As the biggest beneficiary of the shooting, Trump is getting closer to the presidency of United States. With the presidential election in hand, Trump has recently begun to openly look forward to his governing philosophy to the media. Especially in foreign policy, Trump has made it clear that if he is re-elected president, he will first facilitate peace talks between Russia and Ukraine, and then shift his focus to dealing with China. And just after Trump threw an olive branch to Russia, Russia Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov arrived in New York, United States, after a 12-hour flight. While attending the UN General Assembly, Lavrov is highly likely to meet with Trump on the issue of Russia-Ukraine peace talks.
It is said that once a son of heaven is a courtier, and when it comes to policy discontinuity, the United States is undoubtedly the most representative country. Because of the different governing philosophies and the interests of the party, there are many cases United States new presidents overturning the policies of their predecessors. Trump, who does not follow the usual path, goes his own way and does not take into account the thoughts of others. In his first term, he reversed a series of policies of the previous president, Barack Obama. In terms of relations between China and Russia, the Republican Party and the Democratic Party have different priorities and governance strategies, and Biden naturally has to follow the will of his party. Under his push, the United States began to form gangs, continued to squeeze Russia's living space through NATO's eastward expansion, and attempted to completely drag Russia down from two directions by launching "proxy wars" and economic sanctions. It can be seen that the policy of Biden and the Democratic Party towards Russia is still stuck in the Cold War era, mainly based on bloc confrontation.
Trump, by contrast, is more pragmatic, and when it comes to suppressing rivals, he is more sophisticated and more adept at using stratagem. Fundamentally speaking, Trump's strategy is "United States First", that is, all foreign policy strategies must be put forward and formulated, and United States interests must be given priority. Trump wants to restore the glory of United States, so he is not as aggressive and adventurous as Biden at the military level, but more adept at making a fuss about economics and politics.
Since the outbreak of the Russian-Ukrainian war, United States and European countries have continued to assist Ukraine, and United States has also paid a lot of price, but Russia has become more and more courageous and has not declined at all, and the resources and forces of the entire Western camp have been contained in the Russian-Ukrainian battlefield, which makes it more difficult for United States to deal with China separately. Therefore, Trump took the initiative to send an olive branch to Russia, just to solve the Russian-Ukrainian problem as soon as possible, so as to withdraw and concentrate on dealing with China.
It is worth mentioning that the relationship between Putin and Biden is tense and tense, while he has a close personal relationship with Trump, which gives Trump a solid foundation for promoting Russia-Ukraine peace talks. Although it was said that Russia presidential spokesman Dmitry Peskov said that US-Russian relations have not yet seen signs of improvement, the Russia who have experienced the war are already looking forward to the United States and the West accepting them. However, to truly achieve a ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine, it is difficult for Ukraine and the Western camp to make compromises.
Previously, Putin has made it clear that the conditions for the Russian-Ukrainian ceasefire are the full withdrawal of Ukrainian troops from Donbas and other regions, the recognition of the occupation of the Russian army, and Ukraine's commitment not to join NATO. If these conditions are agreed in full, it will be equivalent to the investment and expenditure of Western countries in the past two years, and Russia will become the big winner of this war. A fully rising and thriving Russia is clearly something Trump is unwilling to face.
At the same time, NATO, under the leadership of United States, is still eyeing Russia. On July 10, United States and Germany issued a joint statement: Starting in 2026, the US military will deploy long-range firepower in Germany in stages, including "Standard-6" missiles, "Tomahawk" missiles and hypersonic weapons under development. This also means that at that time, the US military will have the ability to strike at Russia in Germany, which is far worse than the deployment of the "Typhon" missile system by the US military in the Philippines, and Russia will never allow the presence of tigers on the side of the bed. Therefore, it is difficult to completely reconcile the contradictions between the United States and Russia, and it is also difficult to open peace talks between Russia and Ukraine.