Earlier, Trump told the media that if he loses this year's United States election, World War III is likely to break out.
There are many "crazy words" of Trump, why does he think that if he is not United States president, World War III will break out?
World War III crisis
Trump has said more than once that World War III is imminent. Since 2022, when Trump announced his candidacy for president, he has repeatedly referred to "World War III." What did he say?
At the end of January 2023, Trump blamed Biden on the campaign trail, saying that "Biden is weak and incompetent and has brought us to the brink of World War III", a point that Trump once again publicly stated.
In mid-March of the same year, Trump said in a speech that "I am the only United States presidential candidate who can prevent World War III." In early April, Trump repeated the same old tune, continuing to stomp on Biden and exaggerating the horror of the impending World War III.
In mid-July, after Biden agreed to provide cluster munitions to Ukraine, Trump condemned Biden, warning that his move would "drag us further into World War III."
In May, at the United States Liberal Party National Convention, Trump stressed again that he would prevent "the Biden administration from entering World War III" when he took office.
Trump has said so many times about World War III, so will this war really come?
When Trump was first elected president of United States, he single-handedly muddied the relatively stable international situation, starting the Sino-US trade war at the same time, Trump also wanted to attack NATO, if it were not for Biden to take office, Trump is very likely to let United States withdraw from NATO.
After Biden took office, he continued Trump's China policy and continuously raised tariffs on mainland products. Biden is still a little crazier than Trump, and under the operation of the Biden administration, the Russia-Ukraine conflict broke out; Relations between the United States, South Korea and North Korea have deteriorated dramatically; tensions in the Taiwan Strait and the South China Sea; When the Palestinian-Israeli conflict broke out, because of the entry of Western countries such as United States and United Kingdom, Middle Eastern countries could not sit still and ended up supporting Hamas.
Hamas said it would retaliate against the Israel side of Hamas's · Haniyeh, who was killed in an airstrike in Iran on July 31, while Israel and United States declined to comment. The Palestinian-Israeli conflict has reached a new juncture, and the situation may become even more chaotic in the future.
At the beginning of September last year, the Secretary of the National Security and Defense Council of the ·Ukraine, Alexei Danilov, said that "the Third World War has begun and has even entered an active stage."
Judging from the current situation, Danilov and Trump's statements about the arrival of "World War III" are also more accurate.
So, can Trump really stop a full-blown outbreak of World War III?
Israel's choice?
Today's key world wars are mainly Russia, Ukraine and the Middle East, as long as these two regions are resolved, there is a high probability that the third world war will not break out in full force.
Trump is also aware of this, and he has repeatedly said in his campaign speeches that if he is elected United States president, he will end the Russia-Ukraine conflict within 24 hours.
Although Trump has not announced a solution so far, some experts and scholars believe that Trump's way to end the Russian-Ukrainian war is to sacrifice the interests of Ukraine. To this end, Ukraine President Volodymyr Zelensky also spoke with Trump on the phone, and both said they were satisfied with the call, but Trump did not change his determination to end the Russian-Ukrainian conflict as soon as possible.
After Zelenskyy finished his phone call with Trump, he delivered a national address, euphemistically saying that he wanted peace talks with Putin. The Foreign Minister of Ukraine also visited the mainland a few days ago in the hope that we will be able to reconcile with it.
Ukraine also said it would work out a peace plan in November to resolve the Russia-Ukraine issue. However, the timing of the introduction of this peace plan coincided with the United States election, and Zelensky is afraid that he still has expectations for United States, and if Harris is successfully elected, perhaps United States will continue to support Ukraine.
In addition to the Russia-Ukraine conflict, Trump is also very concerned about the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, and on July 26, Trump and Israel Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu met at Mar-a-Lago.
According to the Associated Press, Netanyahu's trip is to discuss the Palestinian-Israeli conflict with Trump, and to mend relations with Trump.
Trump and Netanyahu have a good relationship, and when Trump first took office, he was also called "the most pro-Israel president of United States in history."
Trump once moved the United States Embassy in Israel to Jerusalem under great pressure; imposing economic and political sanctions on countries that voted against Israel; He also developed a "peace plan" to help Israel annex large swathes of the West Bank of the Jordan River, and Trump publicly stated in 2019 that "United States should recognize Israel's full sovereignty over the Golan Heights......
It is no exaggeration to say that Trump is Israel's strongest backer, so why did Netanyahu come to mend relations with Trump?
In the aftermath of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, Trump publicly demanded that Israel end its combat operations as soon as possible, saying, "Israel must be very careful because you are losing support from many parts of the world." You must achieve peace and allow Israel and everyone else to live a normal life."
This seems to be a good thing for Israel, but Israel doesn't think so, they think Trump criticized them, which is a bad thing. Coupled with the fact that the person in charge of United States is Biden, Israel has supported Biden in front of the media in order to gain Biden's support, which also makes Trump unhappy.
Netanyahu came to meet with Trump this time to regain Trump's support, why is that?
At the moment, Trump and Harris have comparable approval ratings, and it's hard to say who will have the last laugh. In the Russia-Ukraine conflict, Harris may continue Biden's aid policy to Ukraine, but Harris is not oriented towards Israel on the issue of the Palestinian-Israeli conflict.
On July 25, Harris concluded her meeting with Netanyahu, who said "it's time to reach a ceasefire and release the hostages." Harris supports the two-state solution, and she believes that the suffering of the Palestinian people should end there.
From this point of view, if Harris is elected, it is difficult to say whether United States will continue to support Israel.
Trump is pro-Israel, even if he once asked for a cease-fire in Israel, and when it comes to critical moments, he still supports Israel.
According to Trump's past behavior, it is not difficult to guess how Trump would "prevent" the outbreak of World War III. In the end, I can only sigh that Ukraine is still "separated by one layer" after all.
Resources:
[1] The Observer, "Trump Blows Again: If I Lose, Will Trigger World War III," 20240727
[2] Global Times, "Senior Ukrainian officials say the third world war has begun, Zakharova: they finally understand" 20230907
[3] Zhejiang Daily ""The Most Pro-Israel United States President in History" Warns Israel to Stop, Will Trump End Two Major Conflicts If He Takes Office? 》 20240328
[4] Global Network "US media: US Vice President Harris met with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and urged him to reach a ceasefire and release of hostages" 20240726