinion for reference only, please buy a reasonable regular lottery.