At present, the international situation is facing major changes unprecedented in a century, and the main manifestations of the recent are drastic changes in the Middle East and Ukraine. If the entire international pattern is compared to a large grass stage team, then the "main forces" singing on stage this time are Russia and United States. Note that I'm not talking about the "main character", because there is only one protagonist, and it's the one who has the last laugh, who is it? Please refer to page 176 of the Xinhua Dictionary.
At present, the game between Russia and the United States in the direction of Russia, Ukraine and the Middle East has become more and more intense, especially in the direction of the Middle East. It's like two trains on the wrong track, and if they keep going, they will collide head-on one day. In 2022, Russia-US policy will hit its head in the direction of Russia and Ukraine. In 2024, it is very likely to be in the direction of the Middle East. Although Russia is unwilling to personally enter the water in the Middle East, why does the United States and the West want to eat your Middle East policy, will Russia sit still and wait for death?
This game between the United States and Russia is like a mirror composed of yin and yang fish. What do you mean? It means "one trades off the other". As long as the pressure of the United States and the West in the direction of the Middle East increases, then the next step will definitely be to loosen the reins of Russia in the direction of Ukraine, and once this happens, then Russia will also choose to bury its head in the desert of the Middle East. Then there are friends who are incomprehensible, no, according to normal thinking, if Russia wants to reduce its strategic pressure, shouldn't it continue to work hard in the direction of the Middle East? It has been said that this is the thinking of normal people, and the thinking of Westerners looking at problems is different from that of Chinese.
We have always stressed that Russia still has a "small abacus" in its heart, in fact, looking at the entire Western world, there are such small abacus, and this psychology is determined by the genes of the great powers that the West has integrated into its bones, and it is difficult to change it for a while. In the eyes of the West, there is no such thing as a win-win situation, it is all a "zero-sum game". As for the oriental culture, it is hello, I am good, everyone is good, this is really good.
In other words, China is telling other countries that ruling the world with the royal way is the fundamental reason why a country and even a civilization will not fail on the world stage. It is precisely for this reason that China has put forward the concept of a community with a shared future for mankind. As long as everyone holds hands and moves forward, there will be no hurdle that cannot be overcome, and a win-win situation will definitely be achieved economically, because the ultimate destination of your political and military game is not also for economic interests, but the United States and the West do not understand.
Don't understand? It doesn't matter, then China will start from its neighbors, start from friends from all walks of life, and create a model of East-West cooperation, of course, the Western world I am talking about is not limited by geography but by political system. Do you see that this United States interest rate hike has a big impact on Southeast Asian countries? Especially those countries that follow China, the economy has hardly been affected, and if you look at the two neighbors in the east of China, you almost knelt down and begged Eagle Sauce "Loving Father" to let go.
Next, let's get down to business and move on to the "mirror" game between the United States and Russia. This mirror, which is formed by the fusion of Chinese yin and yang fish, can be called a "demon mirror", which clearly reflects the hegemonic faces of the United States, the West, Israel and other demons and monsters.
Israel can be said to be quite "arrogant" in the Middle East, carrying out massacres in Gaza, indiscriminately bombing Lebanon, and targeting Syria. Now he is speaking harshly about Iran and wants to bomb Iran's oil fields and nuclear facilities. The reason why Israel is so arrogant is nothing more than that United States is supporting it. The United States supports Israel in all aspects, and there is no ambiguity militarily, economically, and politically. A few days ago, Vice President Harris, the Democratic candidate of United States, once again expressed his support for Israel's "self-defense."
Why does Harris say that? Because the United States presidential election and the situation in the Middle East are so mixed up that even you can't cut it with a chainsaw. Netaliahu is provocative everywhere in the Middle East, and does not hesitate to open up a seven-front war, the main purpose of which is to prepare for the election of Trump and the Republican Party, and regain the electoral advantage for the Republican Party. For the Democratic Party, once the situation in the Middle East escalates, the US military will have to go to the Middle East in person, which the Biden administration cannot stop.
In this way, it is more difficult for the Democrats to win another election than to ascend to the sky, because the United States people do not want to fight, otherwise Biden will not withdraw from Afghanistan after taking office. Based on this, the Netanyahu government has been trying to stimulate Iran, that is, to let Iran go into the water. From Haniyeh to Raisi to Lebanon's Allah leadership, Iran has shown Israel the strength of its "deterrent." Can't you bear it? Then I'll start with your roots.
Israel uses public opinion to carry out "color revolutions" in Iran. You Iran are now very poor, the reason is that your country is engaged in "theocracy", you look at the Pahlavi dynasty, you Iran people have a lot of money, so you have to fight for the freedom and happy life of your children and grandchildren. After such propaganda by Israel, coupled with the "pro-Western" policy of the current president of Iran, and then the king of understanding came out to shout, as long as I come to power, I will restart the Iran nuclear negotiations.
The Iran government was moved, Iran's supreme leader Khamenei could not bear it, and the two sides "went the same way", so when China celebrated the National Day, hundreds of Iran missiles were thrown at Israel's house at once. From a military point of view, Iran's counterattack is tough enough, but from a political point of view, Iran's counterattack still has a strong "compromise" flavor. This is not difficult to see from Iran's attitude after the attack on Israel. On October 4, Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Ali Khamenei presided over Friday prayers at the Imam Mosque for the first time in four years. Khamenei said Iran's missile attack on Israel was "legitimate and justified."
What does Khamenei mean by that? In other words, Iran's move, like its usual actions, is simply to warn Israel to stop in moderation and not to think about destroying Iran at its roots. I, Iran, have finished retaliating, everyone will play their own games in the future, I don't want to go into the water to fight the Israeli army directly, but you don't want to continue to make trouble. Iran thinks so, but Netanyahu and Trump don't.
Because Iran had just finished throwing missiles, Trump immediately turned his face and began to provoke Israel to fight Iran, but also to hit Iran's oil fields and Iran's nuclear facilities, which are the lifeblood of Iran's survival. Once Israel does attack these two facilities in Iran, a sixth Middle East war will be inevitable. The Biden administration saw it clearly, so when Trump pleaded it, Biden hurriedly stood up to stop it.
On the same day that Khamenei's statement was made, Biden drew a "red line" for Israel to fight back against Iran, and Israel should consider alternatives to attacking Iran's oil fields and nuclear facilities. This is a stern warning and concession from Biden and the Democrats to Israel, in addition to these moves that directly provoke Iran, United States "fully support" Israel retaliation. Biden's implication is that if Netanyahu doesn't know what to do, then you should know that the United States is still in charge of the Democratic Party, and the strategic resources to support you are in our hands, not in the hands of Trump and the Republicans.
Israel has already understood Biden's warning, so retaliation against Iran has not yet begun. However, it is difficult to say how long this "sanity" will last. Because, on the issue of a full-scale escalation of the war in the Middle East, if Israel cannot take this opportunity to get Iran to surrender, then the Netanyahu government will face "bankruptcy liquidation". That is, everything that the Netanyahu government has done before has been in vain. For this reason, Netanyahu's government can only find another way out, in order to escalate the Kazakh-Israeli conflict into a sixth Middle East war.
So how do you level up? Quite simply, turn the war of Israel into a war of United States, and then the war of United States into a war of NATO, and eventually a war for the entire West, in order to help the Netanyahu government achieve the "golden cicada out of its shell". This idea is not only owned by the Netanyahu government, but also by the Trumps, but for the Trumps, the plan needs to be changed slightly, that is, it is more in the interests of the Trumps to replace the United States with the United States Republican Party.
After Iran retaliated, it kicked the ball to the United States and Israel, signaling that the United States and Israel should stop there, but the old domestic government naturally will not give up. Even though I can't attack your economic and military life, I can attack the rest of your body, and I've got Eagle Chan's Shang Fang Sword. Will I strike you Iran's facilities in Syria, will I strike you Russia's military airfields in Syria, won't you Putin not answer my calls, then I will drag you into the water, do you guess the US military will go into the water to help me?
For Russia, Russia must react if Israel's missiles kill Russian soldiers or destroy Russia's military bases. Such a full-scale war in the Middle East may be imminent, which is what the United States Democratic Party fears the most. But the Democrats will not sit still, the Trumps can attack Russia facilities in the direction of the Middle East, and the Democrats can also exert their forces in the direction of Ukraine.
How to exert force? In contrast to the recklessness of the Israel government and the Republican Party, the Democratic Party is still playing "carrot and stick". As a result, the voice of the West and Russia "carving up" Ukraine is very loud. At the same time, Zelensky's "victory plan" to dismember Russia in all directions suddenly disappeared. The United States and the West are trying to win over Russia in this way to avoid Russia's full support for Iran on the Middle East issue, which is to exchange space for time.
If Russia chooses to believe next, the next step will be more passive, because Russia also has a strategic ally, Belarus, and Belarus is now under great pressure. On October 5, Belarusian President Lukashenko's presidential plane was "accompanied" by an unknown drone. We also said earlier that the Middle East and Russia and Ukraine are like "yin and yang fish", which is the advantage of one and the other. Once the United States has strategic room for maneuver in the Middle East, it will certainly continue to exert pressure on Belarus and Russia in the direction of Ukraine, because the Democratic Party still has to rely on the interests of the Ukraine direction to keep the election.
Of course, in terms of taking 10,000 steps back, if Russia is enlightened, I do not accept the United States and the West to fool, I have to resolutely look eastward, it may be like in 2022, Russia and the United States, these two trains rushing to each other, may hit the head in the Middle East. As far as Dongda is concerned, the two before and after are nothing more than the difference between "river crossing people" and "half-crossing and attacking", no matter which way, Dongda has been invincible, this is the difference between outsiders and insiders, off-stage and on-stage.