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△ 17-day total cloud cover numerical model forecast (European Meteorological Center EC/Fa)
People's Voice of the World, September 14, Beijing Express In the blink of an eye, the traditional 24 solar terms of "white dew" have arrived. On the national weather stage this week (September 9-September 15), in the opinion of experts, the subtropical high remains strong; But. The cold air is also active; During this period, some cold air can penetrate southward from low altitudes. Therefore, although the high temperature in the south is still there, it will be reduced from last week. On the northern edge and interior of the subtropical high, it rains a lot because of the convergence of cold and warm. Rain and cold air will also bring cooling; As a result, the temperature in the north will fluctuate a lot.
"Thinking of relatives every festival", the traditional festival of the Chinese nation "Mid-Autumn Festival" is imminent; At this time of year, moon viewing has also become an important folk activity for this festival. Especially after the news of this year's (2024) Mid-Autumn Festival will have a "supermoon" is exposed, it is even more exciting. The influence of the weather is especially prominent for moon viewing. In this regard, experts said that according to the latest analysis of meteorological data, on September 17, the "Mid-Autumn Festival" and September 18 (the 16th day of the eighth month of the lunar calendar), the sky in most parts of the mainland is clear, and the bright moon can be seen hanging high.
△ 17-day low cloud cover numerical model forecast (European Meteorological Center EC/Fa)
According to experts, through the cloud cover forecast of the EC numerical model of the European Meteorological Center at 20 o'clock on the 17th and 20 o'clock on the 18th, it can be seen that the north and south of the river are mainly clear. And when there is a low cloud cover, it means that there are clouds, and there is basically no bright moon. When there are clouds in the total cloud cover and no clouds in the low cloud cover, it is in an uncertain state. If the medium-high clouds are thick, you can't see them, and if the medium-high clouds are thin, the moon is hazy.
Experts believe that, for example, on the evening of the 17th (the fifteenth day of the eighth month of the lunar calendar), Harbin, Beijing, Tianjin, Jinan, Taiyuan, Xi'an, Hefei, Nanjing, Shanghai, Hangzhou, Nanchang, and Fuzhou should all be sunny. Zhengzhou, Xining, and Lanzhou should be cloudy and rainy. Yinchuan, Urumqi, Chengdu, Chongqing, Hohhot, Shijiazhuang, Changchun, Shenyang, Changsha, Wuhan, Nanning, Kunming, Lhasa, Guiyang, Guangzhou, and Haikou are on the edge of the clouds, or there are clouds in the sky, which is an uncertain area.
△ 18-day total cloud cover numerical model forecast (European Meteorological Center EC/Fa)
The astronomical calendar shows that this year's "Mid-Autumn Festival" once again presents the characteristics of "the moon on the fifteenth day and the sixteenth round". In this regard, experts further introduced that on the evening of the 18th (the sixteenth day of the eighth month of the lunar calendar), Nanjing, Hefei, Wuhan, Chongqing, Guiyang, Nanning, and Guangzhou were all sunny. Shanghai, Nanchang, Changsha, Haikou, Kunming, Chengdu, Xi'an, Zhengzhou, Taiyuan, Jinan, Tianjin, Beijing, Shenyang, Urumqi, and Lhasa are on the edge of clear skies and clouds, and tend to be sunny. Xining, Lanzhou, Yinchuan, Fuzhou, Harbin, and Changchun have a high probability of rain. Hangzhou has medium and high clouds, whether the clouds can see the moon, the situation is still in a state to be determined.
△ 18-day low cloud cover numerical model forecast (European Meteorological Center EC/Fa)
It is worth noting that industry insiders emphasized that it is not difficult to find that it is not difficult to find that as experts say, for areas without a bright moon, this also leaves a lot of suspense about whether the "Lantern Festival on the 15th day of the first lunar month" next year (2025) will be "snow lights". Of course, this is just a "folk proverb", which does not mean that it will always be fulfilled in the coming year. (Editor-in-charge/Xiangyu)
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