During his participation in the election, Trump stressed more than once that if he wins the election, he will do his best to promote peace talks between Russia and Ukraine. Another person familiar with the matter revealed that after Trump returns to the White House, he will hold secret consultations with Putin. If Ukraine does not agree to peace talks, Trump will immediately withdraw all supplies to Ukraine, and Ukraine will never join NATO. At that time, Ukraine will be reduced to an outcast.
Shortly after learning that Biden withdrew from the election, Trump once again gave Ukraine an ultimatum, saying that after winning the election, the first thing to do is to resolve the Russian-Ukrainian conflict and prevent the third world war, and stressed that all this will be completed before the inauguration and not spend too much time on this issue.
Coincidentally, after learning that Trump was going to move seriously, Ukraine Foreign Minister Kuleba immediately decided to visit China from the 23rd to the 26th of this month, a total of three days. Generally speaking, no matter which country's high-level visit to China, the visit to China will usually be a few days later than the official announcement, leaving time for warm-up and preparation. But this time, Kuleba came to China, only one day after the official announcement, and it can be seen that this decision was made in a hurry.
[Ukrainian Foreign Minister Kuleba is coming to visit China]
In addition, at the recent peace summit, although China did not attend, it and Brazil jointly issued a six-point consensus on resolving the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, which was praised by more than 100 countries. Unexpectedly, Ukraine did not appreciate it, emphasizing that only Ukraine can "define peace", and also said that Zelensky's "peace model" is the basis for peace talks, and secretly poked and criticized China for "making decisions for Ukraine".
Now, however, the Ukrainian side has urgently sent people to visit China, and its attitude has changed rapidly. There are two reasons why the Ukrainian foreign minister is in a hurry to visit China.
First of all, for Ukraine, Trump's decision to end the Russian-Ukrainian conflict is certainly unacceptable. Because this means that once Trump takes office, United States will not invest a penny in weapons to aid Ukraine. Subsequently, the EU may also call off aid to Ukraine. For example, shortly after Trump was shot, Germany announced that it would halve aid to Ukraine and set up a special team to solve a series of follow-up problems that may arise after Trump wins the election.
Everyone knows that the reason why Ukraine has been able to persist in fighting until now is inseparable from the help of the United States and the West. And from the mouth of the Ukrainian defense minister, we learned that there are currently 500,000 Russian troops encircling Ukraine, and they are constantly increasing. It can be seen that if the subsequent aid cannot keep up, Zelensky may face the loss of more key strongholds, or even lose the war directly.
[Trump is determined to end the Russia-Ukraine conflict]
Secondly, there is the issue of the upcoming negotiations. There is a saying that what you can't get on the battlefield, you won't get in negotiations. And for Ukraine, the current situation can be described as internal and external difficulties, and there is no room for negotiations with Russia at all. Even former United Kingdom Prime Minister Boris Johnson believes that Ukraine should abandon its demand to restore its 1991 borders in order to have room for a turnaround.
As for how to ensure the end of the conflict in a short time, although Trump did not say it explicitly, it is likely that he also wants Ukraine to exchange territory for peace, which has been discussed within NATO before, and Ukraine has no choice. Therefore, the current situation for Ukraine can be described as burning eyebrows. And at this time, the only one who can help Ukraine is probably China.
This is because China has always stood on the side of promoting peace talks, actively contributed wisdom to the resolution of the Russia-Ukraine conflict, and started two rounds of shuttle diplomacy. More importantly, whether it is the 12-point "peace plan" proposed by China or the six-point consensus on resolving the Russia-Ukraine conflict issued not long ago, we have always stressed that the sovereignty and territorial integrity of all countries should be respected.
[China has repeatedly stressed respect for Ukraine's sovereignty and territorial integrity]
China has done this first of all because we have always advocated upholding the basic norms of international law, opposing any form of hegemonism and power politics, and holding that Ukraine's sovereignty and territorial integrity are guaranteed by international law and should not be violated or interfered by any external forces. In addition, China is concerned that the territorial issue in Ukraine will set a bad precedent for territorial disputes in other regions, such as the Taiwan Strait. And with this sentence, Ukraine is equivalent to having a bumper to ease concerns about territorial issues.
In addition, China is a major commodity exporter and grain importer for Ukraine. Once Ukraine completes negotiations with Russia, reconstruction will soon begin, which will undoubtedly make Ukraine's already shaky economy worse, and cooperation with China will be a good way to boost the economy. At the same time, Ukraine's transport department has also focused on the Trans-Caspian corridor, hoping to open up the road of cooperation with Central Asia, and the construction of this route also requires China's efforts. This is why, no matter how arrogant Ukraine's attitude is, in the end it still can't bypass China.
In general, no matter how this conflict ends, it will not only affect Russia and Ukraine, but the entire world pattern may also be changed as a result. It is still unknown whether the Russian army will increase its offensive in the future, or wait for the White House to change hands and then negotiate. The only thing that is certain is that Ukraine has fewer and fewer options. Sometimes, it is wise to recognize the situation and retain the last decency, and Biden has set a good example in this regard.