In the Battle of Lashio, the Burmese army lost again, although the follow-up is not very clear, that is, who can really manage Lashio, it cannot be said that the dust has settled.
However, it is an indisputable fact that the Burmese army has lost many strongholds, and it is an indisputable fact that they have been pressed from the suburbs to the last few strongholds.
The reason why the Burmese army has been so defeated is that the army has been corrupt and mismanaged for decades, and Min Aung Hlaing's misdeeds in the past three years have lost the hearts of the people, and his generals have already disobeyed the yang and the yin.
The Tatmadaw authorities, as well as many supporters of the Tatmadaw army, including some bystanders, have never been able to believe that the Tatmadaw has been defeated in Lashio, and have repeatedly said that the Kokang allies are posting, cheating, and playing psychological warfare. Mainly because these people only believe what is on paper: that is, how many troops the Burmese army has in Lashio, how many weapons and equipment, aircraft, tanks, armored vehicles, artillery, etc.; If the 1027 Burmese army suffered a loss in using drones on the attacking side, it was suddenly stunned, but fighting in the mountains allowed the allied forces and other armed forces to gain air supremacy. So now the Lashio Burmese army also has drones, and in such a big city, the Kokang Alliance Army does not have tens of thousands of troops and heavy weapons, and it is unimaginable to fight down.
The mighty Burmese army on the parade ground is embroidered pillows
In the previous episodes of the program, I reminded the Allied forces to be careful of being copied by the Burmese army, directly controlling the traffic between Mubang and Rolling Lane by the Burmese army, or sending small groups of elite soldiers to ambush the attackers at mobile posts. As a result, the Burmese army was unable to do so, and sent planes to drop a few bombs, accidentally injuring people's houses and people, except for making people hate the barbaric behavior of the old Burmese people regardless of the lives of the people, it had no impact on the war situation at all.
So by the end of July, the Allied forces had taken control of most of Lashio, and the Burmese army repeatedly said that it was rumor-mongering to check in and pose for photos, but they could not come out to pose for pictures, and the victory or defeat was already obvious.
The main reasons for the defeat of the Tatmadaw are as follows:
1. Decades of corruption have dragged the army into an armed group that uses guns to generate income. We saw the Burmese prisoners of war, all with yellow faces and thin muscles, dragging their families and mouths, and usually marching and fighting with bamboo baskets on their backs, similar to the militia groups. You said that these are local armed forces, and more than 20,000 square kilometers of territory have been lost, and now even a central city like Lashio can no longer be saved, where are the regular troops with strict military appearance and high morale on the parade ground still hiding?
So the reasonable explanation is that it is estimated that even Min Aung Hlaing does not know the real strength of the Burmese army. There are 1,000 people reported by the regiment headquarters, maybe only 5-6 hundred, and many of them still don't want to fight seriously, and there are a few veteran ruffians with poor wives; How much of that weaponry works? No one can check how many bullets, shells and fuel were sold by officers, everyone is like this.
This is the same scenario as Russia fighting Ukraine, the whole world believes that Ukraine is not an opponent of Russia at all, and in the face of the steel torrent of Great Russia, the Ukraine army will definitely be crushed. Even Europe and the United States are already persuading Zelensky to run away quickly. As a result, the real Russian army is the Emperor Pu, who already has a lot of problems inside, and is ready to fight with people at any time, and has turned a special military operation into a protracted war to face almost all of Europe and the United States.
The situation of the Burmese army is so bad that many people cannot imagine that in this battle of Lashio, although it occupies a favorable position and even people, and the number of weapons and equipment and the number of troops should be stronger than that of the allied army, the result can only be passively defensive, and they are passively beaten everywhere. It can be seen that the overall quality of the troops is very poor, and the command personnel are not very good.
The Burmese army that suppressed the population
2. The generals of the Burmese army no longer have the heart to fight seriously
There is a more reliable article translated from Burmese on the Internet, to the effect that:
In the Battle of Lashio, Major General Sotting, the former commander of the Northeast Military Region Command of the Burmese Army, was dismissed from his post and will be examined for insulting the commander of the Second Operational Command, Lieutenant General Nai Nai Ngoo, according to the terms of military regulations.
The Allied forces began their assault on Lashio on 3 July. The defense and military operations in Lashio were led by Lieutenant General Nai Nai Au of the 2nd Operational Command, and the commander of the Northeast Military Region Command, Major General Sodin, was responsible for the implementation. During the battle, the Burmese army suffered casualties and gradually retreated from the city. Major General Sodin went to Sister Mu, which was equivalent to leaving the front line and continuing to command the operation. Lieutenant General Nai Nai Oo blamed Major General Sotin for the Burmese army's casualties in Lashio. In fact, it is not too much to say that there is an escape. Unable to stand the accusations, Major General Sodin insulted Nanaiu in response.
After being abused by Sodin, Nai Nai Oo complained to Min Aung Hlaing, the leader of the Tatmadaw Army. In mid-July, Min Aung Hlaing dismissed Soudin from his post and arranged for Brigadier General Solai to replace him. Before taking over the post of commander of the Northeast Military District Command, Solai was the division commander of the 99th Light Infantry Division.
A military source in Naypyidaw told Yangon's New Times Media: "The commander of the Northeast Military Region Command, Major General Sodin, insulted the commander of the 2nd Operational Command, Lieutenant General Nainai, and Sotin was removed from his post as commander and will be reviewed. The new commander of the Northeast Military District Command is Brigadier General Soley, from the 99th Light Infantry Division. At present, Sotin and Solai are both in Sister Mu, and they dare not take a helicopter to Lashio. ”
This is a very vivid reflection of the command of the Burmese army, the two commanders of Lashio ran to Sister Mu, saying that it is okay to be greedy for life and afraid of death, and it is okay to deliberately lie down and rot, all of which shows that these officers do not want to work hard, which is also a sign of loss of confidence in Min Aung Hlaing, and many officers are probably already looking for a way back for themselves.
On the right is Than Shwe, who has more vision than Min Aung Hlaing
Thein Sein was more open-minded
Aung San Suu Kyi has been under house arrest or detention for most of her since the 1990s, and Min Aung on the right has come to an end
3. Min Aung Hlaing loses hearts and minds
It is understood that a friend in Myanmar said: Than Swe has been in power for so many years, and most of the time he only put Aung San Suu Kyi under house arrest and did not dare to sentence him. As for the other leaders of the Democratic League, most of them are only under house arrest, they have no worries about food and clothing, and from time to time they even send important generals to visit them, and even visit them themselves, without completely tearing their faces.
And this coup d'état Min Aung Hlaing killed thousands of NLD cadres, sentenced hundreds to death, and thousands are still locked up. More than 300 political prisoners were released from Lashio prison in the past two days, including 75-year-old Tun Tun Heng, a former deputy state figure (deputy speaker of the People's Assembly), who was sentenced to 33 years.
Min Aung Hlaing's actions are already similar to Ne Win's, but the current Burmese army is obviously inferior to the Burmese army at Ne Win's time, and the anti-Burmese armed forces have also increased their strength by several notches.
What's even worse is that NLD supporters have formed an army of tens of thousands to formally confront Min Aung Hlaing's Burmese army, which makes Min Aung Hlaing have to defend both inside and outside, and it is normal for many middle- and high-ranking officers to step on two boats.
Then junior officers and ordinary soldiers are all trying to make a living, of course, there is no need to work hard.
There is a reward for surrendering, so it is naturally more common to raise a gun to surrender and get two dollars to buy a few tube skirts and a few packs of betel nuts.
Min Aung Hlaing and the Burmese people, or all the ethnic groups and forces in Myanmar, have reached an important juncture in the great reshuffle.
Look at the general trend of the world clearly, and all parties should make their own choices.