A while ago, Russia stated that the overall situation in the Kursk region is under control. In addition, the commander-in-chief of the Ukrainian army also said that the situation on the front line of the Ukrainian army is not optimistic, and the Ukrainian army's raid on the Kursk Oblast of Russia has been recognized. However, judging from the current actions of the Ukrainian army, it seems that it wants to fight Russia to the end.
According to Russia media reports, Ukraine has assembled a new batch of troops in Kursk, Russia, but has not yet launched an attack. The outside world has analyzed the Ukrainian army's move from different angles, but most of them believe that the Ukrainian army's move is to increase the intensity of the offensive on Kursk, so as to further damage the prestige of the Russia government while dispersing the Russian army's forces and slowing down the Russian army's offensive in Pokrovsk and other areas, so as to accumulate more bargaining chips for the final negotiations.
Apparently, Zelensky is making a "big gamble" with little results. It is worth noting that after the Ukrainian army is assembling new troops, Zelensky is preparing to visit the United States to seek more military support. In less than 24 hours, a bombshell news came out of Russia, and two major changes in Putin's position caused heated discussions in the outside world.
According to comprehensive reports, a few days ago, Putin raised the matter of negotiations with Ukraine at the Eastern Economic Forum in the Far East of Russia. He said that Russia has never refused the possibility of peace talks with Ukraine. As soon as these words came out, many people were not calm. You know, a while ago, Putin said very hard that after the Ukrainian army raided Kursk Oblast, there was nothing to talk about between Russia and Ukraine.
And the two major changes in Putin's position have made many people ask, is the Russian army going to be unable to hold on? The first shift is from "rejecting any negotiations" to "preparing for negotiations", and the second is from the Putin program to the Istanbul program. It can be seen that in the peace negotiations between Russia and Ukraine, Putin still made some concessions. However, it would be a big mistake to conclude that Russia is ready to back down because of these two changes in position.
On the contrary, Putin's resumption of negotiations is not a retreat, but a big game of chess for Moscow. And this big chess game can be reflected in one detail: to continue communication on the basis of the draft agreement reached by the two sides during negotiations in Turkey in 2022. This agreement is what I mentioned earlier about the "Istanbul Plan".
It is reported that as early as 2022, Russia and Ukraine reached an agreement in Istanbul and actually signed the relevant documents, and the head of the Ukrainian delegation signed it at that time, which means that the Ukrainian side is basically satisfied with the agreement reached. And this document, Russia publicly displayed when Putin met with representatives of African countries in June last year. Among them, the document contains the neutrality of Ukraine, its non-aligned status and the renunciation of the obligation to deploy foreign troops and weapons on its territory, the withdrawal of Russia troops from the Kyiv and Chernihiv directions. However, these draft agreements were not implemented in the end, because the countries of the Western camp did not agree.
As for why Putin publicly stated at this time that he could negotiate peace? First, it is estimated that at the end of June this year, Ukraine President Volodymyr Zelensky said that negotiations with Russia can use the "third-country mediation" model, and the mediator can be United States and Western European countries, as well as countries on various continents such as Asia, the Pacific, Africa and Latin America, and Putin responded to this topic. Second, there has been a recent "earthquake" in Ukraine's political arena, and many senior officials in Ukraine have changed their positions. Now Ukraine is squirming and claiming that he wants to negotiate, Russia obviously he has also made it clear that it is okay to negotiate, but it must be in accordance with the original results, and if Ukraine refuses, it is no wonder that it is Russia......